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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #8,181
  • Mar 27, 2015 10:56am Mar 27, 2015 10:56am
Quoting deltaone
time to leave the front, it has been a great trading week. school-holidays here, and my family is getting ready for easter:. that means no internet, no phone, no mobile, no tv. {image} cu
Way to go - Happy Easter
Trading Levels with WRBs
  • #8,182
  • Mar 27, 2015 11:51am Mar 27, 2015 11:51am
I think this chart is forming a downtrend ,higher tf agree
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #8,183
  • Mar 27, 2015 11:56am Mar 27, 2015 11:56am
Quoting deltaone
time to leave the front, it has been a great trading week. school-holidays here, and my family is getting ready for easter:. that means no internet, no phone, no mobile, no tv. {image} cu
#8'178

Joining you in gratitude for Christ's sacrifice and the joyful renewal it brings to all God's children this Easter season.
Have a Blessed and Meaningful Easter.
Best wishes from Switzerland, my friend.
FXcube
  • #8,184
  • Mar 27, 2015 12:00pm Mar 27, 2015 12:00pm
Hi Macrino thanks


we can clearly see the risk in this hammer ,therefore until break its bearish ,my opinion is the same ,black candle next adds doubt break low it is a very reliable pattern
also by working out the risk we could wait to see what next
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #8,185
  • Mar 27, 2015 12:00pm Mar 27, 2015 12:00pm
Quoting deltaone
time to leave the front, it has been a great trading week. school-holidays here, and my family is getting ready for easter:. that means no internet, no phone, no mobile, no tv. {image} cu

Happy Easter to you and your family D1

Everyone else Happy Easter tooooooooooooooooooo
  • #8,186
  • Mar 27, 2015 12:02pm Mar 27, 2015 12:02pm
add risk to whats happening
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #8,187
  • Edited 1:39am Mar 28, 2015 12:49am | Edited 1:39am
Hey D1 - Do you think Dax companies will entertain share buybacks during the year and during loose monetary policies (cheap credit) in Europe/Germany?

As you would be probably aware, cheap credit in the US led to record levels of share buybacks and was one of the major reasons for the meteoric rise of the SP500/Dow during the last 5-6 years.
  • #8,188
  • Mar 28, 2015 7:03am Mar 28, 2015 7:03am
Quoting smogser
{quote} That's a good point, and we'll figure it out only when DAX rockets up, making the crowd and you close your positions, or crashes down making me close my one.
Lieber Freund,

In relation to our discussion of crowd behaviour, I thought you might find the volume analysis in this post interesting:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...45#post8171045

With best wishes,

M
  • #8,189
  • Mar 28, 2015 7:07am Mar 28, 2015 7:07am
Quoting medici
{quote} Lieber Freund, In relation to our discussion of crowd behaviour, I thought you might find the volume analysis in this post interesting: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...45#post8171045 With best wishes, M
Google translator? ^^
  • #8,190
  • Mar 28, 2015 7:11am Mar 28, 2015 7:11am
Quoting MCFly
{quote} Google translator? ^^
Nope, I even speak with very little accent, but grammatically not always correct.
  • #8,191
  • Mar 28, 2015 7:27am Mar 28, 2015 7:27am
Quoting medici
{quote} Nope, I even speak with very little accent, but grammatically not always correct.
I was joking. Everything was alright. I only wonder that somebody who is not living in middle europe speaks german.
  • #8,192
  • Mar 28, 2015 7:31am Mar 28, 2015 7:31am
Quoting MCFly
{quote} I was joking. Everything was alright. I only wonder that somebody who is not living in middle europe speaks german.
Well, I'm not English and have lived in several countries. For some reason, the English seem to have difficulties with foreign language, I agree. Even if almost fluent, the accent is usually strong.
  • #8,193
  • Edited Mar 30, 2015 1:44am Mar 29, 2015 7:21am | Edited Mar 30, 2015 1:44am
Looking at the hourly chart for the Dax I am strongly bearish for Monday morning. The Frankfurt or London open can take the price anywhere, but it looks to me as if the main move will be down. The price is currently sitting just above the 50% fib retracement, so I's expect a move down to the 61.8% at 11,848, and then perhaps lower towards the 76.4% at 11,828 where support should come in. If traders really want to take it down , then we could be looking at the high 700s or further down towards 750-700. Tomorrow morning will give us a clearer picture including the day's pivot levels.

The above now void...I have support at around 845 in the form of the 30m 100sma and 61.4% combined, and some resistance just above where we are now, so going for a range day between these levels, with now a greater chance of breaking resistance than support up to who knows where, though we could get to R2 @ 12,028 on my charts. Good luck!
  • #8,194
  • Mar 30, 2015 2:20am Mar 30, 2015 2:20am
Quoting cat
Looking at the hourly chart for the Dax I am strongly bearish for Monday morning. The Frankfurt or London open can take the price anywhere, but it looks to me as if the main move will be down. The price is currently sitting just above the 50% fib retracement, so I's expect a move down to the 61.8% at 11,848, and then perhaps lower towards the 76.4% at 11,828 where support should come in. If traders really want to take it down , then we could be looking at the high 700s or further down towards 750-700. Tomorrow morning will give us a clearer picture...
Good call Cat. The second one that is! I noticed bullish activity just before the Open.

There seems to be auto-sales as the Dax approaches 12k, possibly a couple of Funds de-risking.
  • #8,195
  • Mar 30, 2015 2:42am Mar 30, 2015 2:42am
Quoting PariCovek
{quote} Good call Cat. The second one that is! I noticed bullish activity just before the Open. There seems to be auto-sales as the Dax approaches 12k, possibly a couple of Funds de-risking.
haha! Yes, I think that's the last of my Sunday forecasts
  • #8,196
  • Mar 30, 2015 2:51am Mar 30, 2015 2:51am
Dax retesting original trend channel, it needs to close above 12043 to confirm.

12600 target here we come!
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  • #8,197
  • Mar 30, 2015 2:56am Mar 30, 2015 2:56am
Quoting PariCovek
Dax retesting original trend channel, it needs to close above 12043 to confirm. 12600 target here we come! {image}
Not today I don't think.. Be careful about trying to pick a top and short this because with R2 broken, and with momentum still firmly with the bulls, traders are most likely to want to take this up to at least the 76.4% @ 079, and then perhaps on to R3. I doubt we'll go much higher then that today, but this thing is clearly on steroids so wouldn't rule anything out.
  • #8,198
  • Mar 30, 2015 3:15am Mar 30, 2015 3:15am
Right now is testing the maximum of last week, waiting time to see what it does from this point.
  • #8,199
  • Mar 30, 2015 3:56am Mar 30, 2015 3:56am
Good morning.I just woke up and i see that lost all the up push.Time changed and my platform has some issues.Have a nice gren day everyone and have a nice week .
  • #8,200
  • Mar 30, 2015 4:01am Mar 30, 2015 4:01am
iam short 12046 hopefully can reach the target R1 11959.1
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