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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #5,681
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:10am Feb 25, 2015 2:10am
Just curious, I've just noticed that the DAX has experienced major pullback around these dates. Here are the approximate point movements:

28/2/06 to 8/3/06 : -350pts
27/2/07 to 16/3/07 : -500pts
18/2/08 to 16/3/008 : -900pts
9/2/09 to 8/3/09: -1050pts
2010 - No such observation
20/2/11 to 14/3/11: -950pts
21/2/12 to 6/3/12: -350pts
2013 - No such observation
26/2/14 to 14/3/14: -780pts

Anyone have a reason for this?

I have long / short positions, and I am contemplating banking the Longs now for profits, and if this same observation holds, I'll run these shorts down to a smaller loss or even profits.

I sense the Dax is close to an interim peak.
  • #5,682
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:11am Feb 25, 2015 2:11am
Quoting deltaone
long @11214,6 sl -10 tp +30
closed at be. +-0
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,683
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:18am Feb 25, 2015 2:18am
Quoting Kijun
short 11221 sl -20 tp +40 but having a close look @ 11.200
same for me... out BE
  • #5,684
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:21am Feb 25, 2015 2:21am
Quoting PariCovek
Just curious, I've just noticed that the DAX has experienced major pullback around these dates. Here are the approximate point movements: 28/2/06 to 8/3/06 : -350pts 27/2/07 to 16/3/07 : -500pts 18/2/08 to 16/3/008 : -900pts 9/2/09 to 8/3/09: -1050pts 2010 - No such observation 20/2/11 to 14/3/11: -950pts 21/2/12 to 6/3/12: -350pts 2013 - No such observation 26/2/14 to 14/3/14: -780pts Anyone have a reason for this? I have long / short positions, and I am contemplating banking the Longs now for profits, and if this same observation holds, I'll run...
there are seasonal effects on the stockmarkets, but i donīt know any in feb/march.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,685
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:29am Feb 25, 2015 2:29am
Morning all..... what a slow start....
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #5,686
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:34am Feb 25, 2015 2:34am
It just went up one more time 2 hit my SL @ BE

entered small short @ 11202 SL -20 TP +40

edit: out -5 looks like ranging marked :S
  • #5,687
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:34am Feb 25, 2015 2:34am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} there are seasonal effects on the stockmarkets, but i dont know any in feb/march.
The start of this current bull run is attached. It has had 10 day pullbacks twice before in this bull run and once it retreated back to the 2x1 line.

The key dates of 6-9 or 14-16 March seems to have appeared in the past (on 7 out of the last 9 years) as possible interim lows.

If 6 March is the projected interim low, then today could be an interim high assuming another 10 day pullback. Just an educated guess.

Other bull runs that commenced in March 2009 and September 2011 have always pulled back to the 1x1 line (Gann Fans) and a lot sooner than this current bull run.

Then again, fundamentally, the DAX has been super-charged with a lower EUR (to increase exports), lower commodities prices (lowering input costs), cheaper credit and QE all at once!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DAXX-1C.png Size: 260 KB
  • #5,688
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:35am Feb 25, 2015 2:35am
long @11202 sl -10 tp +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,689
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:40am Feb 25, 2015 2:40am
Quoting deltaone
long @11202 sl -10 tp +30
sl = be now.
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,690
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:46am Feb 25, 2015 2:46am
Quoting deltaone
{quote} sl = be now.
sl hit. +-0
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,691
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:52am Feb 25, 2015 2:52am
all this tanking... I still specualte with a leg down within next 15mins
but dont like shorting inside support zone
  • #5,692
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:56am Feb 25, 2015 2:56am
long @11.201 sl -10 tp +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,693
  • Feb 25, 2015 2:57am Feb 25, 2015 2:57am
Quoting Kijun
all this tanking... I still specualte with a leg down within next 15mins but dont like shorting inside support zone
Risky for sure, but it seems a very likely move.
  • #5,694
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:08am Feb 25, 2015 3:08am
Quoting deltaone
long @11.201 sl -10 tp +30
closed at be. +-0
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,695
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:18am Feb 25, 2015 3:18am
Not buying until a little reload - perhaps <11,100 then I will BTD all day
  • #5,696
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:22am Feb 25, 2015 3:22am
Quoting twellve
Not buying until a little reload - perhaps <11,100 then I will BTD all day
BTD = ??
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #5,697
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:22am Feb 25, 2015 3:22am
long @11.201 sl -10 tp +30
fortis fortuna adiuvat
  • #5,698
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:28am Feb 25, 2015 3:28am
GM. possible target day
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax diario.png Size: 40 KB
  • #5,699
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:29am Feb 25, 2015 3:29am
possible weekly target
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dax semanal.png Size: 34 KB
  • #5,700
  • Feb 25, 2015 3:30am Feb 25, 2015 3:30am
Quoting kiwis
{quote} BTD = ??
buy the dip deltaone
fortis fortuna adiuvat
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