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  • #972,821
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:23am Mar 24, 2015 5:23am
not sure if anyone watching but swiisy showing signs of dumping uc and uj trying for fomc lows interesting night so far, brits crapped out aaaaaaaaagain they still could pull it out the bag,
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #972,822
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:24am Mar 24, 2015 5:24am
Where are the regulators of this industry. NU has been manipulated all day.....
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As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #972,823
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:25am Mar 24, 2015 5:25am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Then how to trade it? Where to enter and exit?
Short EU here? Seems like they're about to slaughter late longs on this leg... Oil seems like it just had its delayed stop out move as well..... Still think we will see sub 40 levels there.... not sure if we hit 50 first though but definitely shorting this move
  • #972,824
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:29am Mar 24, 2015 5:29am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Short EU here? Seems like they're about to slaughter late longs on this leg... Oil seems like it just had its delayed stop out move as well..... Still think we will see sub 40 levels there.... not sure if we hit 50 first though but definitely shorting this move
Not sure - don't have insider info

Re Crude and XAU we are on different path .......

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  • #972,825
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:31am Mar 24, 2015 5:31am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Not sure - don't have insider info Re Crude and XAU we are on different path ....... {image}
I meant are you short EU here not asking for advice, i'm short. People getting real jittery on this move, wish I had taken my damn profit to reload up here but w/e
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  • #972,826
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:32am Mar 24, 2015 5:32am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Short EU here? Seems like they're about to slaughter late longs on this leg... Oil seems like it just had its delayed stop out move as well..... Still think we will see sub 40 levels there.... not sure if we hit 50 first though but definitely shorting this move
The one hour chart still seems to have some juice left in it; let's see what PA decides!
  • #972,827
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:32am Mar 24, 2015 5:32am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} at 1.0998 u were 1/4 way to 1.0... the sister 23.6 ( 0942) bulls closed above yesterday.. bulls dont want to lose -0942 today or this week. 1.0998 is the one bulls have to beat now, or the bulls lose the battle. its a war of attrition. and if 1.098 makes the stand, tyrant will be laughing all the way to the bank

But if the bulls win the batlle 1,0998 what do you think then?
  • #972,828
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:32am Mar 24, 2015 5:32am
Quoting ptyforex
{quote} I would have to disagree with you my friend. Fundamentals doesn't create supply and demand. Reason being is because for one in forex the supply is artificial. What would be 100% of the lots which can one person can own of EUR/USD? If the supply is artifical then what does that make the demand? Well the demand would then be a multi-layered pie which the market can eat up being that the banks have market depth. The market has the ability to see all pending orders which of course gives them the edge to shift the price where they can earn most...

As an Elliott Wave trader I will support you here.

When price was around 399x the sentiment towards the USD was very bleak. When I remember correctly, the daily sentiment index (DSI) showed around only 5% USD bulls.

When price traded at the low a week ago, there were only 3% EUR bulls left.

And we can see nearly everytime, that after the moves some fundamental new is seeing fit to justify the moves.


Whe we would take the central banks, whith all their highly paid and highly educated people as the ultima ratio for fundamental analysis: why is it, that central banks so often fail with their fundamental decisions?

Only few examples, but can easily dig more out: selling of Gold of the Britain CB just before the take off, buying of Gold at the top near 2000 (Russia, China, other Asians etc.), the unpeg of the EURCHF from the SNB etc, etc.


And especially: the movements are not made from the higher TF, but from the lower TF and set forth to the higher TF. If it would be the other way around, we would be living in a Laplace world, in a deterministic world.
  • #972,829
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:33am Mar 24, 2015 5:33am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} I meant are you short EU here not asking for advice, i'm short.
Close the most part for some 40 pips - yes tiny part left floating
  • #972,830
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:37am Mar 24, 2015 5:37am
Think it's possible we go down to 1.0684 in the next week or so... but I'll TP 1.0824 if I'm fortunate enough to get the chance, then wait & see how PA looks..
Still like GU short better and Dax longs after sell offs...
  • #972,831
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:47am Mar 24, 2015 5:47am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} As an Elliott Wave trader I will support you here. When price was around 399x the sentiment towards the USD was very bleak. When I remember correctly, the daily sentiment index (DSI) showed around only 5% USD bulls. When price traded at the low a week ago, there were only 3% EUR bulls left. And we can see nearly everytime, that after the moves some fundamental new is seeing fit to justify the moves. Whe we would take the central banks, whith all their highly paid and highly educated people as the ultima ratio for fundamental analysis: why...


and with that being said:

Goldman's Cohn Slams Fed's Fisher: A Soaring Dollar Is Not Positive For US Jobs, Companies


LOL

I mean, even inside of the FED there is no agreement if the strong USD will hurt or not


And then there is the Kraken, who just told to see the EURUSD at 0.8 or so, but in the same analysis was blabbering about fair value of 1.20

http://blogs.wsj.com/moneybeat/2015/...-doesnt-go-up/


So the question is:

with all the over-highly paid fundamental analysts at various banks (I do not mean the sell-side, which is lying more than talking the truth): why can they not figure out the same targets based on their valuable fundamental analysis?

Inquiring minds want to know!
  • #972,832
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:52am Mar 24, 2015 5:52am
USD JPY support
  • #972,833
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:52am Mar 24, 2015 5:52am
Bulls still active
  • #972,834
  • Edited 6:17am Mar 24, 2015 5:52am | Edited 6:17am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} and here we are... a close above (D preferably) and we should bounce north off this area tomorrow or later in the week....would set us up for the possible retrace next month. Closes below...and we head south... Looking more and more at it- all bearish movements were valid up until the FU fomc candle...if you take that candle out...the bullish movement/bounce is invalid.
tada

Hopefully we visit this spot again, possibly after a HH
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  • #972,835
  • Mar 24, 2015 5:58am Mar 24, 2015 5:58am
Wow this thing just refuses to come down...
  • #972,836
  • Mar 24, 2015 6:01am Mar 24, 2015 6:01am
I'm going to spend the time before the US CPI announcements to figure out a shot at a short (with an appropriately placed SL!).
  • #972,837
  • Mar 24, 2015 6:03am Mar 24, 2015 6:03am
Quoting ExForX
{quote} Gator, if I remember correctly, Tyrant had a target of 1.065. Is that what you mean with "all the way to the bank", or would you even say that parity would be within reach (that would be really ROFLMAO all the way to the bank! )? Because I saw you mention earlier that failure to get higher would mean a possible final stop to the highs and a continuation towards parity... what do you think?
u dont need me to say this.. at any random point, u can pick any place on a chart and say "if it dont go here.. it will go here. " shady but true. and u will be correct 100% or a draw..
change those random points to a more repeatable place, that works most times, and u got a system. if u can place a repeatable time limit, that works most times. even better. 1098 is just a place.. 0942 is just a place.. 0471 is just a place. 3992 is just a place 1.0 is just a place. they can all be random.. nobody knows the future..
together all of these random #s have a sequence. when counting to 8, u go to 4 before 5.
in forex and going to 8, it may bounce off 5 and back to 3 before 8 is reached. going back to 3 from 5 dont mean 4 was not important.

1098 is #6.. 0499 is #7 and 1.0 #8
fib wise .. 0471 0942 1234
one can sit back and watch, to see reactions. holds or fail to hold. possibly incorporate it with another system. trade or not trade.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #972,838
  • Mar 24, 2015 6:03am Mar 24, 2015 6:03am
ok lets see some W on m5 and reverse !
"I'm not answering stupid questions."
  • #972,839
  • Mar 24, 2015 6:04am Mar 24, 2015 6:04am
one more time 1,1 and pull back, USD JPY on the support, so
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  • #972,840
  • Mar 24, 2015 6:04am Mar 24, 2015 6:04am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Give it few days .......... {image}
I'm hopin this will be done by eod. AU about to take bull lead imo. Potentially about to break 4hr highs and NU is about to run into daily resistance... So yeah leaving a couple of days would prob be smart but I don't make any claims
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
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