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  • #976,801
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:20am Apr 3, 2015 3:20am
EG seems to be the driver.

nevertheless. tdz market is very fragile. im limiting risk and also playing time on the lowz of my standard. gl
  • #976,802
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:23am Apr 3, 2015 3:23am
I had to make an account just to post this. I feel sorry for anyone that shorted EURUSD just now at that low, thinking it was going to drop, are you serious?! Do you see how many times it tested that level and didn't break?! A lot of you have to pay attention to candle openings and closing and really get in sync with these charts. Stop jumping the gun.
Traders Have Style ; Look Out For My T-shirt Designs Coming Soon
  • #976,803
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:24am Apr 3, 2015 3:24am
http://orders.forexlive.com/!/option...april-20150403
  • #976,804
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:33am Apr 3, 2015 3:33am
Quoting kesk
{quote} 100 pips for SL, check whether its a 100 point SL. If its pip, then its too long.
Thank you for your reply. The minimum for Eur/Usd is 0.0010 on Trading 212.
  • #976,805
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:35am Apr 3, 2015 3:35am
NFP = 255k/267k
Unemployment rate = 5.6%

may be just wishful thinking..lol
Maybe there will be no spike and it will just go where its going.. getting into the world of fantasy now...
  • #976,806
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:36am Apr 3, 2015 3:36am
In the past 15 years, there has only been 3 times that non-farm payrolls was released on Good Friday -- and each time, the reaction in these 2 currencies was just as you would expect. In 2012, only 120k jobs were created versus 205k expected. USD/JPY fell as much as 120 pips and the EUR/USD rose approximately 60 pips. In 2010, only 162k jobs were created versus expectations for 184k rise. But the dollar still traded higher versus the yen and euro because it was the largest increase in 3 years. In 2007 an improvement in the unemployment rate and stronger payrolls drove the dollar up 70 pips versus the yen and euro. For USD/JPY the move was consistent with very little retracement by the end of the North American trading session. The EUR/USD on the other hand experienced its usual V-shaped reaction shortly after the release. In each case, all of the price action happened in the first 90 minutes post NFP, with quiet consolidation in the hours that followed. There was also zero follow through on Monday, with EUR/USD and USD/JPY trading in very tight ranges in all 3 years. So the best way to trade NFPs is to either catch the initial reaction, take a view beforehand or wait until the markets reopen on Tuesday.

Kathy Liens
  • #976,807
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:51am Apr 3, 2015 3:51am
Quoting buttons
NFP = 255k/267k Unemployment rate = 5.6% may be just wishful thinking..lol Maybe there will be no spike and it will just go where its going.. getting into the world of fantasy now...
Talking about spikes, isn't USDJPY better to trade NFP because it more often does not have spike and it just goes in a way it wants?
  • #976,808
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:53am Apr 3, 2015 3:53am
for me the most important thing now is to see monthly day 1 hold up ,I've come up with a 3 point tl resistance above is huge ,break later
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #976,809
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:55am Apr 3, 2015 3:55am
http://www.fxstreet.com/news/forex-n...a-e570d6ae2653
  • #976,810
  • Apr 3, 2015 3:57am Apr 3, 2015 3:57am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} I think once it breaks 1.0920 chances for Bears before 1.1080 will be further reduced.
As I can see and in my honest assessment, you are one of the few potential traders here together with Ken A, Egkid and Global macro who really have the ability to become a fully accomplished trader if you all can somehow gather and group together to feed on one another strengths and cover up for each other weaknesses. It will definitely improve all your trading exponentially with exquisite precision.

Congrats and keep digging in and you should prevail and come up on top......

GS.
  • #976,811
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:00am Apr 3, 2015 4:00am
Due to GoodFriday International Holiday most of the market in the world,Volumes drop in all currency pairs,it may slightly change after open the US mkt ?
  • #976,812
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:03am Apr 3, 2015 4:03am
Breaking 930-40 should trigger Long positions, opposite band is around 780 - Shorts.
At the moment we're closer to the upper band.
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  • #976,813
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:05am Apr 3, 2015 4:05am
Quoting ThePipWolf
I had to make an account just to post this. I feel sorry for anyone that shorted EURUSD just now at that low, thinking it was going to drop, are you serious?! Do you see how many times it tested that level and didn't break?! A lot of you have to pay attention to candle openings and closing and really get in sync with these charts. Stop jumping the gun.

You might be right, but give attention to the fact that banks and institution are not stupid And they won't let their money in hands of few traders at good Friday. So what they have done is that they priced in totally the weak payroll giveing no chance for the thin market to hurt them. The bottom line here is euro could shoot as you expected but I see this happening only if payroll came very weak and or wages and unimployment came in red. Which I thinkhave a low possibility. So in all other situations the price either spike up then decline or decline right away.
  • #976,814
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:13am Apr 3, 2015 4:13am
Quoting countdown
UsdJpy main position = Sell Stop ; Entry : 119,449 TP : 119,281 SL : 119,765 if this sell stop open ; set Buy Stop for hedge , Entry : 119,765 Tp : 120,067 SL : 119,449 GL. be aware of the datas and yellen.
yesterday this position did not triggered..deleted it 21:00 (gmt +2)

today no new position.NFP = no fcking position
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #976,815
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:15am Apr 3, 2015 4:15am
Weird day. All markets closed with a random NFP in the middle. Obviously very very low liquidity expected so any overshoot/undershoot can have a very sensitive reaction while an inline play will be over in a very tiny session.

For today is nothing to see except NFP that will only allow a play for the knee jerk reaction. A few minutes after CME Globex will be close, making every single market in the world close too.

Nice to be sitting at home for a change with a cup coffee for this play so hopefully we can have a decent discussion about NFP and news plays with those who were asking via PM or in the thread.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #976,816
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:15am Apr 3, 2015 4:15am
Additionally, this is the one scenario.
When I have a few minutes I'll prep downside one.
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  • #976,817
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:18am Apr 3, 2015 4:18am
strong buying at 10700 ,I stake my name that we wont see under that number this month even tho its day 3 ,be sure to quote me if I'm wrong I'm hoping its not today
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #976,818
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:21am Apr 3, 2015 4:21am
Quoting Bones
strong buying at 10700 ,I stake my name that we wont see under that number this month even tho its day 3 ,be sure to quote me if I'm wrong I'm hoping its not today {image}
Maybe a little fake out lower right before/at start of NFP release, ahh 1070, thought you wrote 1.0870.. .. yeah possible we don't go below there this month.
Still got my eyes on 1.115.
  • #976,819
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:25am Apr 3, 2015 4:25am
I remember some one calling around 107 before NFP, damn wish I'd listened
there are 2 types of people in forex, those who are and aren't scared, there is money to be made in the middle with respect to chaos
  • #976,820
  • Apr 3, 2015 4:29am Apr 3, 2015 4:29am
I hope we go there again at some point ,$ has a problem for up and a problem for down


Quoting Ck87
{quote} Maybe a little fake out lower right before/at start of NFP release, ahh 1070, thought you wrote 1.0870.. .. yeah possible we don't go below there this month. Still got my eyes on 1.115.
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
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