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EURUSD

  • #966,961
  • Mar 9, 2015 3:19pm Mar 9, 2015 3:19pm
price fail to correct and consolidate under 1.1000. the bearish trend is still Valid
  • #966,962
  • Mar 9, 2015 3:31pm Mar 9, 2015 3:31pm
Quoting Miguel.N
...))) {image}
Lol, I cant laugh enough. Very funny.
  • #966,963
  • Mar 9, 2015 3:45pm Mar 9, 2015 3:45pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} A very dull and flat day in the euro.
Indeed, market seems to be running on fumes at the moment.
  • #966,964
  • Mar 9, 2015 4:18pm Mar 9, 2015 4:18pm
Quoting fxtyrant
2015 H1 Targets EURUSD 1.05 GBPUSD 1.45 AUDUSD 0.75 NZDUSD 0.70 USDCHF 1.00 USDJPY 124.00 USDCAD 1.30 DXY 98.00
great calls
  • #966,965
  • Mar 9, 2015 4:30pm Mar 9, 2015 4:30pm
Bulls lacked conviction during Asian + London + NY sessions. Risk themes are still in play and downward pressure remains on EUR/USD.

Macro Snapshot
- Oil rebounding off of today's lows
- USD Index hovering around key technical levels, expected to continue upward movement
- Greece coming back into the mix with talks of a referendum (noise)
- SP500 failed to break 50DMA

I'm watching US indices like a hawk. The 6 year bull market is largely founded on leverage and low risk money printed by the Fed, and all of that is on the verge of unwinding, which really shifts the risk theme towards the off position. We're not there yet, and we may not get there until later this year or 2016, but I'll be keeping an eye out because it has large implications for USD crosses.
  • #966,966
  • Mar 9, 2015 4:42pm Mar 9, 2015 4:42pm
Quoting Hickson
{quote} Not sure if it will go that low ...
H4 is aiming much much lower. Doesn't mean it will happen. 2205 Hasnt been retested, and that's still higher than H4 is projecting.....not that I'm advocating it, but there is a 1900 target in there atm

A USDx correction could easily bring that number
  • #966,967
  • Edited 5:30pm Mar 9, 2015 4:42pm | Edited 5:30pm
'stoploss -86 pips
  • #966,968
  • Mar 9, 2015 4:51pm Mar 9, 2015 4:51pm
EUR/USD today moving horizontal path throughout the day, I expected to continue the downward path for this week to 1.0700 area with and then to 1.0500, while the 1.1120 levels remain strong levels of resistance.
Great week for all
  • #966,969
  • Edited 5:30pm Mar 9, 2015 4:52pm | Edited 5:30pm
selling eurusd
  • #966,970
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:00pm Mar 9, 2015 5:00pm
Quoting pips4m3
Bulls lacked conviction during Asian + London + NY sessions. Risk themes are still in play and downward pressure remains on EUR/USD. Macro Snapshot - Oil rebounding off of today's lows - USD Index hovering around key technical levels, expected to continue upward movement - Greece coming back into the mix with talks of a referendum (noise) - SP500 failed to break 50DMA I'm watching US indices like a hawk. The 6 year bull market is largely founded on leverage and low risk money printed by the Fed, and all of that is on the verge of unwinding, which...
agreed. i will ride this dragon as long as itīs in a clear uptrend. which asset class instis should buy instead? real estate? bonds? commodities? holding cash? also, donīt forget yellen is a keynesian based "labour market expert", + the way us unemployement is measured + the mandate of the fed. velocity of money is relatively slow... although an interest rate hike is likely in 2015, itīs not sure.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #966,971
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:03pm Mar 9, 2015 5:03pm
as I can see, there will be a breakout up to 1.10 this week.. good luck
  • #966,972
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:10pm Mar 9, 2015 5:10pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} agreed. i will ride this dragon as long as its in a clear uptrend. which asset class instis should buy instead? real estate? bonds? commodities? holding cash? also, dont forget yellen is a keynesian based "labour market expert", + the way us unemployement is measured + the mandate of the fed. velocity of money is relatively slow... although an interest rate hike is likely in 2015, its not sure.
As an asset class, being long the US Dollar index is a great alternative to holding cash when swaps are positive... you get to use most of your dollars in other investments, while having all the same hedge as cash in a liquidity collapse, only more so, while getting even more interest than if you just had dollars in current account ^.^
  • #966,973
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:13pm Mar 9, 2015 5:13pm
Quoting deltaone
{quote} agreed. i will ride this dragon as long as its in a clear uptrend. which asset class instis should buy instead? real estate? bonds? commodities? holding cash? also, dont forget yellen is a keynesian based "labour market expert", + the way us unemployement is measured + the mandate of the fed. velocity of money is relatively slow... although an interest rate hike is likely in 2015, its not sure.
Indeed. A lot of people have made a lot of money over the past several years while naysayers have been predicting a market crash. The adage "don't fight the Fed" rings true and clear Opportunities like that and opportunities yet to come on the heels of the eventual capital rotation don't come often. I'm lickin' my chops.
  • #966,974
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:20pm Mar 9, 2015 5:20pm
Quoting takari
{quote} As an asset class, being long the US Dollar index is a great alternative to holding cash when swaps are positive... you get to use most of your dollars in other investments, while having all the same hedge as cash in a liquidity collapse, only more so, while getting even more interest than if you just had dollars in current account ^.^
ok. iīm holding usd-stocks and chf-stocks as an portfolio insurance, due to my €short bias. complete portfolio is still long only, no sl, no tp, no protective put. i earn more on dividends than on a potential swap. could have done better with an fx-overlay... but as stated, fx is not my home land.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #966,975
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:32pm Mar 9, 2015 5:32pm
Quoting pips4m3
{quote} Indeed. A lot of people have made a lot of money over the past several years while naysayers have been predicting a market crash. The adage "don't fight the Fed" rings true and clear Opportunities like that and opportunities yet to come on the heels of the eventual capital rotation don't come often. I'm lickin' my chops.
yeah. donīt fight the fed, donīt fight the ecb, donīt fight the snb... oldie but goldie: just buy the dip

Inserted Video
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #966,976
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:40pm Mar 9, 2015 5:40pm
  •  flx
  • | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Avoid Death by a Thousand Stops | 86 Posts
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} H4 is aiming much much lower. Doesn't mean it will happen. 2205 Hasnt been retested, and that's still higher than H4 is projecting.....not that I'm advocating it, but there is a 1900 target in there atm A USDx correction could easily bring that number
Hello Pharm0r!
Please, could you show how to trace a target?
And, if possible, where to put the 0 and 100 Fibo that you use.

Thanks in advance
What goes around comes around
  • #966,977
  • Mar 9, 2015 5:57pm Mar 9, 2015 5:57pm
Quoting Pharm0r
Chancing a UCAD short, 7 pip stop At the risk, doesn't always pan out..
stopped out for +2 pips or so

Quoting flx
{quote} Hello Pharm0r! Please, could you show how to trace a target? And, if possible, where to put the 0 and 100 Fibo that you use. Thanks in advance
AB=CD, 0% goes at the bottom, 100% goes at the top
  • #966,978
  • Mar 9, 2015 6:25pm Mar 9, 2015 6:25pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} stopped out for +2 pips or so {quote} AB=CD, 0% goes at the bottom, 100% goes at the top
I think this is a great opportunity to hop back in while it's sitting around the 1.2624 area. I've been holding a short position with a tentative target of at least the ~1.253 area. Hopefully this current resistance level holds
To maximize your gains you must minimize your losses
  • #966,979
  • Edited 6:44pm Mar 9, 2015 6:32pm | Edited 6:44pm
good time to sell aussy, aussy breaking down, 30 day support line
  • #966,980
  • Mar 9, 2015 6:48pm Mar 9, 2015 6:48pm
Quoting deltaone
short @1,08519 sl -20 tp +60
sl = be now. tsl cancelled, let it run till tp or get out via sl at be. late here, gute nacht
fortis fortuna adiuvat
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