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  • #969,361
  • Mar 16, 2015 1:56am Mar 16, 2015 1:56am
Quoting shellsnail
{quote} Thanks for the heads up. But the charts are biding their time. Fundamentals only really matter when the technicals align. That said, there's some divergence on EUR/USD 1H chart, and the intraday technicals have turned up, so may be a matter of time before we see a larger push up.


It starts with the fudamentals and the techical come after but it takes some time before the changes come
  • #969,362
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:02am Mar 16, 2015 2:02am
Quoting MarianneOslo
{quote} It starts with the fudamentals and the techical come after but it takes some time before the changes come
Ah the ol' chicken and the egg argument....

Anyhows its time for Franky hour....
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  • #969,363
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:02am Mar 16, 2015 2:02am
Quoting MarianneOslo
{quote} Things are starting to improve in Europe. WE can fear an greekexit but I do not think the greek are that stupid.
I beg to differ...I think they are...statistically speaking they, as a nation,went bankrupt once about 36 years or so...one more an it will come down to 30
Why sell the bottoms when you can buy the tops...
  • #969,364
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:05am Mar 16, 2015 2:05am
Lets be honest about this...

Greee is the Toilet.
Cyprus is the half floating turd, spinning round the turbelent waters.
Spain, Portrugal, the turds clinging onto the side of the pan, slipping slowly towars the water, leavimg nasty mess down the bowl.

Now... time for breakfast.......
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  • #969,365
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:08am Mar 16, 2015 2:08am
Quoting shellsnail
{quote} Thanks for the heads up. But the charts are biding their time. Fundamentals only really matter when the technicals align. That said, there's some divergence on EUR/USD 1H chart, and the intraday technicals have turned up, so may be a matter of time before we see a larger push up.
actually its the other way around... Fudamentals define the playground for the technicals to play in.....
in 2008 pre lehman brothers period, market continues to go up and up and up, technicals were supportive of buy on dips, but fundamentals were already turning sour... people just didnt listen carefully to them.... when fundamental actually came into reality market crashed... and how do i know that fundamentals drives market? well when fundamentals hit.... Free market economics came into full effect, Panic in market is more Fundamental factor rather than technical factor..... you cant measure panic... its a qualitative nature....
but enough to drive the US stock market 50% down..... technicals would have argued that there should be supports holding the levels... but technicals on that day got blown apart... because fundamentals are much stronger as a driver of the market. it is what defines the field of the market....
once the field is set by fundamentals... the technicals comes in like the innings in a baseball pitch... or... better yet...

Fundamentals is the Field, either be played at the Cardinals's university of phoenix stadium or the Patriots' Foxborough Gilette stadium... then the technicals are the Yardage lines.... 10,20,30,40,50,40,30,20,10 yard lines.... get it?? fundamentals dictate the bigger picture.
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  • #969,366
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:22am Mar 16, 2015 2:22am
Quoting pepsiez
{quote} what tanget NU bullish i can stay help me intruct me plz
My humble opinion...If I can help. There are a selling pressure at 74.10-20. NFP candle. There is buyin pressure at 72.xx, NZ Central Bank candle. In a range maybe till FOMC minutes. If you have sold 74.xx is a good sell position and you can use tight s/l till FOMC. If you have sold below 74.xx you are in the middle of one range till FOMC, good for scalpers. You are in the hands of FOMC minutes...
  • #969,367
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:22am Mar 16, 2015 2:22am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} actually its the other way around... Fudamentals define the playground for the technicals to play in..... in 2008 pre lehman brothers period, market continues to go up and up and up, technicals were supportive of buy on dips, but fundamentals were already turning sour... people just didnt listen carefully to them.... when fundamental actually came into reality market crashed... and how do i know that fundamentals drives market? well when fundamentals hit.... Free market economics came into full effect, Panic in market is more Fundamental...
for me I think price comprises of both private and public information. Fundamentals represent public information. As more private information become public, or when the consensus starts to form, the price movements will amplify.

But technicals lead fundamentals because price has more information.
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  • #969,368
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:23am Mar 16, 2015 2:23am
Good evening everyone,

If the the 1.0500 bounce is here to stay,

Target 1: 1.0650
Target 2: 1.0750

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FOMC in less than 60 hours away...
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  • #969,369
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:24am Mar 16, 2015 2:24am
[quote=Lavanda;8139088]{quote} My humble opinion...If I can help. There are a selling pressure at 74.10-20. NFP candle. There is buying pressure at 72.xx, NZ Central Bank candle. In a range maybe till FOMC minutes. If you have sold 74.xx is a good sell position and you can use tight s/l till FOMC. If you have sold below 74.xx you are in the middle of one range till FOMC, good for scalpers. You are in the hands of FOMC minutes... If this is your case, I would close asap if I get 1 PIP of benefits.
  • #969,370
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:25am Mar 16, 2015 2:25am
[quote=Lavanda;8139096]
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} My humble opinion...If I can help. There are a selling pressure at 74.10-20. NFP candle. There is buying pressure at 72.xx, NZ Central Bank candle. In a range maybe till FOMC minutes. If you have sold 74.xx is a good sell position and you can use tight s/l till FOMC. If you have sold below 74.xx you are in the middle of one range till FOMC, good for scalpers. You are in the hands of FOMC minutes... If this is your case, I would close asap if I get 1 PIP of benefits.
NU is the only pair ( no crosses pairs) has touched NFP candle.
  • #969,371
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:26am Mar 16, 2015 2:26am
[quote=Lavanda;8139103]
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} NU is the only pair ( no crosses pairs) has touched NFP candle.
EURNZD is a good long (cheap and volatile) Can serve as a hedge if you are shorting EUR/USD.
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  • #969,372
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:29am Mar 16, 2015 2:29am
Quoting Ck87
Sooner or later the intraday explosion toward 1.07 may become a reality.. hoping for one more down move before that, never know though... one more sell off below 1.05 on EU, then maybe up to 1.065ish? All I know I gotta be patient and use good MM, so if/when a spike does come got plenty of dry powder ready to take advantage of a good opportunity to sell higher.

What's up with your post/predictions? I've read some of your post the last few days, and it's more confusing then helpful. I'm going to award you zero points.

I could say the exact same thing in different wording. I'll give it a try: "...Price will get to 1.07, when it spikes up.. but wishing it will push further down, you never know though. I don't want to make any predictions against the apparent *bullish* trend... Maybe some more short trades, below 1.05? where you ask? I'll let you know when it gets there. Then maybe back up to 1.065-70? All I know is, I have to be patient, have good M&M's, So when it spikes up, get plenty of baby powder ready and take advantage of the good opportunity to short or long..."

I can see why fxtyrant doesn't like you. LOL
  • #969,373
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:45am Mar 16, 2015 2:45am
Quoting mrdownload
{quote} What's up with your post/predictions? I've read some of your post the last few days, and it's more confusing then helpful. I'm going to award you zero points. I could say the exact same thing in different wording. I'll give it a try: "...Price will get to 1.07, when it spikes up.. but wishing it will push further down, you never know though. I don't want to make any predictions against the apparent *bullish* trend... Maybe some more short trades, below 1.05? where you ask? I'll let you know when it gets there. Then maybe back up to 1.065-70?...
i think this and i think that, but overall it could end up both this and that... so make sure you do this when that happens but dont do this when that happens.
in the end this and that might happen or it might not happen, if this happen, make sure that is what you will do.
that is the end, and this is it....

what the f**king f**k??
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #969,374
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:46am Mar 16, 2015 2:46am
Quoting shellsnail
{quote} I think a deep retrace of 15 min chart (below 1.05155) and shoot up is most likely. the other scenario is a pressure breakout upwards. the least likely scenario is breakdown.

Looks like classic Frankfurt reversal so far... May still fail though. see what happens when london opens.
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  • #969,375
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:47am Mar 16, 2015 2:47am
damn i dont know where the market is heading..

But I'm pretty good at following what market tells me to do.
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #969,376
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:47am Mar 16, 2015 2:47am
Quoting Kofmaster
damn i dont know where the market is heading.. But I'm pretty good at following what market tells me to do.
or do you mean following what i do??
anyways buddy, all the best if ur trading mondays...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #969,377
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:50am Mar 16, 2015 2:50am
[quote=shellsnail;8139105]
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} EURNZD is a good long (cheap and volatile) Can serve as a hedge if you are shorting EUR/USD.
CHEAPPPP????? In Spain is the most expensive EUR crosses I can quote. Anyway It was a piece of advice, not my case. I wouldn't touch this pair till FOMC, I would liked to buy below 0'73, because I see the the two daily rebounds below 0'72
  • #969,378
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:51am Mar 16, 2015 2:51am
Quoting Kofmaster
damn i dont know where the market is heading.. But I'm pretty good at following what market tells me to do.
Good luck!
  • #969,379
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:51am Mar 16, 2015 2:51am
[quote=Lavanda;8139150]
Quoting shellsnail
{quote} CHEAPPPP????? In Spain is the most expensive EUR crosses I can quote. Anyway It was a piece of advice, not my case. I wouldn't touch this pair till FOMC, I would liked to buy below 0'73, because I see the the two daily rebounds below 0'72
Thanks for advice I trade my own.
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  • #969,380
  • Mar 16, 2015 2:53am Mar 16, 2015 2:53am
[quote=shellsnail;8139105]
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} EURNZD is a good long (cheap and volatile) Can serve as a hedge if you are shorting EUR/USD.
Yeah been taking longs from the low

Made a few an gave it all back going to early

still its been sucked back down lower an lower

Well over due for a blast into the solar system.

Must be getting close for a we bounce
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