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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #7,881
  • Mar 25, 2015 11:36am Mar 25, 2015 11:36am
Quoting deltaone
will buy dax etf again @11.825 - if we go there.

crazy looking at the SP500 and last correlation with DAX
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SP500_4H_.gif Size: 205 KB
  • #7,882
  • Mar 25, 2015 11:45am Mar 25, 2015 11:45am
Quoting Dano12
{quote} crazy looking at the SP500 and last correlation with DAX {image}
crazy horse + sitting bull = crazy bull = deltaone ofc. you´re right, looking at the correlation. but this heuristic gave me several thousands of dax-points, and fundamentally nothing has changed. so i´m going ahead with this. if needed, i will keep on buying through a potential correction until my risk budget is achieved.

thanks for the warning.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,883
  • Mar 25, 2015 11:57am Mar 25, 2015 11:57am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} crazy horse + sitting bull = crazy bull = deltaone ofc. youre right, looking at the correlation. but this heuristic gave me several thousands of dax-points, and fundamentally nothing has changed. so im going ahead with this. if needed, i will keep on buying through a potential correction until my risk budget is achieved. thanks for the warning.
You can say what your maximum pips risk ??
  • #7,884
  • Edited 12:12pm Mar 25, 2015 11:59am | Edited 12:12pm
daily profit: +-0 , 17 trades. only longs. not so good today.
tired. see you tomorrow.
Whatever the mind can conceive, the mind can believe, the mind can achieve.
  • #7,885
  • Mar 25, 2015 12:03pm Mar 25, 2015 12:03pm
long dow @17823,4 sl -20 tp +60
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,886
  • Mar 25, 2015 12:05pm Mar 25, 2015 12:05pm
Quoting jmss59
{quote} You can say what your maximum pips risk ??
will answer later.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,887
  • Mar 25, 2015 12:06pm Mar 25, 2015 12:06pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} crazy horse + sitting bull = crazy bull = deltaone ofc. youre right, looking at the correlation. but this heuristic gave me several thousands of dax-points, and fundamentally nothing has changed. so im going ahead with this. if needed, i will keep on buying through a potential correction until my risk budget is achieved. thanks for the warning.
I know that printing EUr and the bull, if you do not broke support SP500 this agreement 11 800 825
  • #7,888
  • Mar 25, 2015 12:10pm Mar 25, 2015 12:10pm
Quoting deltaone
long dow @17823,4 sl -20 tp +60
sl hit. -20
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,889
  • Edited 1:11pm Mar 25, 2015 12:24pm | Edited 1:11pm
Quoting medici
{quote} To avoid further verbal descriptions, here's a 1 min chart. {image}
Charts look pretty much the same with the two of us)) But I don't see you buy stop entrance @11906, you may kill me/
  • #7,890
  • Mar 25, 2015 1:28pm Mar 25, 2015 1:28pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GezqtW2.png Size: 129 KB


Bouncing back from S1, still long aiming around 12120, then real correction can happen
  • #7,891
  • Mar 25, 2015 2:02pm Mar 25, 2015 2:02pm
Swinging Trade
DAX, Long @ 11'873, Target @ 12'000
  • #7,892
  • Mar 25, 2015 2:34pm Mar 25, 2015 2:34pm
lol @ dow, this is a total bloodbath , uS mkts get no love anymore
  • #7,893
  • Mar 25, 2015 2:42pm Mar 25, 2015 2:42pm
Quoting Ck87
lol @ dow, this is a total bloodbath , uS mkts get no love anymore
perfect for 1m scalping (the count is at 35 scalps now)- but this is no bloodbath, only -1,5%. what would you call a market with let´s say -5%? armageddon?
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,894
  • Mar 25, 2015 2:51pm Mar 25, 2015 2:51pm
I see I am not the only one scalping DOW up
  • #7,895
  • Mar 25, 2015 3:01pm Mar 25, 2015 3:01pm
Quoting ThePolarFox
I see I am not the only one scalping DOW up
hehehe. when scalping, i use both - long and short. hard work, but profitable. need to calm down... pils und kippchen
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,896
  • Mar 25, 2015 3:21pm Mar 25, 2015 3:21pm
Hi all

Come home to see a bad daxy baby - get well soon !

Anyone think the 11,780/90 level is important as I can see a good bounce point or a further down
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #7,897
  • Mar 25, 2015 3:36pm Mar 25, 2015 3:36pm
Quoting jmss59
{quote} You can say what your maximum pips risk ??
regarding the past years, i have never reached my risk budget due to the fact that no trend is running without regression (one might say price action can be understood as a "geometrische brownsche bewegung").

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...e_Bewegung.png

this strategy is stricly based on fundamental reasons and obeys to the last in first out rule:

long: starting with -200 points from the last top. buy again when from that entry dax makes another -200 points. sell every position when tp is reached (+200)
short: vice versa

risk budget is -2000 points. note this etf is without leverage and without financing costs. but for sure, discipline and and patience is needed - and you have to be right on your fundamental analysis. this can be mean-reversion or special situations. atm, i think we have both (mean-reversion of p/e and qe)
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,898
  • Mar 25, 2015 4:46pm Mar 25, 2015 4:46pm
the safest way to insure NO one will watch a thread on ff? just post something with a theoretical/statistical background. directly, EVERYONE will fade away
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #7,899
  • Mar 25, 2015 5:25pm Mar 25, 2015 5:25pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} perfect for 1m scalping (the count is at 35 scalps now)- but this is no bloodbath, only -1,5%. what would you call a market with lets say -5%? armageddon?
Something like that....
  • #7,900
  • Mar 25, 2015 5:46pm Mar 25, 2015 5:46pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Something like that....
Höchste Tagesverluste[Bearbeiten]
Die Tabelle zeigt die höchsten Tagesverluste des bis 1959 zurückgerechneten DAX.[34]
RangDatumSchlussstand
in PunktenVeränderung
in PunktenVeränderung
in %
116. Okt. 19891.385,72−203,62−12,81
219. Aug. 19911.497,93−155,44−9,40
319. Okt. 19871.321,61−136,94−9,39
411. Sep. 20014.273,53−396,60−8,49
528. Okt. 19973.567,22−311,90−8,04
626. Okt. 19871.193,31−99,36−7,69
729. Mai 1962354,41−27,56−7,22
821. Jan. 20086.790,19−523,98−7,16
96. Okt. 20085.387,01−410,02−7,07
1010. Okt. 20084.544,31−342,69−7,01
fortis fortuna adiuvat
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