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  • #964,761
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:31am Feb 27, 2015 9:31am
Quoting Magicmen
{quote} Yep. That is reasonable. And close around/below 1209 like Gator mentioned.
We already printed today's low, I think 1165 is completely out of question at this point now. Maybe early next week, but today, I can't imagine that during the next 6 hours.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #964,762
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:35am Feb 27, 2015 9:35am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} OUT
still ok to short
  • #964,763
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:39am Feb 27, 2015 9:39am
Quoting heph
{quote} still ok to short
Will re enter higher 1.12295
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #964,764
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:42am Feb 27, 2015 9:42am
Holding 2 longs and I think EURO will rise a bit from here.
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Never chase the market
  • #964,765
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:47am Feb 27, 2015 9:47am
Quoting crazypotato
no argue mate, it already reach 1.12 again. happy to see 1.13 again and short it !!!
Way to go CrazyP, that sounds like a plan. I made nice PIPs today but I think your plan coincides with the MMs not the retailers. They move it down, everyone shorts and looses their money to them then they move it up and everyone longs at the peak and so it goes. News is highly over-rated, what moves the market is the Big Wigs
  • #964,766
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:48am Feb 27, 2015 9:48am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} Sneaky - why decided to close the short
bought au strong 00
as we talked y

gu BE out rest
  • #964,767
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:48am Feb 27, 2015 9:48am
Quoting sisse
{quote} The odds are going against that by the minute for today. London will set the low of the month and NY the roll. In simple words, if London goes home without profit taking we have a marginal chance to move lower on inertia (and minions trying to catch the bottom) otherwise the low of the month is just around the next hour or so ... sisse
being flat atm, makes the next month the ones i care about. was/is expecting 1073 target w/o the target 101x on the next leg reached until a 1400 bounce before .. this month, has last months 1279/88.. with the added 1209.. so it makes 1400 a harder call with a close below 1209.. above 1209 makes 1400 easier.. above 1279/88 a give-me.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #964,768
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:49am Feb 27, 2015 9:49am
+ 22 pips for my long.
and i'm not closing it.
  • #964,769
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:51am Feb 27, 2015 9:51am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} being flat atm, makes the next month the ones i care about. was/is expecting 1073 target w/o the target 101x on the next leg reached until a 1400 bounce before .. this month has last 1279/88.. with the added 1209.. so it makes 1400 a harder call with a close below 1209.. above 1209 makes 1400 easier.. above 1279/88 a give-me.
they're pretending to fight around 1209. light-vol helium rise atm.
  • #964,770
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:53am Feb 27, 2015 9:53am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} I asked the guy concerning statistical reasoning of his statement (bald one). that is all. dont know where he entered risk, management etc yeah, its building something. one needs some bad carma from one part of the currency pair and we will be moving
Yep, no harm in asking, I had the same question too. I missed the short downwards but compensated it in the uptrend from 118x, u could tell it was pure manipulation since the news was not that much far from expectations except for the US Chicago PMI and the Housing (still, the divergence from the expected was not that strong) but the MM have to move it up and down, nice price action though.
  • #964,771
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:57am Feb 27, 2015 9:57am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} being flat atm, makes the next month the ones i care about. was/is expecting 1073 target w/o the target 101x on the next leg reached until a 1400 bounce before .. this month has last 1279/88.. with the added 1209.. so it makes 1400 a harder call with a close below 1209.. above 1209 makes 1400 easier.. above 1279/88 a give-me.
We have the low of the month pretty much set now. Map starting to get clear for next month (still need to see how we roll). 1.120x holding the roll will marginally open 1.14xx handle but 1.128x (which is wide open intraday) is the lock for anything above.

Plenty of important TA closes information (starting with european equities) coming in the next few hours across the board so let see...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #964,772
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:57am Feb 27, 2015 9:57am
Quoting Tradezilla
{quote} Yep, no harm in asking, I had the same question too. I missed the short downwards but compensated it in the uptrend from 118x, u could tell it was pure manipulation since the news was not that much far from expectations except for the US Chicago PMI and the Housing (still, the divergence from the expected was not that strong) but the MM have to move it up and down, nice price action though.
was it reuters pointing to the rumor that greek banks are running out of liquidity?
  • #964,773
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:57am Feb 27, 2015 9:57am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} they're pretending to fight around 1209. light-vol helium rise atm.
1209 should be a battleground.. (with little below but air) and help from 1279/88.. its not easy to get 8 red candles in a row. 9 even harder. i am not saying its not going lower. i just dont want to be caught short in a bounce. in the event bears lose the battle here. heavy weights come just before close. some will be here for round 1 in a few minutes
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #964,774
  • Feb 27, 2015 9:58am Feb 27, 2015 9:58am
Quoting sophiaphia
{quote} It's all Draghi after Greece extension, old news Greece. So see some days after extension news (everyone wildly excited about what it means to euro, how great) here it is weekly S2 (why? draghi). Smartish bears covered. It goes up because it can and some bulls underwater and will try to find supply 1.128 and 1.129, phat bull lines for underwater bulls. I could be incorrect, have a stop very close.
Recall that Super Mario wants parity, so that the EURO zone's trade balance remains the same with the US partnering in to fill the gap due to Russian sanctions, that's why early this year, in Belgium, the US kind'a promised to increase its trade with GER to compensate for the trade lost to Russia. In this situation Dragher wants it down.

Don't under estimate the Greek issue, Tsipras is in binds, he can't fulfill what he promised to his constituents and can't pay up, this is a drag that keeps on giving and is not to be ignored, agreed, it is priced in, but it is a drag for Greece to cough up all these billions with the interest too. Spain and Portugal may follow.
  • #964,775
  • Feb 27, 2015 10:01am Feb 27, 2015 10:01am
Quoting KGP
{quote} and where is the change? or 1k is a change worth getting eur to its knees?

In a nervous market when everyone are on the tip of their toes, the big MMs will make any excuse to move it. the trick is to read the MMs direction and ride that trend.

Look at today's EURUSD action, nice.
  • #964,776
  • Feb 27, 2015 10:03am Feb 27, 2015 10:03am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Is not finished, market is just preparing for final thrust. Ofc I know where . See, that GU long was just to switch long exposure from USD to GBP a bit, am not short bucks, I like em. {image}
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Think 5413 is on hold though, am deleveraging level a bit. Couldnt help it and bought GJs instead...more..hihi {image}
Beatifull LO finish, what can I say. Dax up, GJ up, GU up, UJ up EG down, EU stuck at monthly 121. Edit: blah blah blah, in the end covered only +1,3%, am sometimes a bit greedy ,I admit.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #964,777
  • Feb 27, 2015 10:03am Feb 27, 2015 10:03am
Quoting OnlineAddict
GU is creating a small bullish setup around 5400 into next week. Might spike up again on monday...5480-5520.
That bull move from 5410 towards 5458 was a beauty, so sticking to my first target at 5480 for monday. If 5520 breaks, even 5580 isn't out of question next week. Now I have seen all I needed to see, so time to order food and hit the pool. Have a good weekend, everyone!
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #964,778
  • Feb 27, 2015 10:03am Feb 27, 2015 10:03am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} 1209 should be a battleground.. (with little below but air) and help from 1279/88.. its not easy to get 8 red candles in a row. 9 even harder. i am not saying its not going lower. i just dont want to be caught short in a bounce. in the event bears lose the battle here.
not flipping the coin in favor of either direction here, not worth my money, although I just got a freaking research idea.

I'm at the drawing-board.
  • #964,779
  • Feb 27, 2015 10:07am Feb 27, 2015 10:07am
Quoting Mr Hatch
1+1=~1.996
Fail better.
  • #964,780
  • Feb 27, 2015 10:12am Feb 27, 2015 10:12am
Quoting Mr Hatch
{quote} not flipping the coin in favor of either direction here, not worth my money, although I just got a freaking research idea. I'm at the drawing-board.
how often does 7 candles of any color pop up in a row? what about 8? then next months, what about 9? fundis should bring it lower for sure. that dont mean we cant have a green bounce candle before down. yeah, yeah, i am bearish.. i just rather sell from higher and cant ignore the possibility of the "most times strategy" .. not always right.. just lose less or 0 when wrong. still just a spectator atm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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