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  • #974,661
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:21am Mar 27, 2015 4:21am
Quoting redbaron1981
Hi Sisse, I am new to this thread but really enjoy your analysis. Just wanted to ask your opinion. We are heavily long dollar at the moment and yesterdays selling pressure I can only assume was caused by risk aversion caused by Saudi as US data has not been to great lately. We have already squeezed higher on pre and post FOMC and to day we have GDP and U of M which are probably going to disappoint. It looks like the big stops above the FOMC spike 1.105X have not been taken and in fact if anything further shorts were added there. We have minor stops...
Very good analysis. I pretty much agree with all your views.

The only thing I am not convince is the move down first before taking the highs. It will be healthier TA wise to just clean the highs from here until next week otherwise we may get back to a major very noisy wide chop zone for some v. long few weeks of noise...

On the risk play, its over (market wise). There is almost consensus that is nothing to see risk wise at least for now.

Let's see how we roll in the Q/M/W/d combo first and we can follow up later with this conversation.
sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #974,662
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:26am Mar 27, 2015 4:26am
EUR/USD Supply Zones Before Yellen Speaks Do have a Look
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  • #974,663
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:27am Mar 27, 2015 4:27am
The upward trend correction may be over as EURUSD reversed its direction and gave all its early gains on yesterday session, after better-than-expected US initial jobless claims plus a rise in Markit Services PMI gave the USD further strength, discarding at the same time disappointing continuing jobless claims.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #974,664
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:28am Mar 27, 2015 4:28am
Quoting ffleo
weekly pivot is at 0775
do not hesitate, just go down to touch weekly pivot 0775 and then bounce.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #974,665
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:30am Mar 27, 2015 4:30am
Quoting navk
{quote} ok, break of 0800 will take it there.
i just watch. i have no influence over it. i trust more, a fluid move starting (open) above or at 0858 or higher. and that same candle closing below 0806.. if not, they usually stall until that happens or a total rejection.. 0825 is a wildcard i think.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #974,666
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:31am Mar 27, 2015 4:31am
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  • #974,667
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:33am Mar 27, 2015 4:33am
Quoting TuTang
{quote} Noob question thou. What is Geppy :-?
Name of the child of Thatcher and Abe
  • #974,668
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:35am Mar 27, 2015 4:35am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Name of the child of Thatcher and Abe
Thaaber
  • #974,669
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:36am Mar 27, 2015 4:36am
Quoting sisse
{quote} Very good analysis. I pretty much agree with all your views. The only thing I am not convince is the move down first before taking the highs. It will be healthier TA wise to just clean the highs from here until next week otherwise we may get back to a major very noisy wide chop zone for some v. long few weeks of noise... On the risk play, its over (market wise). There is almost consensus that is nothing to see risk wise at least for now. Let's see how we roll in the Q/M/W/d combo first and we can follow up later with this conversation. sisse...
I guess that would make sense in light that most of the uninformed may still be looking to take short positions if price rallies from here so there is no real demands for the sell stop liquidity resting below. I assume that's what you mean by the TA side?

Thanks for your opinions.
  • #974,670
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:38am Mar 27, 2015 4:38am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Name of the child of Thatcher and Abe
This sounds better ))
  • #974,671
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:44am Mar 27, 2015 4:44am
Quoting GlobalMacro
{quote} They may be il-liquid trading hours if that's what you mean but certainly not closed , not throughout the week days.
Please tell me what market is open 1 hour after the US market closes...
5% a day keeps the 9 to 5 away.
  • #974,672
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:45am Mar 27, 2015 4:45am
Quoting sisse
{quote} Very good analysis. I pretty much agree with all your views. The only thing I am not convince is the move down first before taking the highs. It will be healthier TA wise to just clean the highs from here until next week otherwise we may get back to a major very noisy wide chop zone for some v. long few weeks of noise... On the risk play, its over (market wise). There is almost consensus that is nothing to see risk wise at least for now. Let's see how we roll in the Q/M/W/d combo first and we can follow up later with this conversation. sisse...
What about NFP next week? Holiday so less liquidity expected?
Nonetheless, the market might recover to the highs a bit, preparing for NFP again? Valid assumption?
  • #974,673
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:46am Mar 27, 2015 4:46am
tech wise a hh now above 1052.. is a green light for just under 1.1500 (mid at 1.1271) .. if we go to 1.0756 and then make a h/h, 1.164x is a target.(mid at 1.1347)
dont break that high and 1.0173x and 0.9871 are in line.. using recent pa. older pa still has .8xx in scope
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #974,674
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:47am Mar 27, 2015 4:47am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} you mean cable bounced too far?
still too early to tell

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #974,675
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:48am Mar 27, 2015 4:48am
Quoting ptyforex
{quote} Please tell me what market is open 1 hour after the US market closes...
futures closed 1 hour, spot open 24 hours
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #974,676
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:52am Mar 27, 2015 4:52am
Quoting ptyforex
{quote} Please tell me what market is open 1 hour after the US market closes...
Wellington
  • #974,677
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:56am Mar 27, 2015 4:56am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} you mean cable bounced too far?
I was talking about the goat pic... but nvm whats your view on cable @@
  • #974,678
  • Mar 27, 2015 4:58am Mar 27, 2015 4:58am
Quoting TuTang
{quote} I was talking about the goat pic... but nvm whats your view on cable @@
i do not know. I only watch if 1.48 holds or not
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #974,679
  • Mar 27, 2015 5:00am Mar 27, 2015 5:00am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} i do not know. I only watch if 1.48 holds or not
if it holds, whether it goes above 1.498 or not
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #974,680
  • Mar 27, 2015 5:01am Mar 27, 2015 5:01am
Quoting TuTang
{quote} I was talking about the goat pic... but nvm whats your view on cable @@

We need a bump before news and a big dump after that...
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