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EURUSD

  • #977,041
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:29am Apr 3, 2015 8:29am
Quoting Vorex
So why has the EUR/AU only gone up by 20 pips?
because this has nothing to do with either euro or aud, the market was moved because of crap us data really crap
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  • #977,042
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:30am Apr 3, 2015 8:30am
Quoting sisse
{quote} You mean the slope of the downtrend? Yes still in play until is taken but it will be healthier now for the leg to parity if we adjust the slope to a more sustainable level. (the last 9 months slope are not sustainable for much longer) The actual downtrend in the weekly in my charts will only be threaten with a W. close above 1.15xx so we are not even remotely close for that. sisse
if we may accept it as slope than yes.It is from my trend following indi i sent a screen shoot before.
Red ones are for monthly
Pink ones for weekly.
1.1089 is one step up number from weekly where 1.1039 line and if we close above 1.1089 than that dashed pink line will switch below magenta one to confirm weekly trend is broken.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #977,043
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:30am Apr 3, 2015 8:30am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} nice.. seeing articles being put out on AUD/NZD hitting parity.... maybe that means we hit a bottom now
Waiting at parity

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  • #977,044
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:30am Apr 3, 2015 8:30am
weekly I'm scratching my head if that not a break of channel down trend ,after tweezer ,piercing line ,10750 is lowest I see this chart in the near future
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  • #977,045
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:31am Apr 3, 2015 8:31am
Nothing has changed at all. The downtrend has already showed signs that it is over, at least for a while. Now we go sideways/higher. Really simple. Don't need to be Nostradamus to see the highest probability trades in this mkt.
  • #977,046
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:31am Apr 3, 2015 8:31am
Quoting AllyB
{quote} I like it on the side till I see what NY is going to say about this
Using RSI for OBOS
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screen Shot 2015-04-03 at 3.30.36 PM.png Size: 39 KB
  • #977,047
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:32am Apr 3, 2015 8:32am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Waiting at parity {image}
Wonder if RBNZ intervenes on this one... or just let it play out. NZD is really crushing AUD. I guess it's warranted until mining/coal/iron ore picks up.
  • #977,048
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:33am Apr 3, 2015 8:33am
Quoting sisse
{quote} GL mate but watch out that this NFP is going to be a short term game changer. We still need to wait for the markets to come back on Tuesday to see the full extend impact of this report. sisse
Exactly. This NFP should lead above 1.1 probably to 1.2 even if we dont get breach today over 1050 which is very likely to not happen, todays data is paveing the road higher.
That doesnt mean though that 980 on flip (or 1000 on bit higher) is not valid anymore for shorts, as long as played intra-day.

The only thing that is more of a question is what or how will FED justify this data for their moves. Tech wise we have h4 db where up leg started, with LLs before that, so common thing to expect is that 1000 will hold for now and push bellow 980, but that doesnt mean that bulls have failed for higher.
  • #977,049
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:34am Apr 3, 2015 8:34am
Quoting jplazard
{quote} Nice charts Dano. Spot on this whole week.


thanks and Happy Easter
  • #977,050
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:35am Apr 3, 2015 8:35am
sell EU now full margin at 1.1010

SL 30point

im on market now!
  • #977,051
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:35am Apr 3, 2015 8:35am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} The setup is for Apr 07
What are you seeing on Apr 07
  • #977,052
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:36am Apr 3, 2015 8:36am
Quoting fxtyrant
heres the deal. Wage increased and unemployment rate didnt rise despite such a bad nfp figure ( due to weather) This is not bad enough to delay the rate hike. 1.10 is key. Im still holding shorts will revisit 1.05 within 1-2 months time
1.10 not the key and it will go higher
that's why I'm day trader because it can go against u 600 pip and go back as u thought before but when it done u finished with the correction

happy weekend
  • #977,053
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:37am Apr 3, 2015 8:37am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Original target is only 300 pips - leave small one for bonus .....
yep that small one could grow into a big one if the 4hr rising chanel does break, neckline has paid out and some, really up to the ltl of that "flag" ironically this rally couldnt make it back to the top of the flag / range 40 putting up a fight dont think it will hold but cable and kiwi reacting to resist 4935 and 7606 has been a good week
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  • #977,054
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:37am Apr 3, 2015 8:37am
Quoting Dano12
{quote} thanks and Happy Easter


thankss!!
  • #977,055
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:38am Apr 3, 2015 8:38am
Quoting sisse
{quote} GL mate but watch out that this NFP is going to be a short term game changer. We still need to wait for the markets to come back on Tuesday to see the full extend impact of this report. sisse
its all possible.. one thing for sure.. i have a better price here, then i did at 0718.. 300 pips better. that's a lot of atr eaten already
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #977,056
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:42am Apr 3, 2015 8:42am
Quoting Nfp
sell EU now full margin at 1.1010 SL 30point im on market now!
not wise to against this, if ppl long just keep it that way and watch metals after this weekend. We have no sellers on the other side no supply worst day ever these numbers came out.
  • #977,057
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:43am Apr 3, 2015 8:43am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} No Oops for me, Entered LONG EU few min before News EU M30 {image}
1.102x is stop = R

Guess you are scalping
  • #977,058
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:43am Apr 3, 2015 8:43am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Exactly. This NFP should lead above 1.1 probably to 1.2 even if we dont get breach today over 1050 which is very likely to not happen, todays data is paveing the road higher. That doesnt mean though that 980 on flip (or 1000 on bit higher) is not valid anymore for shorts, as long as played intra-day. The only thing that is more of a question is what or how will FED justify this data for their moves. Tech wise we have h4 db where up leg started, with LLs before that, so common thing to expect is that 1000 will hold for now and push bellow...
Normally, I'd agree about going to new highs after 1.10, but in this case, I disagree. Germany, U.K., and Swiss banks are on holiday. That'll make it really hard to keep rising since banks aren't providing more liquidity.

I'd rather not trade this at all, unless you got in before the NFP.
  • #977,059
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:43am Apr 3, 2015 8:43am
Quoting fxtyrant
heres the deal. Wage increased and unemployment rate didnt rise despite such a bad nfp figure ( due to weather) This is not bad enough to delay the rate hike. 1.10 is key. Im still holding shorts will revisit 1.05 within 1-2 months time

Oh, really!

Show me!
  • #977,060
  • Apr 3, 2015 8:43am Apr 3, 2015 8:43am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} What are you seeing on Apr 07
RBA rate cut more likely now on Tuesday
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