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share your opinions about these results?

  • #1
  • First Post: Feb 1, 2015 12:57pm Feb 1, 2015 12:57pm
Hello folk
Can I ask you to share your opinions about these results?
There are the standard test reports, generated by MT4, htmls and gifs.
Symbols are USD, CHF, AUD, NZD , EUR, CAD, GBP against JPY.
Initial deposit is low, 1000$. Testing period starting on 1, Jan, 2014 up to last days of Jan, 15
Reports are presenting the results, generated by my EA.
I am looking for opinions about these results, are they optimistic for future deep testing ?
That's why I dont discuss the strategy, I am interesting in"black box" style evaluation.
I hope to discuss strategy later.
Thanks
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip results.zip   81 KB | 557 downloads
  • #2
  • Feb 20, 2015 3:41pm Feb 20, 2015 3:41pm
Quoting hanzov
Hello folk Can I ask you to share your opinions about these results? There are the standard test reports, generated by MT4, htmls and gifs. Symbols are USD, CHF, AUD, NZD , EUR, CAD, GBP against JPY. Initial deposit is low, 1000$. Testing period starting on 1, Jan, 2014 up to last days of Jan, 15 Reports are presenting the results, generated by my EA. I am looking for opinions about these results, are they optimistic for future deep testing ? That's why I dont discuss the strategy, I am interesting in"black box" style evaluation. I hope to discuss...
Your result is very good, specially the DD very low, Impressive .
If you believe in yourself anything is possible !!
  • #3
  • Feb 24, 2015 3:48pm Feb 24, 2015 3:48pm
Thanks, imifx, for your opinion.
I continue to work on this EA and testing results are similar, although different for various pairs. It is natural thing.
But what is important for me:
1. How relevant and predictable behaviour of the EA in the future, basing on existing history data?
2. What are requirements of the potential investors to testing procdures, what they want to see to be optimistic
about concrete EA?
May be , these questions are important for other designers too.
Thanks
  • #4
  • Feb 24, 2015 4:09pm Feb 24, 2015 4:09pm
Quoting hanzov
Hello folk Can I ask you to share your opinions about these results? There are the standard test reports, generated by MT4, htmls and gifs. Symbols are USD, CHF, AUD, NZD , EUR, CAD, GBP against JPY. Initial deposit is low, 1000$. Testing period starting on 1, Jan, 2014 up to last days of Jan, 15 Reports are presenting the results, generated by my EA. I am looking for opinions about these results, are they optimistic for future deep testing ? That's why I dont discuss the strategy, I am interesting in"black box" style evaluation. I hope to discuss...
Have you tested the EA with real ticks?
Trading is the hardest way to make easy money...
  • #5
  • Feb 24, 2015 4:17pm Feb 24, 2015 4:17pm
I have been developing my own ea for a long time (7 years) and I can tell you from experience that unless your ea sails smoothly on historical data starting from Jan 1, 2007 thru now, you can not expect live trading results are not going to be similar to backtest.
  • #6
  • Feb 25, 2015 4:53pm Feb 25, 2015 4:53pm
Quoting MathTrader7
{quote} Have you tested the EA with real ticks?
No< I dont think it is ready to the real world still
  • #7
  • Feb 25, 2015 5:01pm Feb 25, 2015 5:01pm
Quoting Abhimanyu
I have been developing my own ea for a long time (7 years) and I can tell you from experience that unless your ea sails smoothly on historical data starting from Jan 1, 2007 thru now, you can not expect live trading results are not going to be similar to backtest.
I agree with you. More than results are depending on starting date.
Look two examples . In my case, I see the perfect results starting from 2013-10-01 and total catastrophe for 2014-03-1 starting date. I have expected differences, it is not a linear -in-time system, but not so radical.
So, what is the sense to backtest? This question sounds as trivial one and answered many times, but again and again ask myself,
what conclusions I could get from this backtest?

Abhimanyu, 7 years? It means, I have 5 years before myself...)
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip CHFJPY-starting-2014-03-01.zip   10 KB | 362 downloads
File Type: zip CHFJPY-starting-2013-10-01.zip   11 KB | 370 downloads
  • #8
  • Feb 25, 2015 6:12pm Feb 25, 2015 6:12pm
Quoting hanzov
{quote} I agree with you. More than results are depending on starting date. Look two examples . In my case, I see the perfect results starting from 2013-10-01 and total catastrophe for 2014-03-1 starting date. I have expected differences, it is not a linear -in-time system, but not so radical. So, what is the sense to backtest? This question sounds as trivial one and answered many times, but again and again ask myself, what conclusions I could get from this backtest? Abhimanyu, 7 years? It means, I have 5 years before myself...) {file} {file}
At least. I have my ea working smoothly for 8 years for 8 pairs and still live results are not similar to backtest. Reason is the way price moves is different all the time. Some jpy pairs will go up 1000 pips, 2000 pips in straight line with hardly any retracement and some time price just hangs around in a very narrow range. I have selected this date, Jan 1, 2007 because I feel that retail fx really took off since that date and volume has gone up significantly. Technical analysis works well when you have a very large number of participants because at all time someone thinks price is too high and other think price is low.
  • #9
  • Feb 26, 2015 6:33am Feb 26, 2015 6:33am
I have obtain results during 1 year, or stop it. I have not resources for life for next 5 years' expectation :-)

Quoting Abhimanyu
{quote} At least. I have my ea working smoothly for 8 years for 8 pairs and still live results are not similar to backtest. Reason is the way price moves is different all the time. Some jpy pairs will go up 1000 pips, 2000 pips in straight line with hardly any retracement and some time price just hangs around in a very narrow range. I have selected this date, Jan 1, 2007 because I feel that retail fx really took off since that date and volume has gone up significantly. Technical analysis works well when you have a very large number of participants...
  • #10
  • Mar 2, 2015 2:56pm Mar 2, 2015 2:56pm
Like it! But I prefer not to believe ea's at 100%
  • #11
  • Mar 3, 2015 3:16pm Mar 3, 2015 3:16pm
I am really missed with testing results. I have tested EA for usdchf and usdjpy pairs on historical data. Starting from
01-01-2014,
01-04-2014,
01-07-2014
up to today ( 03-03-2015)
I have three absolutely different results. How I can make any conclusion about EA in this situation?
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip usdjpy.zip   29 KB | 365 downloads
File Type: zip usdchf.zip   27 KB | 353 downloads
  • #12
  • Last Post: Mar 4, 2015 11:54am Mar 4, 2015 11:54am
Things became more interesting. I did not see similar results before.
The main question, how historical data correlates with real...
Rather, not concrete prices, but tendencies. Simple speaking, has testing result the real value or not.
Attached File(s)
File Type: zip 04Mar.zip   172 KB | 394 downloads
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