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EURUSD

  • #974,741
  • Mar 27, 2015 6:53am Mar 27, 2015 6:53am
sold AUD...going with the flow
  • #974,742
  • Mar 27, 2015 6:55am Mar 27, 2015 6:55am
Quoting Kofmaster
{quote}If professional have yet to full reload their shorts, they will buy back their own position to keep the price float, and when it finish distributed it will tank. The longer it takes to distribute, the harder it will tank.
Quoting Kofmaster
I'm not sure whether its going to go down today, still have to depends on weekly close. The playground now is 1.085- 1.104 My guesses is today is going to go back up to around 1.1. 1.1 is great place to short.
Still holding up well. Weekly should close around slightly higher 1.082. Next week should bring it to 1.1 or higher. Great place to short

Lets see
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #974,743
  • Mar 27, 2015 6:55am Mar 27, 2015 6:55am
ahah - return to levels where US trade came to an end yesterday
  • #974,744
  • Mar 27, 2015 6:56am Mar 27, 2015 6:56am
Quoting 21vs7
sold AUD...going with the flow
A bit early for me
  • #974,745
  • Mar 27, 2015 6:57am Mar 27, 2015 6:57am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Yes that is the thing i wanted to reply on your comment 2 days ago, not sure was it yours or someone elses. Their bond buying numbers are too low from what has been established, which probably helds up pressure on EUR, but the question is, will they sqeeze in with additional comming months what has been left over, couse that should then act as negative pressure onto EUR. So the question is how much weight does QE still pose onto EUR, especially when being undercut and a lot of it being priced in already.
u can't worry about each thing if u want to trade. setbacks are going to happen.. things dont always go as planned due to unforeseen or over/underestimation reactions. if u worry about each possibility u could never be able to balance the "what ifs" to take a trade. the right techs tend to smooth the volatility some.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #974,746
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:02am Mar 27, 2015 7:02am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} yep BE or trailing both there to protect accounts, at any time can manual close, wouldnt like to see too many green pip turn red, but sometimes trade needs room to breathe, that hourly plop was quite strong, though I was only idiot to jump in front, but it lined up with fridays close and 1hr 200sma cruising up, some times just gotta say fukit swissy still struggling and uc has bounce from todays open zone, which is expected, but need one of them to make a move before this hr close otherwise might bank it or atleast partial 1/2 and watch...
  • #974,747
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:05am Mar 27, 2015 7:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} u can't worry about each thing if u want to trade. setbacks are going to happen.. things dont always go as planned due to unforeseen or over/underestimation reactions. if u worry about each possibility u could never be able to balance the "what ifs" to take a trade. the right techs tend to smooth the volatility some.
Agree. Thats the reason i dont use this view to base trading decisions from at moment. Its too wrapped into paper.
  • #974,748
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:06am Mar 27, 2015 7:06am
Here we go again for the last mover of the month to set the super important Q/M/W combo roll. Only macro levels in play in the next few session.

For the news, a straight forward reading with inline with expectation numbers expected. Only an undershoot [not expected] will create decent moves as equities and dollar will react quite strongly as it will [over] and reconfirm FED killing hikes for June and even will open the floor for the talking dovish heads calling for hikes Q1 2016.

Although GDP numbers are still important, after the last FOMC meeting, inflation is the one to track for hikes so we may get a flop and flat closing opening NY session.

For the actual flows:

  1. A clear map is in play. Priority on the inline with expectation play to stay in a constrained chop zone (1.081x / 1.088x) until London goes home to later settle the key close combo.
  2. For the undershoot, the obvious 1.087x is the level and momentum line in play for the leg up with intermediate stops 1.096x to settle the M/W/D roll combo around there before opening clean sweep to the 1.11xx handle in the next few days after running the very decent stack of stops now in the highs.
  3. For a decent numbers and overshoot 1.083x is a direct short play. Losing the 1.080x handle open a full blown very tradable down leg to 1.049x with a strong intermediate stop 1.066x to settle the Q/M/W combo around there before completing the leg.

GL all

sisse

Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #974,749
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:09am Mar 27, 2015 7:09am
whats the recent adr?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #974,750
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:15am Mar 27, 2015 7:15am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} if I listened to you and exited my shorts albeit them being under water at ~1.10, I would've been pissed off with myself... since there was no reason to panic at all.... 10% drawdown is nothing for a swing/trend trader like me.... but I admit, the entry could've been better.... originally I placed my short eurusd at 1.0920, but eurusd was way to heavy to even get up there to trigger before FOMC. so 1.0820 was a better choice... then FOMC threw a curve ball not only at me, but to everyone... soo if FOMC's curveball can only make me suffer...
Happy that u didn't lose ,I was trading like this before but it's risky 10% and could go higher depends of market that's why i trade day by day now
any way i never tell anyone to do what i see because everyone should trade his own chart as u did , sorry if i over reacting and wish u green

this was my day trade
Quoting egkid
Daily close bullish , after some days of bracketing seems pa accepted in the zone I long now @0977
  • #974,751
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:16am Mar 27, 2015 7:16am
Quoting sisse
Here we go again for the last mover of the month to set the super important Q/M/W combo roll. Only macro levels in play in the next few session. For the news, a straight forward reading with inline with expectation numbers expected. Only an undershoot [not expected] will create decent moves as .............GL all sisse
So after all these nice beautiful words ... what position are you exactly taking?
Hear the music before the song is over ...
  • #974,752
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:19am Mar 27, 2015 7:19am
Hello folks - I'm new to Forex Factory. I intend to focus on EURSD and GBPUSD pairs to hone my skills.
Hope to learn and contribute my 2 cents where possible in this forum.
  • #974,753
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:20am Mar 27, 2015 7:20am
1.08 Lowest Level for 6 months.

Next Month will be white Monthly candle.
  • #974,754
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:22am Mar 27, 2015 7:22am
Quoting gatorinla
whats the recent adr?
5 day ADR is 149
5 day ATR is 156 (Wilder not MT4)
for today so far
  • #974,755
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:22am Mar 27, 2015 7:22am
Quoting Sants
{quote} yeah but with current pips produced by both bull +400 in 8 days and bear +200 pips in 1.5 days, bear slightly in control today. but day's not over yet, lets see gdp short view, if several hour before london open price is consolidating and if an hour before london open there's big momentum candle either bull nor bear, london may touch higher high/lower low depend on the momentum. isnt it? and today counted as that. {image}
I agree with you if today is end of month. Somehow, I feel there is neither HH nor LL this week.
  • #974,756
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:24am Mar 27, 2015 7:24am
Quoting scalperdebes
{quote}
did have a line in the sand this morning 0884 (todays open ) bulls tried but bears smashed em with that plop, if she cant attack it in next couple minute and/or uc drop thru todays open going to partial and just leave runners, pretty happy with their effort was slow grind but were nice hh hl,s
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #974,757
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:25am Mar 27, 2015 7:25am
Quoting MikiFX
{quote} Thanks for the suggestion but I do also consider "him" a quite valuable person in the forum in terms of TRADING (at least that's what all this is about, isn't it?)
His call is short, yay!
  • #974,758
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:26am Mar 27, 2015 7:26am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} did have a line in the sand this morning 0884 (todays open ) bulls tried but bears smashed em with that plop, if she cant attack it in next couple minute and/or uc drop thru todays open going to partial and just leave runners, pretty happy with their effort was slow grind but were nice hh hl,s
ri di o mate! thanks for all the insight.. green pips to you!
  • #974,759
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:27am Mar 27, 2015 7:27am
Quoting Dano12
ahah - return to levels where US trade came to an end yesterday



GDP
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  • #974,760
  • Mar 27, 2015 7:28am Mar 27, 2015 7:28am
Keep an eye on 1.09048 and 1.09538
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