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  • #967,921
  • Mar 11, 2015 8:36pm Mar 11, 2015 8:36pm
Gator mentioned 0592 norm, the mid I shorted from is 0589 mentioned earlier today.

I don't see us getting much past 0560-0562, 0575 lower mofu & has confluence with other fibs. 0560 is half apple and also a mid. Thats a lot of resistance stacked up.

Plus hourly boob formation possibly forming. It isnt formed until its formed. It will signal lower though once and if it does.

On the daily TF I have 1.0645 & 1.0609 as a good short. If we close above the 60-62 break out zone, I'll tp everything and look to short the mofu zone / norm again.

Just my .02
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  • #967,922
  • Mar 11, 2015 8:37pm Mar 11, 2015 8:37pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} That's the right way to play it. I told myself I would be short only as well vs USD, but somehow caved in to longing euro now. Hopefully won't regret it, and it's definitely not a scalp. Certainly feels stupid. Good discipline & patience by you sir.
I do not know your Broker allows hedging. I am hedging and taking it out. Double or even triple as long as you maintain risk.

Never done this for long, but got trapped into this stupid long in NY today.
Intraday only.
  • #967,923
  • Edited 8:53pm Mar 11, 2015 8:40pm | Edited 8:53pm
Also, not like I was suggesting to buy teh knife and counter the king, but GU hit another monthly support, so Geppy now performing also well. Ofc I hold

Nikkei gonna break any second. Am seer.

I have also loaded few E/G shorts now.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #967,924
  • Mar 11, 2015 8:56pm Mar 11, 2015 8:56pm
EG breaking triangle. Not joking
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #967,925
  • Mar 11, 2015 8:59pm Mar 11, 2015 8:59pm
many here talk about fed not raising. maybe they are right. i dont think they are right , but maybe they are. if they are, what would it matter? the rest of the world is cutting.

china has dropped growth forecast 5.5%. they usually paint a unrealistic rosy picture. this forecast may be still rosier then reality. shit runs downhill, meaning places selling commodities to china are probably going to cut later. Asian and ecb cuts are the same as a fed raise in monetary reactions. even if the fed never increases . after the knee-jerk, the trend would remain as long as dilution remained. 3400 pips, with just a wink from the ecb and fed. whats the reaction with a real raise???????????????????????..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #967,926
  • Edited 9:24pm Mar 11, 2015 9:07pm | Edited 9:24pm
Quoting gatorinla
many here talk about fed not raising. maybe they are right. i dont think they are right , but maybe they are. if they are, what would it matter? the rest of the world is cutting. china has dropped growth forecast 5.5%. they usually paint a unrealistic rosy picture. this forecast may be still rosier then reality. shit runs downhill, meaning places selling commodities to china are probably going to cut later. Asian and ecb cuts are the same as a fed raise in monetary reactions. even if the fed never increases . after the knee-jerk, the trend...
Yup, you are right. ECB now takes the lead in stocks, FED can allow a lil hike. Perhaps some is already priced in USD strength? Who knows. Am expecting second cut from RBA here.

Edit: I think they cant do any real hike, as addicts would collapse . Imo they do just a lil wannabe hike to test waters frst.

Edit: Watch that Nikkei!!!

Oh noe, move again triggered GU stops :/, my poor Geppys are stuck and aint flying as they wish...cant have everything.

Edit:
Quoting Pharm0r
Now why would they be doing that?
Hahaha. Nice one. Hit the nail straight on the head.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #967,927
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:22pm Mar 11, 2015 9:22pm
Quoting gatorinla
many here talk about fed not raising. maybe they are right. i dont think they are right , but maybe they are. if they are, what would it matter? the rest of the world is cutting. china has dropped growth forecast 5.5%. they usually paint a unrealistic rosy picture. this forecast may be still rosier then reality. shit runs downhill, meaning places selling commodities to china are probably going to cut later. Asian and ecb cuts are the same as a fed raise in monetary reactions. even if the fed never increases . after the knee-jerk, the trend would...
My house loan is 3.5%, 10 years ago people were paying 10%+ much lower and I'll just be paying principal

The thing is- banks are literally calling me and sending me letters EVERY day asking me to refinance to a lower rate. Now why would they be doing that?

Each time I refinance, does that count as a new home loan? I've only bought this house a year ago, they aren't making any money off me by the refinance. Not compared to my home value.
  • #967,928
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:23pm Mar 11, 2015 9:23pm
mass panic in Asia, maybe see close to parity before friday
  • #967,929
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:23pm Mar 11, 2015 9:23pm
Snap back rally can't be too far away.....
  • #967,930
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:24pm Mar 11, 2015 9:24pm
Next stop, 1.04912
  • #967,931
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:25pm Mar 11, 2015 9:25pm
maximum eurusd selling, 1.05 support broken
Perfecting your entry will increase your profits
  • #967,932
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:25pm Mar 11, 2015 9:25pm
EU already playing with yesterdays lows, so early, look out.
  • #967,933
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:26pm Mar 11, 2015 9:26pm
Quoting Kofmaster
{quote} Whats the difference between a subscribed bloomberg and a public bloomberg?
Public bloomberg = www.bloomberg.com accessible for anyone...

Bloomberg Terminal = 2500 usd per month subscriptoin per license....
these babies are the cream of the crop, all real time data releases, central bank decision without fear of downtime.... so unlike forex factory.... data releases are instantly and no refreshes needed...
lots of financial modelling tools and a Consensus of Bank's forecast of currencies and Bank's in house analysis and for the top end users, trade book and live quotation from multiple banks. you will see which bank is quoting the eurusd at which price etc etc...
also you get to see fx options and the volumes at different levels.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #967,934
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:28pm Mar 11, 2015 9:28pm
Dont panic, run for your lives!!
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  • #967,935
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:29pm Mar 11, 2015 9:29pm
Lambs for the slaughter planning for this to fall hard from these levels after that drop we just saw.... that's the last thing I'll say about this, good luck.
  • #967,936
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:30pm Mar 11, 2015 9:30pm
Quoting Ck87
Lambs for the slaughter planning for this to fall hard from these levels after that drop we just saw.... that's the last thing I'll say about this, good luck.
HARDER THAN HARD, but dont quote me on this
  • #967,937
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:32pm Mar 11, 2015 9:32pm
0465 is indicated in my chart. Let us see. May be a small retracement after Asia ( 30 min from now ) will provide opportunity again to add more.
Intraday only.
  • #967,938
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:32pm Mar 11, 2015 9:32pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yup, you are right. ECB now takes the lead in stocks, FED can allow a lil hike. Perhaps some is already priced in USD strenght? Who knows. Am expecting second cut from RBA here. Edit: I think they cant do any real hike, as addicts would collapse . Imo they do just a lil wannabe hike to test waters frst.
the u.s. commodity domestic sellers will have their ass kicked off selling commodities cheaper. the commodity importers will have the same problem +, but with added freight cost detracting from profit. cheaper china/Asian products with china cut will also infiltrate Europe to null some of the ecb printing. that would encourage more ecb printing in the never ending cycle. more expensive energy comparably in Germany then u.s. will make German auto makers build more in the u.s. its still early, it can take years for a healthy man to die of cancer. being healthy is not always a good thing with a long drawn out illness. it takes too long to die
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #967,939
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:33pm Mar 11, 2015 9:33pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Public bloomberg = www.bloomberg.com accessible for anyone... Bloomberg Terminal = 2500 usd per month subscriptoin per license.... these babies are the cream of the crop, all real time data releases, central bank decision without fear of downtime.... so unlike forex factory.... data releases are instantly and no refreshes needed... lots of financial modelling tools and a Consensus of Bank's forecast of currencies and Bank's in house analysis and for the top end users, trade book and live quotation from...

I see the advantageous of getting the live news fastest. But that doesn't really affect swing traders dont it? As data releases merely daily noises, and news like QE takes long time to gets its effect and its publicly available.
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #967,940
  • Mar 11, 2015 9:35pm Mar 11, 2015 9:35pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} the u.s. commodity domestic sellers will have their ass kicked off selling commodities cheaper. the commodity importers will have the same problem +, but with added freight cost detracting from profit. cheaper china/Asian products with china cut will also infiltrate Europe to null some of the ecb printing. that would encourage more ecb printing in the never ending cycle. more expensive energy comparably in Germany then u.s. will make German auto makers build more in the u.s. its still early, it can take years for a healthy man to die of...
Wow, man you are nuts. Thx a lot for your thoughts, but I gotta chew it for some time.

Man, whats the problem for commodity importers? Also freight costs cheaper due to Oil. Is boost of sea trade.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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