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  • #975,141
  • Mar 29, 2015 2:49pm Mar 29, 2015 2:49pm
Quoting sakisf
{quote} They are the same thing, same policies etc. so it doesn't matter. Only Le Pen gaining extra points would be bad for Euro.

when syriza got the majority in greece didnt notice (the same date happened) anything going on with the eur...

i dont believe even lepen gaining a few points or even majority would make that much difference....except if she said anything drastic when that happens
  • #975,142
  • Mar 29, 2015 2:57pm Mar 29, 2015 2:57pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} when syriza got the majority in greece didnt notice (the same date happened) anything going on with the eur... i dont believe even lepen gaining a few points or even majority would make that much difference....except if she said anything drastic when that happens
I disagree. Watch the days prior to Greek elections (25th Jan). 2nd chart is from 3rd failed presidential election on 29/12/14 to the election day. Never retraced. If Le Pen wins (highly unlikely) in the next elections, then the drop will be even steeper as her sole policy is 'France out of EU/EZ'.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #975,143
  • Mar 29, 2015 3:10pm Mar 29, 2015 3:10pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} when syriza got the majority in greece didnt notice (the same date happened) anything going on with the eur... i dont believe even lepen gaining a few points or even majority would make that much difference....except if she said anything drastic when that happens
France is considered one of the major influences in Europe, sure they are not as good as Germany but I wouldn't say France and Greece have the same weights.
Life only tastes good when you eat what you kill.
  • #975,144
  • Mar 29, 2015 3:14pm Mar 29, 2015 3:14pm
Quoting sakisf
{quote} They are the same thing, same policies etc. so it doesn't matter. Only Le Pen gaining extra points would be bad for Euro.
I know that the French are pretty slow in making changes, unless it is a 'revolution' style of demonstration.
Other than that, I'm not sure whether this election going to make any drastic changes with regard to how France's influence is in EU.
Life only tastes good when you eat what you kill.
  • #975,145
  • Mar 29, 2015 3:22pm Mar 29, 2015 3:22pm
Quoting sakisf
{quote} I disagree. Watch the days prior to Greek elections (25th Jan). 2nd chart is from 3rd failed presidential election on 29/12/14 to the election day. Never retraced. If Le Pen wins (highly unlikely) in the next elections, then the drop will be even steeper as her sole policy is 'France out of EU/EZ'. {image} {image}
saki dont forget it was super marios' "show business" a few days earlier in the form of announcing the QE


Quoting cherader
{quote} France is considered one of the major influences in Europe, sure they are not as good as Germany but I wouldn't say France and Greece have the same weights.
france in case you havent heard (i am not saying that in an offensive way...rather informational) was granted so far 3 or 4 extensions in terms of meeting the necessary targets with no "strings attached" while for greece we have all those "chit chat" back and forth...

lepen at the moment is the least of their issues...

OF COURSE if lepen gets a good result on the next elections and comes on , on her first press conference with something like "showing the finger" (the real one not the "varoufakis fake one" hahahahaha) to the EU.... then thats another story...

so far those kind of news didnt bother euro....


another example is that we have a few greek government backed loans to a few banks and state owned organizations for which no payment has been made yet and they are running on accruing "extra" interest rate... and still the euro is closer -at the moment- to 1.10 rather than 1.04 (at least)
  • #975,146
  • Mar 29, 2015 3:33pm Mar 29, 2015 3:33pm
Thought I might post this for tomorrows trades. I try to find where stops are likely to be and then trade accordingly.


My plan is to buy at A as the market comes through the stops with a tight stop and move to break even quickly. Target would be C


Should A fail then look to buy at B with a tight stop and target A.


If the C stops are hit first I will look to sell on a reversal candle and target stops A where I will reverse the trade. Below is the 5 min and 1hr chart.


Please feel free to comment
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  • #975,147
  • Mar 29, 2015 4:34pm Mar 29, 2015 4:34pm
#US #Dollar 3/26 = $96.31 pivot low could be a possible swing low.... if my calculations are correct. still watching 4/2 for a possible change in trend.
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"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #975,148
  • Mar 29, 2015 5:37pm Mar 29, 2015 5:37pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Ditto
Shorting GA here at 1.9240 with stop above 1.9260 is not a bad idea. Calculated risk.
Intraday only.
  • #975,149
  • Mar 29, 2015 5:45pm Mar 29, 2015 5:45pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Shorting GA here at 1.9240 with stop above 1.9260 is not a bad idea. Calculated risk.
May go to 1.92861

Have a pending SHORT GJ at 177.814
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #975,150
  • Mar 29, 2015 5:48pm Mar 29, 2015 5:48pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} May go to 1.92861 Have a pending SHORT GJ at 177.814
May be but Tokyo will retrace it before.
Intraday only.
  • #975,151
  • Mar 29, 2015 5:51pm Mar 29, 2015 5:51pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Shorting GA here at 1.9240 with stop above 1.9260 is not a bad idea. Calculated risk.
Also short GA around the same level. Feel like I should have waited for a better price. But I'm in it now so We'll see.
  • #975,152
  • Mar 29, 2015 6:16pm Mar 29, 2015 6:16pm
closing 1/2 of 3842 s.. 49 pips.. b.e. the rest ,, still 90% of 9098...will close if things change.. its near months end.. a big move can screw me. i will enter near 1050 if i can.. but close if it breaks high.. other than that still holding the shorts for now..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #975,153
  • Mar 29, 2015 6:18pm Mar 29, 2015 6:18pm
Quoting gatorinla
closing 1/2 of 3842 s.. 49 pips.. b.e. the rest ,, still 90% of 9098...will close if things change..
Bias to the downside today but I see a retest of Friday high in London before reversal in NY.
Intraday only.
  • #975,154
  • Mar 29, 2015 7:10pm Mar 29, 2015 7:10pm
Some whales just ambushed eur/usd.
  • #975,155
  • Mar 29, 2015 7:17pm Mar 29, 2015 7:17pm
Nice Asia open
  • #975,156
  • Mar 29, 2015 7:20pm Mar 29, 2015 7:20pm
Quoting gatorinla
closing 1/2 of 3842 s.. 49 pips.. b.e. the rest ,, still 90% of 9098...will close if things change.. its near months end.. a big move can screw me. i will enter near 1050 if i can.. but close if it breaks high.. other than that still holding the shorts for now..
yes very close to months end, end of our financial year, still waiting to see if fridays doji will playout that was a nice scalp too risky for me but reward favors the brave
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #975,157
  • Mar 29, 2015 7:30pm Mar 29, 2015 7:30pm
i think eur/usd might move upto nearby 1.1115
don't find the correct answer in market. just feel it and follow the wave.
  • #975,158
  • Mar 29, 2015 8:10pm Mar 29, 2015 8:10pm
If upside momentum is able to break above the noted 1.1100 resistance and 50-day moving average, I believe the next major resistance on an extension of the current rebound resides around the 1.1400 level.
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  • #975,159
  • Mar 29, 2015 8:22pm Mar 29, 2015 8:22pm
Quoting yunyoungro
i think eur/usd might move upto nearby 1.1115
Move up or down?
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #975,160
  • Mar 29, 2015 8:27pm Mar 29, 2015 8:27pm
Quoting Chicky
{quote} Move up or down?
up

it is just my opinion

trend is still down, but eur/usd chart looks like making a bull trap soon.
minimum 1.1115
it is NOT BUY SIGNAL.
the best strategy is "WAIT FOR SHORT"
don't find the correct answer in market. just feel it and follow the wave.
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