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  • #966,001
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:04am Mar 5, 2015 4:04am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} this is where 1400 would fail, 1022. but during a news event these can distort the techs. today and tomorrow are 2 big news event days. the low atm is 1025.7. near the 1023.4.. c.a. is 1040. i cancelled my last L entry for 1024.. the reason for Longs was 1400 before 1022.. fundi wise, and being under 1194 and 1209 it looks like wasted money atm
Thank you for clearing that up, now I got it...
Fail better.
  • #966,002
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:15am Mar 5, 2015 4:15am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Thank you for clearing that up, now I got it...
s few Fridays ago 4-5.. 1073 was the target. a bounce after to 1400 was indicated normal before 1022.. now we are 4-5 weeks later, its not looking so good atm. it never does. the target is 2223.x min.. its just most times before reaching it, a trip back to norm happens. this one is looking like the first norm to fail just after 3994. the first 1000 pip drop most did fail.. i dont always trade them. this one being 300 +, so i did. i usually just wait for norm to enter directional trend after 1400
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #966,003
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:21am Mar 5, 2015 4:21am
EURUSD fell during yesterday session hitting 1.1061 a fresh eleven-year low, breaking below daily support at 1.1097 that should now act as a resistance. The pair closed near the low of the day on with an impulsive candle. Stochastic in showing an oversold market but even with the pair well into oversold territory, we should not fight the strong downward trend.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #966,004
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:21am Mar 5, 2015 4:21am
Quoting Z3iz3i
{quote} It could become a day of chaos today. I see some interest of cross-selling through hourly closes on eurjpy and eurgbp (both 10 pips range). Cable is kind of dead. If usdjpy cap at 120.00 does not hold, pressure may build up on eurusd quite dramatically.
cable is not dead, its just deciding mode
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  • #966,005
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:27am Mar 5, 2015 4:27am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Thank you for clearing that up, now I got it...
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...07#post8066707
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #966,006
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:31am Mar 5, 2015 4:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} let me take a shot, sissy will be back and spoon feed the ones who care to listen in just under 3.5 hs from now. i would like to add 1400/08 may or may not allow the ones not in to have another shot. if we make a low below 1303, at some point a bounce may develop to 1400/08 and yes it can overshoot to near this weeks high (dead cat). the bounce if any depending on time of day. will probably close that day below 1329/32.. and eventuality test a LL on the year .. that bounce will have problems getting back above 1329/32.... now lets c if...
darrel... above complete ... leg after at the time 1007 was the #,, its still valid but the shorter leg is 1023...http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...07#post8066707
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #966,007
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:32am Mar 5, 2015 4:32am
Are we going under 1.10 after EBC today, we can count on it, but for sure there will be a lot of defenders of this level.
  • #966,008
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:33am Mar 5, 2015 4:33am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} s few Fridays ago 4-5.. 1073 was the target. a bounce after to 1400 was indicated normal before 1022.. now we are 4-5 weeks later, its not looking so good atm. it never does. the target is 2223.x min.. its just most times before reaching it, a trip back to norm happens. this one is looking like the first norm to fail just after 3994. the first 1000 pip drop most did fail.. i dont always trade them. this one being 300 +, so i did. i usually just wait for norm to enter directional trend after 1400
well... maybe lost you again. why the first norm to fail? I think a lot of them have been missed on the way down. as for the 2223-target: see something, but only another example of missed norm at 1.1841
Fail better.
  • #966,009
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:40am Mar 5, 2015 4:40am
Quoting sisse
{quote}To the other side is air till 1.112x. For the conference play ... well that is for a later post.. sisse
Would you mind explain the meaning about there is ait till 1.1120. I understand there is air below 1.10, but below 1.11 was traded yesterday..
  • #966,010
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:41am Mar 5, 2015 4:41am
Quoting afhacker
Any idea about AN strong bounce?
Kiwi selloff triggered by last night's RBNZ announcement aiming at new macro prudential steps
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #966,011
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:52am Mar 5, 2015 4:52am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} darrel... above complete ... leg after at the time 1007 was the #,, its still valid but the shorter leg is 1023...http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...07#post8066707
Yes, 107x is clear. Just re-read what you said: first 1000 pips no norm: check. Didn't realize we reached most/all norms afterwards, will take a look. As for the 2223 target: once we got rolling? If this low holds?
Well, on the sidelines anyways, just tried to short UJ at 119.90/98 and s/o. Will look again at 120.7...
Fail better.
  • #966,012
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:54am Mar 5, 2015 4:54am
Quoting Erebus
{quote} Kiwi selloff triggered by last night's RBNZ announcement aiming at new macro prudential steps
nope was pure TA she hit 1hr resistance 7606 tried twice then dumped if go out to 4hr it also formed a bigger double top, pretty standard pa aussie trying to catch up but this weeks open holding her back , she is compressing into a major decision zone if she keeps rolling east cable similar pa stuck between todays open and 5225 ping pong ping pong UC is most interesting either building a base at support or grinding support for dump, if dump ist should be a biggy
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  • #966,013
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:56am Mar 5, 2015 4:56am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Would you mind explain the meaning about there is ait till 1.1120. I understand there is air below 1.10, but below 1.11 was traded yesterday..
Air is an expression to reference that nobody (real size and money) traded those levels not that we haven't pass thought them.

We barely traded anything in the mini break down from 1.112x, it fell on air. We are talking about 11 years untested levels !!! so we didn't even trade that area more than a few minutes (if minutes) and in terms of size who on earth do you think sell or buy in between during the move? [...nobody]

In simple words, the wide area in the 1.10xx handle is empty guarantee for now except for the temporary micro chop zone (1.106x / 1.103x ...which was widely expected to be formed too) it has formed since the roll as a base for the ECB play...

I hope it helps

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #966,014
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:00am Mar 5, 2015 5:00am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} well... maybe lost you again. why the first norm to fail? I think a lot of them have been missed on the way down. as for the 2223-target: see something, but only another example of missed norm at 1.1841
i dont want to give out bad info. i also dont want everything i do duplicated. i give out enough for some with a half ass system too add things to help it. several legs are here,, .0989, 1006/07, 1023... the common denominator is 1397/1400 to 1533... not strong enough to stop any central banks, but every now and again. the market has things already priced in. nothing here looks bullish atm. so i shut up with small longs and take my loss or not.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #966,015
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:05am Mar 5, 2015 5:05am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} Yes, 107x is clear. Just re-read what you said: first 1000 pips no norm: check. Didn't realize we reached most/all norms afterwards, will take a look. As for the 2223 target: once we got rolling? If this low holds? Well, on the sidelines anyways, just tried to short UJ at 119.90/98 and s/o. Will look again at 120.7...
if u got 107x then the rest is in front u.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #966,016
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:10am Mar 5, 2015 5:10am
[quote=sisse;8114002]{quote} Air is an expression to reference that nobody (real size and money)

Thanks cause your explanations...
  • #966,017
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:19am Mar 5, 2015 5:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} if u got 107x then the rest is in front u.
Yes, it was just some other numbers got me confused. Don't worry, won't sue you...
Will wait for the ecb-range to develop and then place my bets, cant long (or short) here.
Aprreciate your help, thank you!
Fail better.
  • #966,018
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:19am Mar 5, 2015 5:19am
Quoting Rockerzeus
{quote} Hi Sisse, would you please check my levels, daily,weekly and monthly from left to right. Orange levels are previous period close prices.Am I on the correct path by calculations?Thanks {image}
uff mate its kind of hard to read those charts without a context.

I can only give you a very basic but key suggestion. Trying to catch a big fish with a small boat is never a good idea in trading...

In simple words, it will be a lot easier to "read" levels when you put them in a more time proportional relation (e.g something like 1 : 4 to max 1 : 6). Try displaying monthly levels in weekly charts, Weekly in dailies, dailies with h4, etc ... otherwise you may get chop out to dead and/or dead by 1000s small wounds...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #966,019
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:19am Mar 5, 2015 5:19am
Uj entering interesting daily levels, if US NFP or prior is going to be very positive this could be a good indicator for this girl to take out 120 72, right now she testing previous highs if they go then there is the twin towers to the left, then the biggy 120 72, after that god knows, otherwise potential to drop down to 116 22 and continue ranging east

trend is up, compression is up, ma,s are up (50 going flat), but there have been some big bears @ 170 72,before, they are either still there or they are going to get smashed tomorrow night maybe even tonight
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #966,020
  • Mar 5, 2015 5:31am Mar 5, 2015 5:31am
Quoting KiwiTrada
Uj entering interesting daily levels, if US NFP or prior is going to be very positive this could be a good indicator for this girl to take out 120 72, right now she testing previous highs if they go then there is the twin towers to the left, then the biggy 120 72, after that god knows, otherwise potential to drop down to 116 22 and continue ranging east trend is up, compression is up, ma,s are up (50 going flat), but there have been some big bears @ 170 72,before, they are either still there or they are going to get smashed tomorrow night...
i have a edge s in the 120.4x zone pending, just in case
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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