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EURUSD

  • #965,981
  • Mar 5, 2015 2:39am Mar 5, 2015 2:39am
Expecting a huge bounce from next week.
Never follow/blame others,Patience is the key skill for Succesfull trading.
  • #965,982
  • Mar 5, 2015 2:41am Mar 5, 2015 2:41am
Reality is cheaper attempt long than short. Very true. Except there is another alternative which is attempts at nothing until trends favours u.

Buyers need sellers have to survive. Very true in stock market. But this market is trillion dollar exchange hand every single day. Unless you are attempting trillion dollar trade, it's almost impossible not to be able to close the trade. Let alone small player like us.
Read the entire market, money is made on the main trend not the fluctuation
  • #965,983
  • Mar 5, 2015 2:44am Mar 5, 2015 2:44am
Quoting afhacker
Credit Suisse holds SHORT from 1.1088, TAKE PROFIT 1.0836 (entered on March 4) BofA Merrill holds SHORT from 1.1290, TAKE PROFIT 1.0765, STOP LOSS 1.1340 (entered on Feb. 24) Danske Bank holds SHORT from 1.1320, TAKE PROFIT 1.1000, STOP LOSS 1.1247 (entered on Feb. 24) Morgan Stanley holds SHORT from 1.1370, TAKE PROFIT 1.0700, STOP LOSS 1.1250 (entered on Feb. 12) Citi holds SHORT from 1.1368, TAKE PROFIT 1.0000, STOP LOSS 1.1690 (entered on Feb. 6) Citi holds SHORT from 1.1430, TAKE PROFIT 1.0400, STOP LOSS 1.1710 (entered on Feb. 3) BNP Paribas...
On an average. 1.1400 is achievable. Good
  • #965,984
  • Mar 5, 2015 2:53am Mar 5, 2015 2:53am
good post Kof, agree fully..

Quoting Kofmaster
{quote} I'm still holding the 4 short position I have. I honestly do not know when will this move stop. I do have some profit taking target in mind. 1.1000 and 1.0900/1.0850 As for entry I do not know what is the good entry until market show me otherwise. I do not recommend taking any position at all because either way might play out during important news event. Either you have short positions and hold it, or do nothing. If you have long position, you are f**ked
  • #965,985
  • Mar 5, 2015 2:57am Mar 5, 2015 2:57am
Good point and very true Kiwi.. everyone needs to stick to a eventual disaster plan.

Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} sentiments of someone who jumped on a train south, problem is train left station early last year, jumping on now is a crazy as looking for a ticket north train, reality is cheaper attempts long than south unless of course dont use stop loss, no stop loss traders are great when in a trend, bounces hurt very much reversals destroy them, anyone boasting about selling in a 12 month sell off, is only fooling themselves, my kudous goes to anyone who get cheap early seats, as long as they dont turn into idiots mentioned above, buyer needs seller...
  • #965,986
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:01am Mar 5, 2015 3:01am
Any idea about AN strong bounce?
Without an edge MM is useless!
  • #965,987
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:21am Mar 5, 2015 3:21am
2 for the road

still east the way for salvation LL no HH so we are waiting for ECB and the shitty NFP we might see some spikes but i think dragishitt wont cheep ass eu

any might be wrong

cable i will start to build up some longs from 15100's and still holding some shors same with the doomed eu till dragishitt
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSDH4c.png Size: 49 KB
  • #965,988
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:22am Mar 5, 2015 3:22am
Hello everyone i really need your help. Yesterday i bought EUR\USD for 1.1170, dont ask me why, no doubt absolutely stupid.
RIght now im losing tons of money, my stop loss is 1.0967. What do you think is the best thing to do in this situation?
  • #965,989
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:22am Mar 5, 2015 3:22am
Quoting XXiXX
{quote} I can afford that, we are here to make money and not pips.
Not sure we are here to brag about it, though. Being profitable is the product of won pips and positionsize. I think it's much more healthy to harvest lots of pips consistenly (with or without huge lotsize) compared to cashing in big amounts of dollars (which mostly means huge lotsize and huge risk). But each has his own style...
  • #965,990
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:26am Mar 5, 2015 3:26am
Quoting afhacker
Credit Suisse holds SHORT from 1.1088, TAKE PROFIT 1.0836 (entered on March 4) BofA Merrill holds SHORT from 1.1290, TAKE PROFIT 1.0765, STOP LOSS 1.1340 (entered on Feb. 24) Danske Bank holds SHORT from 1.1320, TAKE PROFIT 1.1000, STOP LOSS 1.1247 (entered on Feb. 24) Morgan Stanley holds SHORT from 1.1370, TAKE PROFIT 1.0700, STOP LOSS 1.1250 (entered on Feb. 12) Citi holds SHORT from 1.1368, TAKE PROFIT 1.0000, STOP LOSS 1.1690 (entered on Feb. 6) Citi holds SHORT from 1.1430, TAKE PROFIT 1.0400, STOP LOSS 1.1710 (entered on Feb. 3) BNP Paribas...
Thanks for this info it's very interesting.
  • #965,991
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:33am Mar 5, 2015 3:33am
To all those holding short EUR/USD we're making bank.

If you ask me I can see 1.0000 in sight
  • #965,992
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:40am Mar 5, 2015 3:40am
Quoting sisse
...and we rolled ...as expected 1.108x area for the roll. Nothing to see until ECB. For Asian session a non tradable wide range open 1.111x / 1.104x until Europe make the final move before ECB... GL all trading overnight... sisse
As expected from the roll, 1.104x held both Asian session and European opening ranges but we are officially trading AIR. There is no much to see until the conference and we will enter "no man land" in the next hour. Only macro levels in play for the ECB/NFP combo so all intraday charts raised in the map.

For the rest of the session before ECB, inertia will prevail over anything micro technical. By common sense and experience in areas and fundamentals in play like this we should have options defending the bottom of the handle 1.100x. Aiming to kill them out is the obvious inertia play until ECB.

Therefore extending reference range until news to 1.100x and if barrier is taken to a few ticks below 1.098x. To the other side is air till 1.112x.

For the conference play ... well that is for a later post..

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #965,993
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:41am Mar 5, 2015 3:41am
Quoting Kofmaster
Reality is cheaper attempt long than short. Very true. Except there is another alternative which is attempts at nothing until trends favours u. Buyers need sellers have to survive. Very true in stock market. But this market is trillion dollar exchange hand every single day. Unless you are attempting trillion dollar trade, it's almost impossible not to be able to close the trade. Let alone small player like us.
you must have very good broker, I have used many, and many times unable to close, swiss debacle is very good example albeit extreme, many trader not only lost account but they now heavy in debt, and unable to do anything about it, yes there are large lawsuits in progress, but most smaller brokers have ceased to exist, larger have very deep pockets, no one should ever claim this business is "easy" "never lose 'broker your friend" etc etc etc because its all BS
I believe this business should not even exist, its very corrupt, lots manipulation, lots data fiddling, and regulation authorities are toothless
It has become too big a beast and easy to rip off

Ideally if truly regulated should only be one timezone and one price period, would even the playing field some
"BUT" it is like cocaine, very addicting and very exciting, plenty of new meat signing up every day:nerd:
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #965,994
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:49am Mar 5, 2015 3:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i can still fiu, i started buying small positions till 1023
this is where 1400 would fail, 1022. but during a news event these can distort the techs. today and tomorrow are 2 big news event days. the low atm is 1025.7. near the 1023.4.. c.a. is 1040. i cancelled my last L entry for 1024.. the reason for Longs was 1400 before 1022.. fundi wise, and being under 1194 and 1209 it looks like wasted money atm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #965,995
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:49am Mar 5, 2015 3:49am
I guess only random, arbitrary shorts at these levels and little chance to get to the proper areas to sell the highs before the ECB conference. So it's a case of fading any relatively hawkish news only then. 1152 is the new resistance on my charts as we have shifted relentlessly down and if that fails to cap the ECB then we know it's a serious pro-Euro shock after these techs...

It's probably more likely that the fade the news play will be weaker and maybe flirt with a top off 1097. 1134 the other, less significant level on my charts to watch to play out.
  • #965,996
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:56am Mar 5, 2015 3:56am
Quoting sisse
{quote} As expected from the roll, 1.104x held both Asian session and European opening ranges but we are officially trading AIR. There is no much to see until the conference and we will enter "no man land" in the next hour. Only macro levels in play for the ECB/NFP combo so all intraday charts raised in the map. For the rest of the session before ECB, inertia will prevail over anything micro technical. By common sense and experience in areas and fundamentals in play like this we should have options defending the bottom of the handle 1.100x. Aiming...
It could become a day of chaos today.

I see some interest of cross-selling through hourly closes on eurjpy and eurgbp (both 10 pips range). Cable is kind of dead.

If usdjpy cap at 120.00 does not hold, pressure may build up on eurusd quite dramatically.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #965,997
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:57am Mar 5, 2015 3:57am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} Ideally if truly regulated should only be one timezone and one price period, would even the playing field some "BUT" it is like cocaine, very addicting and very exciting, plenty of new meat signing up every day:nerd:
There is only one timezone, it's NOW, the present.
1 price period? What is the difference between H1 and M1?
The only way forex ceases to exist is if we have a global currency. That's not gonna happen any time soon.lol.
The broker is not your fried. It's just business, you pay something (commission, spread) for the privilege of investing in different instruments. If there is someone who believes that everything's going to be fine because the broker has your back is truly delusional.

The swiss madness was imho a behind the curtains play. add on top of that miss Leverage the b1tch and you get a new page in the history book.

Back to euro, i hope we'll have a nice bear party with Draghis voice in the background
  • #965,998
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:58am Mar 5, 2015 3:58am
Quoting Kofmaster
{quote} I'm still holding the 4 short position I have. I honestly do not know when will this move stop. I do have some profit taking target in mind. 1.1000 and 1.0900/1.0850 As for entry I do not know what is the good entry until market show me otherwise. I do not recommend taking any position at all because either way might play out during important news event. Either you have short positions and hold it, or do nothing. If you have long position, you are f**ked

thanks alot kofmaster, you rocks!!
  • #965,999
  • Mar 5, 2015 3:59am Mar 5, 2015 3:59am
Quoting BooG
Back to euro, i hope we'll have a nice bear party with Draghis voice in the background
Rofl, MC Draghi doesn't sound too bad actually.
  • #966,000
  • Mar 5, 2015 4:03am Mar 5, 2015 4:03am
Quoting sisse
{quote} As expected from the roll, 1.104x held both Asian session and European opening ranges but we are officially trading AIR. There is no much to see until the conference and we will enter "no man land" in the next hour. Only macro levels in play for the ECB/NFP combo so all intraday charts raised in the map. For the rest of the session before ECB, inertia will prevail over anything micro technical. By common sense and experience in areas and fundamentals in play like this we should have options defending the bottom of the handle 1.100x. Aiming...
t/p 1.100x it shall be
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