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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #241
  • Mar 5, 2015 8:09am Mar 5, 2015 8:09am
Quoting ginger
vvFish why my mt4 platform block or crash when I load you template with all indi?
This archive received about 50 people who asked him in my private messages. Yet no one complained of any problems either.
You have done something wrong. Try reinstalling the indicators and templates from the archive.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #242
  • Mar 5, 2015 8:30am Mar 5, 2015 8:30am
Friday
15:30
06/03/15
2 Comments
US Number of employed outside agriculture HOT!
(US Non-Farm Employment Change), the United States, USDJPY
Average response when triggered flip-flops 60.00 points in the first minute after the release.
45% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #243
  • Mar 5, 2015 8:44am Mar 5, 2015 8:44am
Quoting vvFish
scalping {image}


Interesting and well done, as always vvFish!


This is not any news trade. What event was it? Or was it purely price action?

Would be nice if you would tell us your entry decision basis for this scalping.

Thank you,
Toppo

PS: You use an indi to show current profit on the right bottom corner of your chart. Can you share it?
  • #244
  • Mar 5, 2015 9:29am Mar 5, 2015 9:29am
Slight movement after the meeting
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_28.png Size: 6 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_27.png Size: 149 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #245
  • Mar 5, 2015 10:24am Mar 5, 2015 10:24am
Quoting toppo qqq
{quote} Interesting and well done, as always vvFish! This is not any news trade. What event was it? Or was it purely price action? Would be nice if you would tell us your entry decision basis for this scalping. Thank you, Toppo PS: You use an indi to show current profit on the right bottom corner of your chart. Can you share it?
++

Hello my friend.
I put the file with the system that serves me for scalping on the M1.
But other than that I trade on this system and on the news.
Transactions that are shown to you - make the program that makes a screenshot and there is an opportunity to show you any graphic design or inscription.
There is also a program for recording video during transactions is very useful to anyone who trades on the news (you can always watch the video of the transaction and understand why you lost, I returned this way $ 1500 when, during a news broker spread spread to 5300 points.)
The program for the screenshots: https://app.prntscr.com/ru/
A program for recording video: http://www.bandicam.com/
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #246
  • Mar 5, 2015 11:11am Mar 5, 2015 11:11am
Good day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_29.png Size: 174 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #247
  • Mar 5, 2015 11:30am Mar 5, 2015 11:30am
Quoting vvFish
{quote}++ Hello my friend. I put the file with the system that serves me for scalping on the M1. But other than that I trade on this system and on the news. Transactions that are shown to you - make the program that makes a screenshot and there is an opportunity to show you any graphic design or inscription. There is also a program for recording video during transactions is very useful to anyone who trades on the news (you can always watch the video of the transaction and understand why you lost, I returned this way $ 1500 when, during a news broker...
For scalping you seem to trade EU only and with different indicator combos. Interesting.

And thank you for the suggestion as to record on video the trade you make for future improvement. Sounds great.

All is very helpful. Sharing them to us comes from a very generoud person, ffFish!

Toppo
  • #248
  • Mar 5, 2015 11:25pm Mar 5, 2015 11:25pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"

European QE starts on March 9, according to forecasts.

The ECB left interest rates unchanged and Mario Draghi reiterated that the program of quantitative easing starts on March 9 (in line with expectations) and will last at least until September 2016 or until a sustained improvement in inflation towards the bank targetiruemyh 2% per annum. Along with the purchase of other assets total volume of purchases of the ECB amount to 60 billion euros a month. Further, in response to questions M.Dragi stressed that QE program can be continued after September 2016, when the need arises.
Not without jokes about Greece. Mario said that at present the ECB "can be called by the central bank of Greece" as lending them Greece is 68% of the Greek GDP and is the highest in the eurozone.

Lowe (Reserve Bank of Australia): There is space to lower rates when necessary.
Bank of England leaves predictable rate and incentive program for former positions: 0.5% to 375 billion.
Moody's yesterday handed compliments of the New Zealand economy, which is slightly dulls expectations "any" change in interest rates RBNZ next week.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #249
  • Mar 5, 2015 11:29pm Mar 5, 2015 11:29pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"

US Number of employed outside agriculture
US Non-Farm Employment Change


Repeatedly we talked with you about the evolution of the Non-Farm, and it seems like just last release did newsletter under the slogan "Nonfarm is not the same," and the same last release confirms our belief that if markets before was good enough growth in the number of employed, but now more and more interested in the level of income of the "employed". This and legs grow all the complexities.
The members of the Federal Reserve, in particular, personally Janet Yellen has repeatedly reiterated that monitor the dynamics of wages, and it is almost a basis for further monetary turns.
At hand we have the traditional harbingers Farm:
ISM Manufacturing PMI, the employment component: 51.4 versus 54.1, the dynamics of this month -2.7
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, the employment component: 56.4 versus 51.6 for the month +4.8
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change 212K (estimate basis in the form of 200K)
NFP is so self-sufficient that he wanted to spit on all the fundamental motive, everything will be resolved immediate release, and surprises at this point are often very diverse.
It is important to discuss the technology of publication of this report: if we had feared the conflict from the Revised Data (last revision of data release, which is published seconds later the main NFP), but now we expect tremor data "irningsov." The last release of indicators and review of past data, and wages are well supported by the movement that even small deviations of quotations was a breakthrough, but what would happen if such support would not have been? Let us leave this question for you to think about.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #250
  • Mar 5, 2015 11:32pm Mar 5, 2015 11:32pm
In order to understand how to trade the pair reacts to varying degrees of deviation from the fact that news of its forecast, see a visual table of statistics reactions
US Number of employed outside agriculture
Date
Deviation from the fact that the news of her prognosis (US Non-Farm Employment Change)
Deviation from the fact that the news of her prognosis (US Unemployment Rate)
Reaction trading pairs in paragraphs
Comments
09/01/2015 12 -0.1 40/15 spiking on 40/15
12/05/2014 91 85 0 Gap 40-50 n. The pair
07/11/2014 81 -21 -0.1 sharp reaction to the fall of 81 points, but then rolled back to 35 puntkov reaction. Went for a couple of minutes to 50 n.
03/10/2014 33 68 -0.2 Growth couples
05/09/2014 0 -88 26-35 Fall couple
01.08.2014 -21 0.1 28-35 Fall couples
07/03/2014 73 28 -0.2 Growth couples
06/06/2014 2 -0.1 25-25 spiking
02/05/2014 Height 70.5 -0.3 50 pairs
04.04.2014 -8 0.1 30-45 Fall couples rollback five minutes for all movement
07.03.2014 26.5 0.1 52 Height couples
02.07.2014 -67 -0.1 60-100 Palen couples with third minute to complete rollback pozheraniya all primary pulse.
10/01/2014 -123 -0.3 55-> 40 rollback Conflict
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #251
  • Mar 5, 2015 11:44pm Mar 5, 2015 11:44pm
Non-Farm began yesterday.

Good luck everybody!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_30.png Size: 158 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #252
  • Mar 6, 2015 7:40am Mar 6, 2015 7:40am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_34.png Size: 6 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Screenshot_31.png Size: 152 KB
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #253
  • Mar 6, 2015 11:25am Mar 6, 2015 11:25am
Quoting vvFish
{image}{image}
It's awesome you tame the NFP. I see two trades.. a sell, which may be done with the analysis of the indicators.. and then after it went wrong, you closed it and took a trade opposite to it. may be after you saw the numbers? or is it with indicators only...? U open those trades manually? Also.. which broker would you recommend for news trade...? I see that the second trade you took... without much slippage or so...! cool...!
  • #254
  • Mar 6, 2015 12:50pm Mar 6, 2015 12:50pm
Quoting vinforex7
{quote} It's awesome you tame the NFP. I see two trades.. a sell, which may be done with the analysis of the indicators.. and then after it went wrong, you closed it and took a trade opposite to it. may be after you saw the numbers? or is it with indicators only...? U open those trades manually? Also.. which broker would you recommend for news trade...? I see that the second trade you took... without much slippage or so...! cool...!
All warrants market, because there is no slippage.
It was hoped that before the price goes to the top, it goes down to 200 pips.
But the price has gone to the top. Managed to close and open an order buy.
Recommendations for brokers do not give, that would not say that bad advise.
The very good looking. My broker lately is not my trade for natural gas.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #255
  • Mar 6, 2015 3:34pm Mar 6, 2015 3:34pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"

Framed. The corollary is the ASIC, and other adventures of the first week of spring.


Australian Securities and Investments Commission will investigate the strange reaction AUD Tuesday 3 March: oddity is that the AUD has reacted correctly to the publication of the RBA interest rate higher than expected, though for 37 seconds until the release ... Let's talk also about «intended» Mario Draghi, the needle NFP and a stack gainer for Canada.
EUR
Euro counted and Euro received on March 9 as the starting date for the program of quantitative easing. The ECB will inject 60 billion euros a month, at least until September 2016 or until the inflation rate of 2% level.
Markets "appreciated" the word «intended» Upotreblennoe Mario Draghi from the perspective description program term QE «intended to be carried out until at least September 2016», «intended» (presumably) suggests that the program may be extended if necessary, and if the need is 2% inflation, it is likely that we will see these figures soon.
And now at Euro 2001.
USD
All week the dollar courageously fought eagerly in anticipation of Friday's publication of labor market statistics, expressed in the data packet indicator Non-Farm Employment Change, and it is not without suffering from the technical side, but still get the desired data (data received overdue by more than a minute).
We now have on hand the US unemployment rate at 5.5%, and the increase in the number of employed in the past month 295K instead of 235K forecast, the rest to "neytralke."
It seems that the US Federal Reserve FOMC meeting in March will cause a special interest on the part of participants in financial markets, as the US pushes Statistics regulator to the brink, and then either fly or fall. While we think that the interest rate will be increased in the summer, watch the protocols, remember that Yellen has promised to remove the word «patient» of Steytment before start raising rates. Also, do not forget that Yellen promised to closely monitor the level of wages, which by the way, is not a strong indicator in the Status Monitor (0.1% vs. 0.2% forecast and the previous 0.5%).
AUD
Do not just leave interest rates unchanged at 2.25% despite the forecasts of its reduction, but also run into criminal history.
Those who watched her publication could not help but pay attention to the movement of AUDUSD minute before the release, and the motion was hefty 40 p., And was absolutely "toward" a future publication.


To be precise, the sharp rise occurred in 37 seconds prior to the publication rate.
On the face of "insider" we suggested, and later found a note that given momentum interested in special commission Australian Securities and Investments Commission.
The RBA confirmed that launched an investigation into this matter and ASIC is investigating this incident, in turn, the Bank confirms that the decision was published exactly at 6:30 (GMT).
In general, the Reserve Bank of Australia, suggests that the interest rate can be reduced, if necessary, and after speaking at a press conference Deputy Governor Philip Lowe RBA only confirmed this expectation.
Lowe said that the actions of other central banks make life RBA.
"The scale of monetary stimulus in the world means that our interest rate remains relatively high, given the current state of our economy" - said Lowy at a conference in Sydney on Thursday.
"Ultimately, the changes in the world, have led to a higher exchange rate and lower interest rates than would have been in a different situation," - said Lowe. "We may not like this situation, but the events in the world do not leave us much choice."
AUD choice can not leave and weak data, which is particularly sensitive Australian.
CAD
The Bank of Canada has also kept its benchmark interest rate at the level of the integrity of 0.75%, but only if Australia's chances of further rate cuts more, in Canada they are almost gone.
As oil prices stabilize CAD also came to his senses, the Bank of Canada: "The risk of inflation around now more balanced, and the current amount sufficient to stimulate adequate."
It seems that the next gainer in the near future for Canadians can speak only the labor market, which is scheduled for publication on Friday.
NZD
By New Zealander still quiet, its hour strikes in the coming Wednesday, at the time of publication of the decision of the RBNZ interest rate. 3.5% in the current environment look rather ridiculous, but analysts predict until you change it, look, as quarterly inflation is still below the "0" (-0.2%).
GBP
The Bank of England left its monetary policy unchanged as a constant rate and incentive programs. Mark Carney said, though lower oil prices factor in stimulating growth of the British economy, but at the same time until the oil remains the reason for which of Albion face deflation.
The regulator expects continued decline in inflation in the coming months, and the annual value of its already at the level of 0.3%.
Against this background, GBP was very difficult to resist against the USD, and he was not tried hard.
Non-Farm attempt number two, as well as the decision of the RBNZ
Main planned fundamental shocks coming week falls on a Wednesday (RBNZ Interest Rate), Thursday (Australian labor market, the US retail) and Friday (Canadian nonfarm).
But be careful and follow the flow of information: the current period tirelessly throws surprises on both sides.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #256
  • Mar 7, 2015 7:07am Mar 7, 2015 7:07am
What pair is better to choose for NFP releases? USD/JPY or EUR/USD?? And why?
Thanks in advance
  • #257
  • Mar 7, 2015 2:34pm Mar 7, 2015 2:34pm
Quoting leebsurag
What pair is better to choose for NFP releases? USD/JPY or EUR/USD?? And why? Thanks in advance
My personal opinion.
Gold
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #258
  • Mar 7, 2015 3:07pm Mar 7, 2015 3:07pm
Tuesday
11:00
03/10/15
NO The core consumer price index
(NO Core CPI), Norway, EURNOK
Average response when triggered flip-flops 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
15% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #259
  • Mar 8, 2015 12:36pm Mar 8, 2015 12:36pm
Hi vvFish,

One question, how do you know when to exit the trade in the NFP? I see in your charts you usually close your trade at the end of the spike, it's awesome! What is you trail stop, 10 pips? Or, do you close it manually?

Thanks in advance!
  • #260
  • Mar 8, 2015 1:30pm Mar 8, 2015 1:30pm
Quoting sEit89
Hi vvFish, One question, how do you know when to exit the trade in the NFP? I see in your charts you usually close your trade at the end of the spike, it's awesome! What is you trail stop, 10 pips? Or, do you close it manually? Thanks in advance!
In the upper right corner of the screenshot seen advisor who trelling deal.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
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