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  • #977,541
  • Apr 4, 2015 4:31pm Apr 4, 2015 4:31pm
Quoting KOS-fx
{quote} Thanks again, According to my TP I have to remove half of the position at 1:1 RR, so I did it and now trade is in BE, What confusing is next target. I have it in 0.7367 (again as my TP). but I dont know whether it is reasonable or not.... {image}
Your Trade is Free & SL is same right?
Coz this might possibly go back up to .76800 before more DOWN & Your TARGET is reasonable

GL
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #977,542
  • Apr 4, 2015 5:05pm Apr 4, 2015 5:05pm
US Economy in Flux- http://trendersgame.com/2015/04/04/us-economy-in-flux/
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #977,543
  • Apr 4, 2015 5:06pm Apr 4, 2015 5:06pm
What happening now looks to me the same as October 2014 interact between 2 cycle and when done
Attached Image
  • #977,544
  • Apr 4, 2015 5:18pm Apr 4, 2015 5:18pm
good job



http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86#post7464986

Quoting egkid
future became past was just looking to one of my old chart {image}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,545
  • Apr 4, 2015 5:46pm Apr 4, 2015 5:46pm
so what are you all saying there is going to be a big rise in EUR/USD or is there going to be another pull back first? according to this Spain are having Unemployment issues which is getting released Monday so dollar is going to rise again and continue to rise?
  • #977,546
  • Apr 4, 2015 5:56pm Apr 4, 2015 5:56pm
http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statist...ruary_2015.png
  • #977,547
  • Apr 4, 2015 7:30pm Apr 4, 2015 7:30pm
Quoting gatorinla
Quoting navk
{quote} by that time it may be 100 pips lower.. it bounced almost to the pip off 0471 (0462) and 0712 both are in a separate sequence with the common 1.0.. the month and 1/4 closed below some of the other #s in the sequence. needless to say, closes tend to show future... in the 0712 # the next sequenced # is 1.1068.. both are subs.. we are between them.. it may seem a big amount of space between them (356 pips).. but its just a small part of 6000. we could be going to 1425 or 1500 ish. i am not smart enough to say. i do know
...
Yeah, it has not broken and until it has not broken. It needs a thrust to break it.

A small push down will have enuff power to break it ? Or the current power is enuff to break it ?

To me, it looks more likely it will break, whether with current power or with a small pull back.

I am just preparing to close my shorts with small profit or with loss.
Intraday only.
  • #977,548
  • Apr 4, 2015 9:07pm Apr 4, 2015 9:07pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Your Trade is Free & SL is same right? Coz this might possibly go back up to .76800 before more DOWN & Your TARGET is reasonable GL
Yep that is correct my stop is at 0.7695 which is previous high.

"Your TARGET is reasonable" -

Thank you very much...
80% effort, 20% luck
  • #977,549
  • Edited 1:37am Apr 5, 2015 12:34am | Edited 1:37am
Quoting navk
{quote}{quote} Yeah, it has not broken and until it has not broken. It needs a thrust to break it. A small push down will have enuff power to break it ? Or the current power is enuff to break it ? To me, it looks more likely it will break, whether with current power or with a small pull back. I am just preparing to close my shorts with small profit or with loss.
as you see even for gator it's the dark...for me the break is from 881, anything near 1280 is possible...for some other the break may be much higher, some clear numbers like 1068 1088 1104 or 1120...do you know what is funny with video games?, sometimes when you ask your teamate to help you, one may simply do with an item like this pic...... i guess this is why i needed nearly 4years to accept Mr fibonacci, cuz i have nothing to do with musical instruments strings...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: grande harpe.jpg Size: 839 KB
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #977,550
  • Apr 5, 2015 3:59am Apr 5, 2015 3:59am
Quoting fazwright
so what are you all saying there is going to be a big rise in EUR/USD or is there going to be another pull back first? according to this Spain are having Unemployment issues which is getting released Monday so dollar is going to rise again and continue to rise?
yes Spain is a well known big employement country... i want to say: nothing surprising...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 27-taux-chomage-europe-long-3.jpg Size: 202 KB
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  • #977,551
  • Apr 5, 2015 4:01am Apr 5, 2015 4:01am
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} yes Spain is a well known big employement country... i want to say: nothing surprising... {image}
This is good for us then, we sorta know which direction EUR/USD is going Monday morning
  • #977,552
  • Edited 4:19am Apr 5, 2015 4:08am | Edited 4:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} warming up the hot tub now for my Scandinavian guest. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p2ZlqL_kkVc
Are you the old man on the video?
  • #977,553
  • Apr 5, 2015 4:36am Apr 5, 2015 4:36am
Quoting egkid
What happening now looks to me the same as October 2014 interact between 2 cycle and when done {image}
i see this...
Attached Image
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  • #977,554
  • Apr 5, 2015 5:56am Apr 5, 2015 5:56am
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} yes Spain is a well known big employement country... i want to say: nothing surprising... {image}
I'm spaniard. That graph is simple. Since democracy Spain only can make jobs if create a bubble. 15/20% is a normal number here.
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #977,555
  • Apr 5, 2015 7:08am Apr 5, 2015 7:08am
JP Morgan cheif strategist Jan Loeys just released their quarterly outlook report, (counterparty circulation material, not for public)
Hes still maintaining their sights on 100 for USDX in Q2 2015
Highlights the fact usdx bullishness in 2014 was primarily weakness in the dollar basket economy fueling the dollar index's rise
This time, the approach to 100 will be fueled by sheer restriction in supply of dollar as reflected by interest rate hike
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #977,556
  • Edited 7:53am Apr 5, 2015 7:36am | Edited 7:53am
Ok, let's write down some pros and cons:

Uptrend continution:
1. Mid and long-term traders pull the trigger when EMA55 (green line) is cracking on 4H (I assume most of you knonw that)
It's happening more often at higher levels,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4h.jpg Size: 388 KB

2. Weekly candle says trend contiunuation, could've been bigger without upper wick but it's still significant,
Attached Image

3. When the S/R level is attacked more often (1.1ish) there's bigger probability it's gonna get smashed,
4. It clearly respected lower line of yearly downtrend channel,
5. 'Parity' stories repeated tens of times every fkin day, it's really hard to believe it's gonna happen within next Q (rather September)
Stories tell, facts sell, think like big boys. If everybody expects parity i.e. this month I would fk all shorts very deeply if I was one of the big boys,
'Parity' fits perfect in the picture. Most of you look at this level like zombie at a brain, please stop,
6. Correlation! There are a few pairs correlating with EU and they've been correlating well so far however...
Last ten days showed discrepancy in almost all pairs, those who track it will confirm, correlations freaked out a bit and
all correlation fans know that it usually means mid term reversal...
7. Lots of bigger banks had set their TPs between 1.06-1.08, now they sit quiet...

Downtrend continuations:
1. QE which in my opinion is priced in but it's still the strongest argument aligning with all mighty downtrend
2. Technially:
- short, mid-term: none
- long term: downtrend.

I'm not saying it's gonna launch on Tuesday, maybe it will retrace a bit, 940/880, indicators need to cool down a bit but
in my humble opinion it's gonna go higher than 1.1, 300p minimum this month. I trade the chart mostly,
for me it talks and now it says, I want to go up a bit, I'm tired of that insanse dive, I'm dizzy,
need to catch a breath before going deeper

I wrote only a few points which are BASICS implying small reversal on EU. There are more...

Oh, one more basic lesson: Turn off indicators, MAs, oscilators, leave the candles only. Now please tell me
how do you determine a trend?
In simple words, you look at the candles and try to tell which are bigger, green or red? If green, what levels,
higher or lower?, Reds? lower or higher.
Look at the 4H chart and you'll know the answer.


To sum it up: long term down trend, yes, I'm all in! Unfortunately for me the chart says, profit taking (happening), shorts need to be reloaded (not yet).
  • #977,557
  • Apr 5, 2015 8:15am Apr 5, 2015 8:15am
pre nfp report ?

Quoting fxtyrant
JP Morgan cheif strategist Jan Loeys just released their quarterly outlook report, (counterparty circulation material, not for public) Hes still maintaining their sights on 100 for USDX in Q2 2015 Highlights the fact usdx bullishness in 2014 was primarily weakness in the dollar basket economy fueling the dollar index's rise This time, the approach to 100 will be fueled by sheer restriction in supply of dollar as reflected by interest rate hike
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,558
  • Apr 5, 2015 8:26am Apr 5, 2015 8:26am
seems to me v good well thought-out post

Quoting KzX
Ok, let'sw the answer. To sum it up: long term down trend, yes, I'm all in! Unfortunately for me the chart says, profit taking (happening), shorts need to be reloaded (not yet).
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,559
  • Apr 5, 2015 8:39am Apr 5, 2015 8:39am
whilst I see the possibility for roll over like before as some see ,the 2 set ups are no where near equal ,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD (DFB).png Size: 24 KB
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #977,560
  • Apr 5, 2015 8:50am Apr 5, 2015 8:50am
in fact I read that as bearish

Quoting Bones
Im thinking eu has been consolidating ,as long as no break 11534 {image} {image} {image}
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
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