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  • #977,241
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:01pm Apr 3, 2015 1:01pm
Quoting Chicky
Time to get back to work. I am down sizing my herd of sheep, selling off both the falcons and have decided to donate the camels to an orphanage. Rest of the things will be split among my wives and kids. If you don't see me posting next week, light a candle.

You crack me up man honestly
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #977,242
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:04pm Apr 3, 2015 1:04pm
Quoting GlobalMacro
{quote} To me smartest people in town are the CBs. Everyone else, even the big hedgies are probably caught on the wrong side of this move. This bullish momentum came out of nowhere mid-week -- well there was that ADP number -- but technically this is very strong momentum ... I'd say as long as it persists , no shorts trades for me ... could be only days or last as long as many weeks. Counter-trend pull-backs especially in oversold weekly and monthly charts can be pretty fierce.
above 0870/80 is bullish
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,243
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:07pm Apr 3, 2015 1:07pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} above 0870/80 is bullish
waiting for 1.12 to get hit next couple weeks.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,244
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:10pm Apr 3, 2015 1:10pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} waiting for 1.12 to get hit next couple weeks.

So your long as of now...>?
All My Opinions, Are Just That, My Opinion!!!
  • #977,245
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:12pm Apr 3, 2015 1:12pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a change in trajectory dont hurt... the last few months the German one is going the other direction. although it has gained against the u.s. directly... its just the rest of the world its losing.. now what happens when they decide they want to build with cheaper energy. ....they start expanding where cheaper energy is available.... like bama and sc {image}
The thing is petrodollar is making new LLs which hasent happened for decades, well pretty much since world fiancial system went on it. Even though cheaper producer are filling holes here with Oil bellow 50 and there this isnt enough as pilar of petrodollar are already setting new bases. You cant run 10-30 bucks Brent on Saudis petrodollar with expectations for everyone else to follow in, and petrodollar scheme to follow on. Saudis and few others are not enough to keep pillar in. It has been chiped away already. And then set aside to that Gas, which is in corelation. There is supply and demand imbalance that Germany is willing to suffer from Russian cutoff and USA pushin, once you push the line, you push the limit.
  • #977,246
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:18pm Apr 3, 2015 1:18pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} The thing is petrodollar is making new LLs which hasent happened for decades, well pretty much since world fiancial system went on it. Even though cheaper producer are filling holes here with Oil bellow 50 and there this isnt enough as pilar of petrodollar are already setting new bases. You cant run 10-30 bucks Brent on Saudis petrodollar with expectations for everyone else to follow in, and petrodollar scheme to follow on. Saudis and few others are not enough to keep pillar in. It has been chiped away already. And then...
this is everyone's argument... why??????????
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #977,247
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:19pm Apr 3, 2015 1:19pm
Quoting ffleo
{quote} waiting for 1.12 to get hit next couple weeks.
If it weren't for the thin holiday markets and the weekend, I wouldn't have closed my longs either. But can't complain I'm more than happy with 100 pips in one day.
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #977,248
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:21pm Apr 3, 2015 1:21pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this is everyone's argument... why??????????
So, next week, to start with, retracement. 1.0850. Right ? My chart says so.
Intraday only.
  • #977,249
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:28pm Apr 3, 2015 1:28pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this is everyone's argument... why??????????
Nah you missunderstood me. I am not with camp of economists on tele that are saying Oil cant stay bellow 50 due to sup-dem issues of currenct structure. USA and OPEC can push it lower than that if they can suffer the price.
It is low cost Oil producers setting current standard, normal-western Oil producers obviously that cant fit it (unless you blow 0% QE loans into it), but oil-currency standard is to be set with rubble-Oil and RMB-Oil as next stop+additional mid east producers that might jump in, thus none of those wants to sell cheap. Just like Gadafi didnt want to. Petrodollar was never set on Oil price of 30 bucks, thats simple fact. Supply and demand.
  • #977,250
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:30pm Apr 3, 2015 1:30pm
Quoting fxtyrant
damn... on such a bad NFP data from US and EURUSD still cant break 1.1 on second attempt... pretty pathetic. M shaped double top we're forming. next leg still aiming at parity.
That's because there's low liquidity today; it will break above come next week.
  • #977,251
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:30pm Apr 3, 2015 1:30pm
I have this short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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80% effort, 20% luck
  • #977,252
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:31pm Apr 3, 2015 1:31pm
Quoting Ken A
{quote} I remain short USDJPY ........ for different reason ........
Are you long around 118.40?
  • #977,253
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:32pm Apr 3, 2015 1:32pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a change in trajectory dont hurt... the last few months the German one is going the other direction. although it has gained against the u.s. directly... its just the rest of the world its losing.. now what happens when they decide they want to build with cheaper energy. ....they start expanding where cheaper energy is available.... like bama and sc {image}
btw w/o the hype... here is what Germany is really doing export wise .. not sentiment, not opinion. and as opinion goes why dragis is nervous.. the Gem of the emu.

looking at a eu chart i think most can agree the eu has gotten cheaper than last summer. and in the u.s. German imports higher. correct me if wrong.. what about the rest of the world? maybe i am reading the chart wrong...it seems Germany is losing ground..at least since Fall... and even at 1.1 ish the u.s. is not keeping up with what the world is not buying.. so where will that = out?
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those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #977,254
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:35pm Apr 3, 2015 1:35pm
I would hope- if you are one of the guys beating the drums about longs...that you are long from .05xx or .07xx and not from .09xx.....into resistance...

by the way- this was an attempt at a HH, without breaking it, it's a failed attempt.....its not broke till its broke. Who holds the better RR here?
  • #977,255
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:42pm Apr 3, 2015 1:42pm
Here's My Prediction for Monday :

Gap Up - 1.09605-7 is new support. I just caught the retrace down

I'm leaving my buy in to get this free money, Come sunday.

Price will gap up and trace back down to this level , which will be the low of the week- then rise until either Wednesday.

Don't take my call,
High fiveme later.
Traders Have Style ; Look Out For My T-shirt Designs Coming Soon
  • #977,256
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:44pm Apr 3, 2015 1:44pm
Quoting scouse12345
{quote} So your long as of now...>?
what do you think?

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #977,257
  • Edited 2:08pm Apr 3, 2015 1:45pm | Edited 2:08pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Are you long around 118.40?
For mid-term I am net swap to catch a larger swing but short term short from 120.3x ...... equities might retrace ........

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  • #977,258
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:54pm Apr 3, 2015 1:54pm
Quoting navk
{quote} So, next week, to start with, retracement. 1.0850. Right ? My chart says so.
i am short.. with a s/l... that's all.. i dont know what happens next week or 5 minutes from now. there is a double top at 105x.. i cant say with certainty if it holds or not.. 1068 i have as a R area. and the month and 1/4 closed below it and 0942 0998.. i take that as bearish.. that dont make me smart or right.. bulls need to close above 0942 to have a small ray of hope.. that still dont mean 1053x will break or a close above 1068...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #977,259
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:55pm Apr 3, 2015 1:55pm
The EUR/USD broke above 1.1000 after the NFP. I think the pair is headed for 1.1050, and if it breaks above that resistance it might reach 1.1200.
  • #977,260
  • Apr 3, 2015 1:59pm Apr 3, 2015 1:59pm
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Nah you missunderstood me. I am not with camp of economists on tele that are saying Oil cant stay bellow 50 due to sup-dem issues of currenct structure. USA and OPEC can push it lower than that if they can suffer the price. It is low cost Oil producers setting current standard, normal-western Oil producers obviously that cant fit it (unless you blow 0% QE loans into it), but oil-currency standard is to be set with rubble-Oil and RMB-Oil as next stop+additional mid east producers that might jump in, thus none of those wants to sell cheap....
the world needs a reset.. and some workers will take a pay cut.. but their dollar will be worth more. and many people cant see this w/o turmoil
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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