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  • #965,701
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:34am Mar 4, 2015 5:34am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} ......



nothing is so complicate as words


Look here:

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...85#post8109385

FFleo understood.......
  • #965,702
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:36am Mar 4, 2015 5:36am
During the course of yesterday session, EURUSD went back and forth, creating another doji candle. We continue to trade in the “no man’s land” between 1.1236 downward to 1.1097.
I do not expect any movement beyond “no man’s land” range before the ECB monetary policy tomorrow and U.S jobs report on Friday.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #965,703
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:36am Mar 4, 2015 5:36am
#EURUSD Gann swing indicator still remains short.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd 3-4-15.png Size: 95 KB
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #965,704
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:43am Mar 4, 2015 5:43am
Quoting Michael.MK
{quote} I longed definitely too early. My sl is around 1,1070 but just thinking is any chance to go back around 1,12 so i can close it
1.11760 might be tested... above that, don't know...
  • #965,705
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:44am Mar 4, 2015 5:44am
Quoting USDollar
#EURUSD Gann swing indicator still remains short. {image}
Is that a huge gap @ 1.20 ?
  • #965,706
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:49am Mar 4, 2015 5:49am
Quoting amgm2609
{quote} 1.11760 might be tested... above that, don't know...
ADP and ISM today. If they are bad I have a chance 1,12 if not i am dead
  • #965,707
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:53am Mar 4, 2015 5:53am
Quoting amgm2609
{quote} Is that a huge gap @ 1.20 ?
no gap in price, In calendar days, yes there is a gap in days counting the weekend
"W. D. Gann said that time is the most important factor among all things."
  • #965,708
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:56am Mar 4, 2015 5:56am
Quoting USDollar
{quote} no gap in price, In calendar days, yes there is a gap in days counting the weekend
thanks
  • #965,709
  • Mar 4, 2015 5:58am Mar 4, 2015 5:58am
any chance adp can take EU to 1.1300 ?
  • #965,710
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:01am Mar 4, 2015 6:01am
Quoting Michael.MK
{quote} ADP and ISM today. If they are bad I have a chance 1,12 if not i am dead
same here.. [someone shouting great in morning thats eu going to 1200+ made me reverse my position] I wonder why I come to this post again and again
  • #965,711
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:04am Mar 4, 2015 6:04am
buy EU full margin
  • #965,712
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:04am Mar 4, 2015 6:04am
Quoting kali14
any chance adp can take EU to 1.1300 ?
USD – ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

This is a prelude to NFP it isn't the major event but gives us an indication as to what NFP might be like, the key to NFP is for it to be over 200k that is the psychological level that the market looks to. Figures are expected higher than previous and I believe that they will which will provide a reason for the USD to be supported going into next week, things could change throughout the week leading into the event but as it stands now we can expect these events to be positive for the USD. The Fed have said specifically that they are watching labour market data to which ends NFP is the primary measure of labour market health and this along with average earnings is one of the data points which they are basing their decision on whether to hike or not. If it continues to come out positive as it has over the last few months there are even less reasons for the Fed to delay. The other thing that has been positive for the USD recently was core CPI, the headline figure lacked momentum but the core which removes oil prices was very healthy, ticked higher than expected and was supportive of our USD bias going into the week.
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #965,713
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:05am Mar 4, 2015 6:05am
Quoting janpec1000
2527 UCAD sell. EURAUD telling story of break at moment. http://prntscr.com/6cj7th
TP UCAD +15.
Still waiting for EA, not "buying" current "bottom".
  • #965,714
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:08am Mar 4, 2015 6:08am
Afternoon,

As if it is unclear to some, eurusd is not tradable at the moment. Thin volumes are either on cable or usdjpy and in a few US traders come online, will get better view when and what to trade.

Only one trade was secure today on eurusd.

US ADP news at 1:15 GMT.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #965,715
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:13am Mar 4, 2015 6:13am
Quoting KiwiTrada
kiwi and aussie approaching resistance kiwi 7606 now 7585 aussie 7926 now 7884 but she is at todays open which could hold her been buying these 2 for couple weeks now, in respect of resist partialing and squeezing stops until they either reject or break thru
well 9 days later we heading back for another test 7606
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #965,716
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:22am Mar 4, 2015 6:22am
you are right
  • #965,717
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:28am Mar 4, 2015 6:28am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} well 9 days later we heading back for another test 7606
7667
  • #965,718
  • Edited 7:06am Mar 4, 2015 6:50am | Edited 7:06am
Quoting sisse
Simple and straight forward opening range a....hard part done 1.116x taken in Europe. Session will be close after the final numbers in the next hour to give NY full control of the swing with ADP.... sisse
As expected since yesterday close, 1.116x taken in a very short and straight forward european session this morning. Euro (dollar) reaching major levels on the 1.10xx handle with ECB/NFP combo still to come and to officially start this month.

News coming from the US are particularly important from a technical point of view for the levels in play and for the positioning before ECB/NFP combo more than the fundamental implications.

  1. On the fundamental side, ADP not expected to be of much influence. Inline with expectations and/or a slightly better numbers are widely expected to continue with the trend. Any mark between 200k/240k will confirm the steady jobs #s in the US leaving the hike timing expectations intact (july/sep).

    1. Only a massive undershoot will create some extra expectations for NFP and in the short term will trigger a full leg intraday leg down in equities (they barely held support yst) and make the dovish cheerleaders go in full motion on the headlines....

  2. On the technical side, only 2 simple levels in play 1.103x/6x naked to complete the swing leg and 1.116x. The aftermath with NY is key for this week ECB/NFP/weekly close combo (those levels for later...).

For the actual flow it will extend until the NY opening range and only 2 very straight forward flows to track:

  1. A inline/slightly better/worse numbers, a direct move from 1.116x (already in play but retest possible with a bit worse numbers) to breach the yearly lows and test the 1.10xx handle (1.103x/6x) and sleep there until ECB tomorrow.
  2. An undershoot. That will open a double intraday leg to 1.107x to fight the roll around 1.116x until the ECB/NFP combo settles the deal...

Let's see how it pan out...

sisse

Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #965,719
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:57am Mar 4, 2015 6:57am
Quoting Nfp
buy EU full margin
Y?
Without an edge MM is useless!
  • #965,720
  • Mar 4, 2015 6:57am Mar 4, 2015 6:57am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} well 9 days later we heading back for another test 7606
little psych effect 7600 but clearly seen by cable and UC,c rejection of todays open was expected but not as hard as they did both atleast 40 sec before kiwi and aussie, sometime help but not tonight usd data in 20 mins see if that can move the market, dosnt normally do shit, but never know
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