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  • #975,841
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:00pm Mar 31, 2015 3:00pm
Quoting Hickson
{quote}
Analysts are the guys coming by subway telling investors that came in Rolls Royce what to do ...[/quote]

So who is SMARTER, Investors that came in Rolls Royce hiring anal- yst, or Anal-yst making BIG MONEY for investors that came in Rolls Royce
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #975,842
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:01pm Mar 31, 2015 3:01pm
Quoting redbaron1981
{quote} Perhaps a small case of squeeze the shorts out before the drop.
Well not sure if a squeeze as there is only minions and soft hands holding shorts from these levels but yes in general we are going to set the high of the month first relatively early if NFP play the right hand.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #975,843
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:02pm Mar 31, 2015 3:02pm
Quoting guzda
{quote} Analysts are the guys coming by subway telling investors that came in Rolls Royce what to do ...
That is the natural way, until analysts come in Rolls and start to be investors; natural money circulation [/quote]

Why do I have this vision of Navin Johnson as a sought-after analyst?
  • #975,844
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:03pm Mar 31, 2015 3:03pm
Quoting ill_be_back
I have copied the trades to my demo trade explorer since October 2014.. testing on majors.. I hope no one thinks I'm in anyway disrespecting the number of very clever people on here, in fact Ive subscribed to a few already. Just in relation to those that wish to be traders... you do not need to be a qualified analyst to become a consistent profitable trader.. Just wish I was smarter, so I could even understand what they are talking about..
[/quote]

And I knew you would get it... get in trouble here quite quickly lol..
  • #975,845
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:04pm Mar 31, 2015 3:04pm
Quoting ill_be_back
So who is SMARTER, Investors that came in Rolls Royce hiring anal- yst, or Anal-yst making BIG MONEY for investors that came in Rolls Royce
Neither one. One is dumber than the other.
Only traders are smart.
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #975,846
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:08pm Mar 31, 2015 3:08pm
Quoting GlobalMacro
{quote} Neither one. One is dumber than the other. Only traders are smart.
With YELLOW Lines
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #975,847
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:09pm Mar 31, 2015 3:09pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} Well not sure if a squeeze as there is only minions and soft hands holding shorts from these levels but yes in general we are going to set the high of the month first relatively early if NFP play the right hand. sisse
Hi Sisse,

easy on the big words...but how would you evaluate the ADP non farm figures released in relation to the expected release from actual NFP on Friday. Relative to the past few years and your experience? Sorry if the question is nonsensical...
  • #975,848
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:10pm Mar 31, 2015 3:10pm
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Analysts are the guys coming by subway telling investors that came in Rolls Royce what to do ...
The only thing worst than bad traders in these boards are bad analysts.

To be honest, this thread will be a much better place if at least some of the posters will start understanding some v. basic analysis before draining their hard earned cash on every random noise move with the "excuse" that they are supposedly just following PA...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #975,849
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:14pm Mar 31, 2015 3:14pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} With YELLOW Lines
lol,
no doubt, especially w/ yellow lines
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #975,850
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:20pm Mar 31, 2015 3:20pm
Quoting buttons
{quote} Hi Sisse, easy on the big words...but how would you evaluate the ADP non farm figures released in relation to the expected release from actual NFP on Friday. Relative to the past few years and your experience? Sorry if the question is nonsensical...
I mentioned on Friday in the weekly close post and on Monday open morning post this week it's pretty much technical including NFP. WE got Q/M/W rolls and then Europe is going for Spring break till next Tuesday so low liquidity and nothing fundamental about the news.

Only a major overshoot/undershoot in ADP or NFP will have some real FA implications but basically it will just serve as early positioning and clearing for the monthly/quarterly flows. On the actual news intraday flows for ADP...we'll talk tomorrow before news....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #975,851
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:22pm Mar 31, 2015 3:22pm
Quoting Ratmach
{quote} That is the natural way, until analysts come in Rolls and start to be investors; natural money circulation
Why do I have this vision of Navin Johnson as a sought-after analyst?[/quote]

Maybe it is just life
  • #975,852
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:25pm Mar 31, 2015 3:25pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} I mentioned on Friday in the weekly close post and on Monday open morning post this week it's pretty much technical including NFP. WE got Q/M/W rolls and then Europe is going for Spring break till next Tuesday so low liquidity and nothing fundamental about the news. Only a major overshoot/undershoot in ADP or NFP will have some real FA implications but basically it will just serve as early positioning and clearing for the monthly/quarterly flows. On the actual news intraday flows for ADP...we'll talk tomorrow before news.... sisse
If you just look at different MA's you can see that Friday will be very crazy day no matter how good(or bad, depends on your point of view) news will be.
  • #975,853
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:31pm Mar 31, 2015 3:31pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} I mentioned on Friday in the weekly close post and on Monday open morning post this week it's pretty much technical including NFP. WE got Q/M/W rolls and then Europe is going for Spring break till next Tuesday so low liquidity and nothing fundamental about the news. Only a major overshoot/undershoot in ADP or NFP will have some real FA implications but basically it will just serve as early positioning and clearing for the monthly/quarterly flows. On the actual news intraday flows for ADP...we'll talk tomorrow before news.... sisse
Thanks Sisse.. not sure what FA implications are? I take from that its only the variation between the two that would cause USD to move rapidly as not priced in as unexpected....

Off to bed good night all...
Be safe and enjoy the holidays...
  • #975,854
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:32pm Mar 31, 2015 3:32pm
Pending sell AU .76632
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #975,855
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:38pm Mar 31, 2015 3:38pm
Quoting buttons
{quote} Thanks Sisse.. not sure what FA implications are? I take from that its only the variation between the two that would cause USD to move rapidly as not priced in as unexpected.... Off to bed good night all... Be safe and enjoy the holidays...
The implication are in term of hikes.

In simple words a massive overshoot (not expected) will put hikes on June back in the table making the euro drop a few hundred ticks in no time. A massive undershoot (not expected) will open pandoras box and the dovish talking heads will go wild calling for hikes next year making the euro rally a few hundred ticks non stop in a few sessions...

I hope it helps...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #975,856
  • Mar 31, 2015 3:54pm Mar 31, 2015 3:54pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} The implication are in term of hikes. In simple words a massive overshoot (not expected) will put hikes on June back in the table making the euro drop a few hundred ticks in no time. A massive undershoot (not expected) will open pandoras box and the dovish talking heads will go wild calling for hikes next year making the euro rally a few hundred ticks non stop in a few sessions... I hope it helps... sisse
Hello Sisse,

Thank you for all your analysis. I don't understand your technical language so I will ask a simple and direct question.
I have some EUR/USD long @ 1.1130 opened since 1 month now.
(I know i should have closed them when it bounced at 1.105 but I thought it would hit 1.11)
Do you think that we will go straight to parity ?

Thanks
  • #975,857
  • Mar 31, 2015 4:18pm Mar 31, 2015 4:18pm
Quoting ill_be_back
Pending sell AU .76632
Today is going to be Euro day I guess.
Intraday only.
  • #975,858
  • Mar 31, 2015 4:41pm Mar 31, 2015 4:41pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Today is going to be Euro day I guess.
putting a red cross on my calendar
  • #975,859
  • Mar 31, 2015 4:43pm Mar 31, 2015 4:43pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} The implication are in term of hikes. In simple words a massive overshoot (not expected) will put hikes on June back in the table making the euro drop a few hundred ticks in no time. A massive undershoot (not expected) will open pandoras box and the dovish talking heads will go wild calling for hikes next year making the euro rally a few hundred ticks non stop in a few sessions... I hope it helps... sisse

Mr. Sisse,

What happens during QMW rolls
  • #975,860
  • Mar 31, 2015 4:44pm Mar 31, 2015 4:44pm
Quoting wasabeclaw
{quote} Mr. Sisse, What happens during QMW rolls
Mrs Sisse,

And another thing, when you mention London fix, what is it?
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