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  • #976,381
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:46am Apr 2, 2015 1:46am
Quoting Brandonchen
{quote} reckon you are making losses now
added short at 0825
Intraday only.
  • #976,382
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:47am Apr 2, 2015 1:47am
Quoting mohwazzan
{quote} Maybe you are too late? ... It seems that 710 will not come before nfp
I think this is the worst thing, the market may just hold between 1.08 - 1.085 range before NFP. Makes it difficult for anyone bull or bear to place a bet.
  • #976,383
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:48am Apr 2, 2015 1:48am
[quote=fxtyrant;8180234]{quote} precisely. this move up has no fundamental backing, no news no nothing. just big boys doing their thing right before London open./quote]

Thanks for that, because it confirms what I was thinking. Me still being new to this, it helps to watch how you old-timers* react to things.

(* As in trading experience age. Now if we're just talking time on this earth, I'm getting to be an old-timer )
  • #976,384
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:48am Apr 2, 2015 1:48am
Quoting navk
{quote} not sure
I am SHORT GU which is not so bad, But will close if this makes a new High
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #976,385
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:51am Apr 2, 2015 1:51am
When ADP was high...it was always 'poorly correlated to NFP'. Now it's lower, NFP is likely to be a shocker. The signs are there...
do not stand out in the open with gun ;stand in the bushes with knife..
  • #976,386
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:53am Apr 2, 2015 1:53am
Quoting Sants
{quote} "shit comes to shit" wtf is that lmao hm actually im still curious about yesterday you said wait for BOJ announcement to stop demand in JPY. what kind of key words is that beside another QE and boj intervention?
inflation still underwhelming.
or growth still stagnant.
etc etc.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #976,387
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:53am Apr 2, 2015 1:53am
If I am not mistaken, NFP falls on Friday. Correct?
  • #976,388
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:54am Apr 2, 2015 1:54am
Quoting Magicmen
If I am not mistaken, NFP falls on Friday. Correct?
always the first Friday of a new month.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #976,389
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:55am Apr 2, 2015 1:55am
Quoting Magicmen
If I am not mistaken, NFP falls on Friday. Correct?
Yes on Friday, Good Friday.
  • #976,390
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:58am Apr 2, 2015 1:58am
Damn....I was thinking NFP is today. I got to recalculate my nodes then. 0811 & 0840 may not be the turning point.
  • #976,391
  • Apr 2, 2015 1:59am Apr 2, 2015 1:59am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} always the first Friday of a new month.
welcome back
YOUR MOTHERS ASS
  • #976,392
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:00am Apr 2, 2015 2:00am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} inflation still underwhelming. or growth still stagnant. etc etc.
did you calculate, how far undershoot the real inflation to BOJ projection that force boj to release another QE by this april?

Quoting Magicmen
Damn....I was thinking NFP is today. I got to recalculate my nodes then. 0811 & 0840 may not be the turning point.
need some relaxing la
keep young la dont think hard hard la lmaoooo
  • #976,393
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:09am Apr 2, 2015 2:09am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} you see technically you're only aiming for those 50-100 pip moves but fundamentall me... im aiming for EURUSD to collapse to 1.05.... or below... heck 0.88 has always been my EURUSD target. within 1-2 years time.
I'm a day trader "trade every day and end of day close my book" but at same time i know what's going on big pic
i made my analysis on monthly , weekly daily and i trade on 30 min chart
my aim and my low for e/u will surprise u


The game all about Change so why i risk with one open position for weeks while i can hunt everyday some good green
i long [email protected] and i wait 1.0840 not bad for 24H
  • #976,394
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:09am Apr 2, 2015 2:09am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} I am SHORT GU which is not so bad, But will close if this makes a new High
OUT Lost a few
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #976,395
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:11am Apr 2, 2015 2:11am
Quoting egkid
{quote} I'm a day trader "trade every day and end of day close my book" but at same time i know what's going on big pic i made my analysis on monthly , weekly daily and i trade on 30 min chart my aim and my low for e/u will surprise u The game all about Change so why i risk with one open position for weeks while i can hunt everyday some good green i long [email protected] and i wait 1.0840 not bad for 24H
well different styles of trading. I cant have my eyes on my mobile too often, the bank I work for might start to get suspicious with the activity.
and yea I don't long when the fundamentals are not pointing upwards.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #976,396
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:12am Apr 2, 2015 2:12am
Quoting egkid
{quote} i long [email protected] looks to me it go up for sell smart player i watch 1.0710 if hold or not
1.0840 HIT
Now i [email protected] sl 1.0848 only 10 pip "it's risky but i like take the risk "
  • #976,397
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:12am Apr 2, 2015 2:12am
Quoting Sammih
{quote} I took it yesterday afternoon, have been in red for a while now....tp @1.0825 {image}
Nowyour tp hit.
Good one!
  • #976,398
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:13am Apr 2, 2015 2:13am
  • #976,399
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:13am Apr 2, 2015 2:13am
Here are the levels on dollar that I will start to get long.
and also get short EURfut

First I have two charts of dollar posted. One is CME trading hours which is US session only. So you will notice the dollar closed today at 98.475 obviously right now we are trading lower currently at 98.18 as I speak so that is why I prefer to have two manjor fib points that factor in the US session ABC pattern and 24 hr ABC pattern.

I will gladly dip my toes long at 97.883 but given if it trades there H4 will not be below 30 so that is why I would add on 97.55-50 given that is the KEY 78.6% retrace from the most recent ABC pattern before it moves higher. Even so RSI would be at or sub 30 on 4h which will help with a bounce given its oversold at this point. Even though I am long USD at lower levels and added a bit on Monday if this level holds up I will most likely add more as this will likely be the last basing before dollar moves up to 99.80-100.40 which will complete a large ABC pattern before it comes down to take a breather. That is too far out and I can't possibly do a fib for when it reaches that level at what price it will trade down to just yet.

Eur is overbought on 1H but not on 4H I am waiting for it to find a ceiling within the image in the last post and find heavy resistance before selling for a swing short going into NFP. Key for me though is dollar needs to hold the two levels of 97.883 to 97.50 on a 1H or 4H chart.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #976,400
  • Apr 2, 2015 2:15am Apr 2, 2015 2:15am
1.0834 immediate resistance-- next stop 1.0906 if we can break.
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