News trading discussion - continuation | Page 20 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Continuation or reversal trading M15 6 replies

News Service Discussion Who is the fastest? 34 replies

News Trading - Discussion & Setups 18 replies

EMA or SMA for continuation trading method? 1 reply

Attachments: News trading discussion - continuation
Exit Attachments

News trading discussion - continuation

  • #381
  • Apr 2, 2015 4:06pm Apr 2, 2015 4:06pm
Tomorrow is Good Friday and Bank Holiday


Rating agency Standard & Poor's Ratings Services provides a more positive outlook for the euro zone economy in the next two years than it was at the end of 2014.
UK Construction PMI lower than expected, but still above the zone of optimism: 57.8 vs. 59.7
Weekly report on applications for unemployment benefits more than expected, in addition it is almost 14 years at least: 268K per month.
Say, like already officially that all oil sanctions against Iran will be removed.
Please note that tomorrow is Good Friday.
Attached Image
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #382
  • Apr 2, 2015 4:08pm Apr 2, 2015 4:08pm
Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #383
  • Apr 2, 2015 9:10pm Apr 2, 2015 9:10pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_33.png Size: 5 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_34.png Size: 134 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #384
  • Apr 2, 2015 10:00pm Apr 2, 2015 10:00pm
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image}
Hi Fish,

thanks for sharing your trade experience.just curious why trade audusd for news on CNY.How audusd is effect by news on chinese yen?
  • #385
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:52am Apr 3, 2015 1:52am
Quoting Apache24
{quote} Hi Fish, thanks for sharing your trade experience.just curious why trade audusd for news on CNY.How audusd is effect by news on chinese yen?
When you do not know the answer to the question is better to remain silent.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #386
  • Apr 4, 2015 10:02pm Apr 4, 2015 10:02pm
Tuesday
4:30
07/04/15
AU Retail Sales
(AU Retail Sales), Australia, AUDUSD
Average response when triggered flip-flops 25.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.

Tuesday
7:30
07/04/15
2 Comments
AU Interest HOT!
(AU Cash Rate), Australia, AUDUSD
Average response when triggered flip-flops 55.00 points in the first minute after the release.
70% probability trades.

Tuesday
11:30
07/04/15
GB activity index in the service sector GOOD
(GB Services PMI), England, GBPUSD
Average response when triggered flip-flops 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #387
  • Apr 5, 2015 11:38pm Apr 5, 2015 11:38pm
Monday April 6, 2015

At 10:00 am EST the US will release ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Expected at 56.6 after a prior of 56.9. Set it up on USDJPY with a trigger of 3.0. Most of the banks are on holidays so liquidity will be very low.


Good luck everybody!
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #388
  • Apr 6, 2015 10:15am Apr 6, 2015 10:15am
Quoting Apache24
{quote} Hi Fish, thanks for sharing your trade experience.just curious why trade audusd for news on CNY.How audusd is effect by news on chinese yen?
China is a major trading partner of Australia. Most of its Mining production, iron & coal go to China.
  • #389
  • Apr 6, 2015 10:21am Apr 6, 2015 10:21am
Quoting HungryHound
{quote} China is a major trading partner of Australia. Most of its Mining production, iron & coal go to China.
Hi hungryhound,thanks for the reply..
  • #390
  • Apr 6, 2015 6:15pm Apr 6, 2015 6:15pm
The best approach in my opinion for News trading is to allow the dust to settle on instruments that you do not carry a particular bias with respect to the way the news item and trader reaction is likely to affect the price or exchange rate. SO probably 30 minutes +/- will do the trick.
  • #391
  • Apr 6, 2015 8:34pm Apr 6, 2015 8:34pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_7.png Size: 5 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_6.png Size: 144 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #392
  • Apr 6, 2015 9:11pm Apr 6, 2015 9:11pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Expectations of cracking at the seams: published pessimistic NFP.

Weak data Non-Farm Payrolls

On Good Friday the western rite Bureau of Labor Statistics released data Non-Farm Payrolls for March, the last month of the first quarter of 2015. These were really passionate, and in spite of the low liquidity surely fit into the story at all in the charts with dollar.
March was employed just 126K people against the forecast + 245K, to the same data for February was revised from + 295K to 264K (in the fall), which struck down the average increase to 197K (200K below a comfortable level). Weak labor market data growth blamed on severe weather beginning of the year.
It seems that the expectations of the interest rate the Fed finally moved from summer to fall in 2015, and some analysts do they say that you should not expect an increase until 2016, when wage growth (which is not) no acceleration of inflation - so it will to be.

Launch of European QE adopted rosy.

Launched ECB QE, generally accepted by market participants positively sentiment index stabilized, indicating optimism participants (talking about PMI).
Negative for the euro were (and still serve) reports the absence of agreement on the Greek question, the process is, but most likely we will not see results until April 24, when eurozone finance ministers meet.

70% of the probable reduction in the rate of Australia.

Official forecasts do not imply changes in interest rates on the results of the meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia in April, nevertheless laid markets 70% -75% the possibility of such an accident.
Forecast 2.25% (rate unchanged) remains on Monday, and the weak US NFP data and growth AUDUSD fanning the flame of hope for a rate cut by 0.25%.
Glenn Stevens has previously noted that the decrease in the interest rate may well be appropriate, if necessary in maintaining demand when inflation expectations at the level of the RBA.
Guess nothing, before the publication of the Australian interest rates remain a matter of hours.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #393
  • Apr 6, 2015 9:27pm Apr 6, 2015 9:27pm
In order to understand how to trade the pair reacts to varying degrees of deviation from the fact that news of its forecast, see a visual table of statistics reactions
AU Interest
The Date
Deviation from the fact that the news of her forecast
Reaction trading pairs in paragraphs
Comments
03/03/2015 0.25 19-40 19 body 40 with a shadow, an increase of 40 points before the publication of (suspected isayd by the authorities)
03/02/2015 -0.25 Fall 70 pairs
01.07.2014 0 24 Height couples
06/03/2014 0 10 No reaction
05/06/2014 0 13 No reaction
04/01/2014 0 15 A small increase
03/04/2014 0 10 No reaction
02/04/2014 0 15-50 gradually sedate growth of trade pairs.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #394
  • Apr 6, 2015 11:39pm Apr 6, 2015 11:39pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_10.png Size: 4 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_9.png Size: 114 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #395
  • Apr 7, 2015 3:36am Apr 7, 2015 3:36am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_12.png Size: 5 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_11.png Size: 163 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #396
  • Apr 7, 2015 3:38am Apr 7, 2015 3:38am
Thursday
14:00
09/04/15
GB The official rate of asthma
(GB Official Bank Rate), England, GBPUSD
Average response when triggered flip-flops 80.00 points in the first minute after the release.
1% probability trades.

Thursday
17:30
09/04/15
US natural gas reserves GOOD
(US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG
Average response when triggered flip-flops 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
40% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #397
  • Apr 7, 2015 3:55am Apr 7, 2015 3:55am
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image}
Why a sell if data become much better than expected and previous?
  • #398
  • Apr 7, 2015 6:10am Apr 7, 2015 6:10am
Quoting antoniomago
{quote} Why a sell if data become much better than expected and previous?
Possible reaction to the meeting of the FPC , which took place at the same time.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_13.png Size: 9 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #399
  • Apr 7, 2015 12:07pm Apr 7, 2015 12:07pm
Quoting vvFish
Thursday 14:00 09/04/15 GB The official rate of asthma (GB Official Bank Rate), England, GBPUSD Average response when triggered flip-flops 80.00 points in the first minute after the release. 1% probability trades. Thursday 17:30 09/04/15 US natural gas reserves GOOD (US Natural Gas Storage), the United States, #NG Average response when triggered flip-flops 60.00 points in the first minute after the release. 40% probability trades.
btw dont you trade initial jobless claims thursday?
  • #400
  • Apr 7, 2015 12:37pm Apr 7, 2015 12:37pm
Quoting jens1211
{quote} btw dont you trade initial jobless claims thursday?
All will show Thursday.
At one time, two pieces of news that may have a conflict with each other.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
22 traders viewing now