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  • #967,041
  • Mar 10, 2015 2:39am Mar 10, 2015 2:39am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} do you think the FED cares if the USD is trading at such strong dollar levels?? buddy, ask yourself 1 question.... US is a net importer or a net exporter?? once you find out the answer you'll know why FED doesnt care that much if the USD is strong or not.
of course the Fed cares. The US domestic companies export and they need lower dollar.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #967,042
  • Mar 10, 2015 2:47am Mar 10, 2015 2:47am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} of course the Fed cares. The US domestic companies export and they need lower dollar.
and how much does these small US domestic companies contribute to the actual GDP of US??
stop looking at the small things when they are not even the focus right now....

only reason why the FED would care about a strong dollar is if the strong dollar is hurting the export of say... the US oil industry then you will start to see White house being pressured by oil lobbyists which translates to white house pressuring the fed.
need i remind you that the president of the united states signs off the candidate of which the FED board elects. sooo if a republican gets in office, you will most likely see an oil friendly fed chair coming up. who would likely ease the fuck out of the Dollar.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #967,043
  • Mar 10, 2015 2:54am Mar 10, 2015 2:54am
Does any one know why EURUSD had the big move up starting at 3:13 est ?
May the Forex be with you.
  • #967,044
  • Mar 10, 2015 2:56am Mar 10, 2015 2:56am
Quoting Borg
Does any one know why EURUSD had the big move up starting at 3:13 est ?
20 pips up is big move up?? wow....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #967,045
  • Mar 10, 2015 2:56am Mar 10, 2015 2:56am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} and how much does these small US domestic companies contribute to the actual GDP of US?? stop looking at the small things when they are not even the focus right now.... only reason why the FED would care about a strong dollar is if the strong dollar is hurting the export of say... the US oil industry then you will start to see White house being pressured by oil lobbyists which translates to white house pressuring the fed. need i remind you that the president of the united states signs off the candidate of which the FED board elects. sooo...
Are you saying the US GDP is mainly composed of imported goods? And the US domestic manufacturing is small??
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #967,046
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:02am Mar 10, 2015 3:02am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} June 16, 2014 there was a rate hike and kiwi spiked up 150+ pips followed by a couple weeks up and then all the way down to now.
was actually 10 july when she capped 8835ish, highest shes ever been, was a delayed May Sell Off same with Aussie 9504 1stJuly both been in vertical fall ever since
right now aussies looking for reaction to last months lpw 7625 ( was monthly spinning top) kiwi waiting reaction decision to 7297, already been pierced few times today, patience required, let either bull or bear to show strength
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #967,047
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:12am Mar 10, 2015 3:12am
e chf trying to break north of recent hrly range, emphasis on trying because she been in ping pong mode for like eevr 3 weeks of sshit all
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #967,048
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:14am Mar 10, 2015 3:14am
Quoting Borg
Does any one know why EURUSD had the big move up starting at 3:13 est ?
This is why I cant take FF seriously sometimes. Only a select few people seem to know their stuff.
You can lead a horse to water, but you can't make it drink
  • #967,049
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:17am Mar 10, 2015 3:17am
watching UJ to drop below 121.6 for rejection of last high on December 7.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #967,050
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:22am Mar 10, 2015 3:22am
Nice freefall at the moment.
  • #967,051
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:27am Mar 10, 2015 3:27am
A sustained break of 1.0750 could fuel the EURUSD decline towards testing 1.0500 mark.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #967,052
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:32am Mar 10, 2015 3:32am
Anything below 0719 is black hole. I may long between 0755 and 0725.
  • #967,053
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:38am Mar 10, 2015 3:38am
Quoting Borg
Does any one know why EURUSD had the big move up starting at 3:13 est ?
Profit taking most likely.
If you are good at something, never do it for free--Joker
  • #967,054
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:40am Mar 10, 2015 3:40am
Quoting jmn5611
{quote} Profit taking most likely.
I'm thinking about doing the same thing. But the upward movement seems non-existent today...
  • #967,055
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:42am Mar 10, 2015 3:42am
Quoting ClinicalEx
Hikes look inevitable for mid year. Core CPI leaves the doves with little room for manouevre and crazy NFP numbers causing an inverse reaction with equities means the actors are getting on the same page. If the FED don't hike mid year they are not doing their job. We don't need to wait for decent retraces here to play dollar strength: 1.076 is the first plain target but we'll need to be more nimble and play off the mini ranges to get there. I've got 1.087 as the top of this mini range; an intraday bull trap with Frankfurt/London is the plan...
Covering all remainders from yesterday before 1.076.
  • #967,056
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:43am Mar 10, 2015 3:43am
Quoting sisse

  1. Inline and or better than expected. Measured rally in equities, carrying dollar and leaving the FED hikes clearly set to Jun/Aug....

Simply two options in play but the actual play will extend until the weekly roll:

  1. An extension leg to 1.07xx or...

Quote
On the technical side

I underestimated the reaction on the QE ECB. Markets went for the full extension swing. For today only an undershoot will only delay the unovoidable (completing the extension to 1.07xx)

Quote
For the actual flow and news play:

  1. Inline or slightly better NFP (not expected) will open 1.077x [check]with intermediate stop at 1.086x[check]. Slightly better or overshoot is direct trade if you are not already in to a max entry point 1.098x . Inline will open 1.102x and slower choppy end of the session on the lows.

Quote
...To the other side the 1.07xx handle is naked to complete the mini swing targets from pre ECB/NFP combo.... Nothing new in the euro. Trading air at these levels and just sucking soft "hands" to play with poor "cards" .... sisse

...and Europe completing the main target very early in the session. Taking 1.077x and [dollar] euro looks pretty much done until the next FED meeting.

Important daily roll in the making but for the rest of the session, the entire 1.070x handle is empty but at the bottom of the handle we will be entering in first Fundamental Support (rates differential macro support) since 1.140x handle. In simple words, meat of the move is gone only bones left.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #967,057
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:45am Mar 10, 2015 3:45am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} 20 pips up is big move up?? wow....
No comments for that just one smiley

Re-Incarnated
  • #967,058
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:47am Mar 10, 2015 3:47am
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  • #967,059
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:47am Mar 10, 2015 3:47am
Just wow @ current EURUSD PA
  • #967,060
  • Mar 10, 2015 3:49am Mar 10, 2015 3:49am
Who the fuck is selling? I rarely see such a huge selloff at this timeframe
Forex is a losers game.
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