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EURUSD

  • #965,861
  • Mar 4, 2015 10:38am Mar 4, 2015 10:38am
Quoting sherifFares
EUR/USD continue the downtrend after breaking the support level 1.15 price now has no restrains to push lower. positive nonfarm payroll this week might push the price under 1.1000
Good information, but you are about 2 months too late
  • #965,862
  • Mar 4, 2015 10:41am Mar 4, 2015 10:41am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} weekend trip to prague maybe in may... if you look at the components, its a sector rotation. and every dip is bought when quaterly statement is published: allianz first -5%, ended around +-0 that day. basf nearly the same. even henkel (wont buy this one) today made a low in the morning 89,35 closed at 93,31. up, up, up and away...
Oh, thank you very much for input. Will think about that sector rotation.

May perfect, sun is up . Now is mud and rain here.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #965,863
  • Mar 4, 2015 10:42am Mar 4, 2015 10:42am
Quoting sherifFares
EUR/USD continue the downtrend after breaking the support level 1.15 price now has no restrains to push lower. positive nonfarm payroll this week might push the price under 1.1000
1.15? Wellcome back from winter sleep mr.bear.
  • #965,864
  • Mar 4, 2015 10:51am Mar 4, 2015 10:51am
Real ECB would be on Monday when they announce the start or delay of QE. Tomorrow is the usual bla bla crap.
  • #965,865
  • Mar 4, 2015 10:54am Mar 4, 2015 10:54am
Nice
Quoting Ken A
{quote} no rush here hehe ...... {image}
  • #965,866
  • Edited 11:17am Mar 4, 2015 10:59am | Edited 11:17am
GU entries are prolly gonna fack up and going to 1,52 test, as this chart seems ready to pull us.

Edit: facked up before posted. Am seer . Well, low 1,1 pips from intraday SL (intraweek 1,519 as told), but gonna get hit any second..k, little bounce, I deleverage GU level a bit.
...
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Geppys waiting 182,5 actually
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #965,867
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:01am Mar 4, 2015 11:01am
Hello guys i hope all is Well,
i have came back After Long Long time but i bought my self Years of Live Trading Portfolio wit US Brokers, where Trading is Very hard and Make money for Years NOT MONTHS is even Harder there are only 16% if us who can really do that for long term like Years,
we are Desciplined No emotions, No Greed, and NOW I whould like to help what i have learned from this great website over the years,
i was reading was not out of touch just was not posting i was busy and NOW i am back i hope i will be Helpful to New Traders Around Here,
Wish you all the Best,
and one more thing If i were you i will not my HOPES on EUR falling more then 1.10
Good Luck.
Don't compare your Trades with Others
  • #965,868
  • Edited 11:33am Mar 4, 2015 11:12am | Edited 11:33am
Typical, never say die crude.. Would like to see h4 close below 51.30ish.. If bears can hold here, we might not see $52 WTI for the rest of the year..
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  • #965,869
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:25am Mar 4, 2015 11:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} nothing to add to whats already said. i am not bullish and want to sell from higher. i have small longs running. up till 1022. (maybe a dumb thing). 1194 +- closes were mentioned many times as was 1209.. its up to the market.. and big money sees the close below 1209.. your best bet is low volume pushing toward 1209. before bigger sellers enter.. atm u need 1168 closes held. a ny close above wouldn't hurt u. its nfp week, a pump can happen. atm its not looking good 4 u. i dont envy your situation. its...
typo: 1068 in place of 1168
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #965,870
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:33am Mar 4, 2015 11:33am
Buying more Geppys, selling Aussie.

Dax aiming 11380 but wont be entering today. My ceiling starts falling on my head but water stopped leaking .

GBP not perfect trade now, as E/G wanna correct intraday, those are weekly entries.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #965,871
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:37am Mar 4, 2015 11:37am
Quoting Ck87
Typical, never say die crude.. Would like to see h4 close below 51.30ish.. {image} {image}
I had all but given up 51.25... that move puts 54.24 in the st cross hair.. the thing is 54. 06 has 42.83 in its cross hairs .. along with 51.25... the high is also playing in the norm sequence.. safer is waiting till near 54.06
Attached Image
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #965,872
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:37am Mar 4, 2015 11:37am
Quoting pedro319
EURUSD Bounce from here is quite natural as we are at MS1, however I am looking for test of 1.1138 or 1.1185 before anymore selling, 1.10 is my main target levels atm.
quarterly S3 at 1045
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #965,873
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:44am Mar 4, 2015 11:44am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had all but given up 51.25... that move puts 54.24 in the st cross hair.. the thing is 54. 06 has 42.83 in its cross hairs .. along with 51.25... the high is also playing in the norm sequence.. safer is waiting till near 54.06 {image}
Thanks a lot for analysis Gator. I have those lines in oil like a moron, but somewhat it works. Aint trading it though, got no FA clue bout Oil.

Interesting how much your price differs though.. I got high 51,478
Edit: Ah, you are watching crude, ok, me WTI.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #965,874
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:44am Mar 4, 2015 11:44am
Quoting ffleo
{quote} I seem to remember I shorted the fucker GA. ga ga ga
E/G going to bounce. G/A going to drop.
ignore wackos and psychos, including myself. But I can't add myself to iggy
  • #965,875
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:48am Mar 4, 2015 11:48am
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  • #965,876
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:49am Mar 4, 2015 11:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had all but given up 51.25... that move puts 54.24 in the st cross hair.. the thing is 54. 06 has 42.83 in its cross hairs .. along with 51.25... the high is also playing in the norm sequence.. safer is waiting till near 54.06 {image}
Thinking it just may go up there one more time...... seems unlikely though, and H1 is showing this was a bearish move... sucked in some nice buy orders
  • #965,877
  • Mar 4, 2015 11:54am Mar 4, 2015 11:54am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} I had all but given up 51.25... that move puts 54.24 in the st cross hair.. the thing is 54. 06 has 42.83 in its cross hairs .. along with 51.25... the high is also playing in the norm sequence.. safer is waiting till near 54.06 {image}
Would like to see pin bar above H4 cloud... but may be too strong for that right now... getting below 51.25 would be big..
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  • #965,878
  • Mar 4, 2015 12:03pm Mar 4, 2015 12:03pm
So you dont suspect am idiot while entering counter charts, it goes like this. All these charts are mid term trades till end of April, approximately, timing never precise, will follow price:EU short, EG short, UJ long, Aussie short. The rest is just to offset occasional short term USD weakness, and for this I simply use GBP/USD to switch exposure, and sometimes load Geppys or E/Gs intraweek, ofc also cover partials on main trades to dodge.

FA reasons for GBP beeing the best short term dodge for USD weakness, namely Brittains following QE path after US and markets may start pricing they hike 2nd + Europe safe haven cash flow.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #965,879
  • Mar 4, 2015 12:09pm Mar 4, 2015 12:09pm
Quoting sisse
For the actual flow it will extend until the NY opening range ...

  1. A inline/slightly better/worse numbers, a direct move from 1.116x (already in play but retest possible with a bit worse numbers) to breach the yearly lows and test the 1.10xx handle (1.103x/6x) and sleep there until ECB tomorrow....

Quoting sisse
London gone home at the expected 1.106x. Euro in trendy mode and naked & unprotected to the bottom side for the ECB/NFP combo. Tracking 1.108x for the roll just for reference on tomorrow...
As expected after the news euro went to sleep. Exact roll pretty much irrelevant for today at these levels. 1.108x its a healthy reference benchmark for tomorrow ECB's. US Equities for a 3er consecutive day are going to avoid a break down on profit taking with the close.

Only a very very unexpected closing range in NY will change the outcomes for today ...the board is set to a very comatose close and hours until the movers this week/month come with the ECB/NFP combo ...

Nothing to see until then ...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #965,880
  • Edited 12:26pm Mar 4, 2015 12:17pm | Edited 12:26pm
Quoting sisse
1.108x its a healthy reference
I think EU is gonna start going there like in 10 minutes and closes Daily +-10 pips, prefere -, like 1,107 would do. Such case would make nice Support/Ressistance cluster for tomorrow. I like such accidents.

Mate, I have missed so many entries because of that flood today :/. Also have wooden floor, full of wet clothes . Now tell me how can I stop smoking.

Edit: Think 10 minutes was too optimistic.
1 more edit: Btw, am watching 1,109x, but few pips here and there...
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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