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EURUSD

  • #975,601
  • Mar 31, 2015 5:43am Mar 31, 2015 5:43am
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  • #975,602
  • Mar 31, 2015 5:52am Mar 31, 2015 5:52am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} it was not fundie involved... big boys were aiming for the nice juicy orders up at 1.1 there was no fundamentals supporting the EURO to appreciate against the USD last week, especially when FOMC didnt give any clear change of tone..... still say fed has options to hike rates this year... but we all know that.... so for it to run up to 1.09 and 1.1 that should be alarms flaring to go short since it doesnt make sense. just big boys playing around. but when in doubt.... trust the trend. and trend is short... for them to push it...
..... thats explain why EUR retraces as far as 50% FIB daily bars with no fundie backed, just....big....pocket....money....
but if i look to the monthyl chart, its almost forming the unperfect pin bar, today is the decider if it is will continue or not. of course 1 T QE backed the odds for EU bear, so todays close needs to be below 1.06 after long journey for flushing shorts 1.09-1.11?
  • #975,603
  • Mar 31, 2015 5:53am Mar 31, 2015 5:53am
@fxtyrant, any chance of EurUsd rebound soon in your opinion?
yes i was one of the fool who longed EU on 1.09344 and now floating 190+ pips in red :/
  • #975,604
  • Mar 31, 2015 5:56am Mar 31, 2015 5:56am
Quoting isaaclimyh
@fxtyrant, any chance of EurUsd rebound soon in your opinion? yes i was one of the fool who longed EU on 1.09344 and now floating 190+ pips in red :/
prepare your face to got slapped by him a hundred times, buddy
  • #975,605
  • Mar 31, 2015 5:56am Mar 31, 2015 5:56am
Quoting Sants
{quote} ..... thats explain why EUR retraces as far as 50% FIB daily bars with no fundie backed, just....big....pocket....money.... but if i look to the monthyl chart, its almost forming the unperfect pin bar, today is the decider if it is will continue or not. of course 1 T QE backed the odds for EU bear, so todays close needs to be below 1.06 after long journey for flushing shorts 1.09-1.11?
today's close needs to be below 1.06?? nah.... under 1.09 bears are still in control
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #975,606
  • Mar 31, 2015 5:57am Mar 31, 2015 5:57am
Quoting isaaclimyh
@fxtyrant, any chance of EurUsd rebound soon in your opinion? yes i was one of the fool who longed EU on 1.09344 and now floating 190+ pips in red :/
i wont bet on EURUSD rebound. theres no fundies behind. fundies behind is still Easing Euro, and Tightening USD.
you really shouldnt bet against the fundamental trend...
next time ask yourself what is the Fundies behind Euro, what is the fundies behind USD?

Euro in QE = depreciating Euro
USD in potential rate hike = rising dollar...
Euro down and dollar up, means eurusd bear... you dont bet the otherway....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #975,607
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:07am Mar 31, 2015 6:07am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} today's close needs to be below 1.06?? nah.... under 1.09 bears are still in control
misscalculation too far, 1.0851 would do lmao.
if in case, month closing need below 1.09 to conitnue the bear, why dont big boys play a little more game to pump the price up to another 1.1 to make crowd people think wtf wtf and omg omg once more and makes them to think bull comeback is real and start longing and at that point, big boys sold them out and rejoin the fundie trend? too dangerous or what lol
  • #975,608
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:11am Mar 31, 2015 6:11am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} i wont bet on EURUSD rebound. theres no fundies behind. fundies behind is still Easing Euro, and Tightening USD. you really shouldnt bet against the fundamental trend... next time ask yourself what is the Fundies behind Euro, what is the fundies behind USD? Euro in QE = depreciating Euro USD in potential rate hike = rising dollar... Euro down and dollar up, means eurusd bear... you dont bet the otherway....
How would you handle your trade if we'd go back to let's say 1.085 before the end of the week?
(Not being mean I'm just curious about your trading method)
  • #975,609
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:14am Mar 31, 2015 6:14am
Quoting guilhemch
{quote} How would you handle your trade if we'd go back to let's say 1.085 before the end of the week? (Not being mean I'm just curious about your trading method)
nothing.
1.09, nothing.
1.10, start to reconsider, may need to find other trades to offset, but wont trade eurusd.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #975,610
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:16am Mar 31, 2015 6:16am
Quoting Sants
{quote} misscalculation too far, 1.0851 would do lmao. if in case, month closing need below 1.09 to conitnue the bear, why dont big boys play a little more game to pump the price up to another 1.1 to make crowd people think wtf wtf and omg omg once more and makes them to think bull comeback is real and start longing and at that point, big boys sold them out and rejoin the fundie trend? too dangerous or what lol
because above 1.1 is some hard real money that the banks really cant afford to screw those around... they'd rather screw the easy ones but not risk pushing up too far beacuse they would be up agains the "real money" positions and they dont want to be dealing with those sizes.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #975,611
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:21am Mar 31, 2015 6:21am
Cup and handle forming on the 15' chart?
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #975,612
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:23am Mar 31, 2015 6:23am
hmmmm , possible retest 1.0808 ?
  • #975,613
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:24am Mar 31, 2015 6:24am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} because above 1.1 is some hard real money that the banks really cant afford to screw those around... they'd rather screw the easy ones but not risk pushing up too far beacuse they would be up agains the "real money" positions and they dont want to be dealing with those sizes.
hmm dangerous stuffs. They pushed as far as last week, make thousands of eyes of people start to think bull is alive on EU, cant imagine if the game they played were executed at the end of the month like today, gosh a milion eyes would probably believe bull is in steroids. Anw, whats your further projection if in case EU touch parity or even 0.88 and thats happen before QE end? is it possible for further fall like say 0.5?
  • #975,614
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:27am Mar 31, 2015 6:27am
Quoting Sants
{quote} hmm dangerous stuffs. They pushed as far as last week, make thousands of eyes of people start to think bull is alive on EU, cant imagine if the game they played were executed at the end of the month like today, gosh a milion eyes would probably believe bull is in steroids. Anw, whats your further projection if in case EU touch parity or even 0.88 and thats happen before QE end? is it possible for further fall like say 0.5?
hard to say.... because the last time EURUSD was at 0.88... thats when FED rates were at their highest before the crash in 2008
fed rates normalization getting back up to 3.5%-4% while EU is still in QE mode would push EURUSD close to 0.88 but beyond that? hard to imagine the reasons.......
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #975,615
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:29am Mar 31, 2015 6:29am
Can you guys brag about something worth bragging ..........
  • #975,616
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:30am Mar 31, 2015 6:30am
I’m short from 1.0868 for tp: 1.0505, revised sl: 1.0855
Good luck everyone
  • #975,617
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:30am Mar 31, 2015 6:30am
Quoting Ken A
Can you guys brag about something worth bragging ..........
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #975,618
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:30am Mar 31, 2015 6:30am
Still think this is better for shorts, busy with some retrace out of oversold and... Will look at 77 / 79 for entry short. (Only looking for 20 pips will stop if a loss of 6 / 10... Eye on the ball.

Dustbin strat, levels still sort of ok... will watch PA for entry....

Chart.

fast (M5)
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And strat if anyone likes the idea (credit to Glen Eagles for the method)
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Dustbin Trading.pdf   75 KB | 373 downloads


Clear of news and event risks... Lets see

Good luck
  • #975,619
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:32am Mar 31, 2015 6:32am
Quoting Ken A
Can you guys brag about something worth bragging ..........

that won't sell any subscriptions.......
A contrarian; I always disagree.
  • #975,620
  • Mar 31, 2015 6:32am Mar 31, 2015 6:32am
Time to short EA?
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