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  • #962,841
  • Edited 6:47am Feb 23, 2015 6:12am | Edited 6:47am
Short GU 5395 TP 10.

EDIT: Sold from higher additionally.
  • #962,842
  • Feb 23, 2015 6:32am Feb 23, 2015 6:32am
Quoting sisse
...and we got the latest update. The Greek drama final announcement will be discussed tomorrow not today... one more day and as expected this tiki taka will extend probably until the 11th hour of the deadline day.... Tracking 1.134x for NY... sisse
Hello Sisse,

Can you please explain how you calculated that level?
It would be really nice. Thank you.
  • #962,843
  • Feb 23, 2015 6:33am Feb 23, 2015 6:33am
Quoting hathor
Buy signals in my system. Good luck all.
Already in profit, but sitting on my hand, because no sell signals so far ((and in my experience this PA should drive to new high -> not fact)).
f(z)=z2+c
  • #962,844
  • Feb 23, 2015 6:43am Feb 23, 2015 6:43am
Even after the recent decline, horizontal support near 1.1265-60 can restrict EURUSD decline.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #962,845
  • Feb 23, 2015 6:43am Feb 23, 2015 6:43am
Quoting LarryDarrell
{quote} It's not about Schaeuble, or Germany. The new greek government had the audacity to point out the absurdity of the whole situation, which I acutally respect. The other EU governments (all of them!) now have the option to say: "Hey, you are right, we pursued the wrong policies and tactics for the last 20 years. We'll change everything because some left weirdos with no administrative experience and a mandate of a desperate population, which constitutes below 3% of the EU population and below 1.5% of the GDP, just now told us." Fat chance. They'll...
I can respect the stance of the Greece very much. There is simply no sense in fighting debt crisis with more debt.

But the Greecs also make me wonder. When they would stand behind this, they never would accept more money given to them. They simply would tell the Greece people that it is a neccessary for Greece to default, to leave the Euro, and to print their own Drachme. And they would tell their people that they would have to face years over years of really tough times, and would not promise them silly things.
  • #962,846
  • Feb 23, 2015 6:48am Feb 23, 2015 6:48am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Already in profit, but sitting on my hand, because no sell signals so far ((and in my experience this PA should drive to new high -> not fact)).
Same here but I closed half at 320
  • #962,847
  • Feb 23, 2015 6:59am Feb 23, 2015 6:59am
Quoting sisse
...and we got the latest update. The Greek drama final announcement will be discussed tomorrow not today... one more day and as expected this tiki taka will extend probably until the 11th hour of the deadline day.... Tracking 1.134x for NY... sisse
Hi mate,
we all see the Soap Opera, and many of us pretty short - me Eur shorts against GBP and USD. Though Greece is in my view pretty unimportant, I stand by view EU cant let him fall as it would make massive hole in Target 2 and bailout is much much cheaper. However, without structural reforms, it will be just more can kicking and we are about to be in the very same place two three years later (QE here should move south bankrupcy in time). But as I am watching market focusing on Greece and heavily overreacting on news coming out of it, am very affraid that once they struck a deal, it will be massive Euro buy, although for me it will be total non-news. Market expectations now heavily affected by that commy Tsipras.
T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #962,848
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:05am Feb 23, 2015 7:05am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Already in profit, but sitting on my hand, because no sell signals so far ((and in my experience this PA should drive to new high -> not fact)).
Hathor... sorry that you ditched Milton...

Just curious which TF you used for your signal?
Tks
  • #962,849
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:08am Feb 23, 2015 7:08am
Quoting amgm2609
{quote} Hathor... sorry that you ditched Milton... Just curious which TF you used for your signal? Tks


Btw M1-H1 (H4 forming: ~ 50 minutes until comfirmation)
f(z)=z2+c
  • #962,850
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:09am Feb 23, 2015 7:09am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Hi mate, we all see the Soap Opera, and many of us pretty short - me Eur shorts against GBP and USD. Though Greece is in my view pretty unimportant, I stand by view EU cant let him fall as it would make massive hole in Target 2 and bailout is much much cheaper. However, without structural reforms, it will be just more can kicking and we are about to be in the very same place two three years later (QE here should move south bankrupcy in time). But as I am watching market focusing on Greece and heavily overreacting on news coming out of it,...
Hm not sure about that, depends how you define massive. 100 pips maybe at max is what i would think.
  • #962,851
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:10am Feb 23, 2015 7:10am
sideline for now
  • #962,852
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:12am Feb 23, 2015 7:12am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Hm not sure about that, depends how you define massive. 100 pips maybe at max is what i would think.
Dunno, but think like 1,165 would be pretty massive overkill of most of shorts. And watching those idiots buying Eur, I can imagine this scenario.

Btw, Aud breaking down testing monthly doji again and Eur/Gbp seems ready to slide deep.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #962,853
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:17am Feb 23, 2015 7:17am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Dunno, but think like 1,165 would be pretty massive overkill of most of shorts. And watching those idiots buying Eur, I can imagine this scenario.
1800/1900
  • #962,854
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:20am Feb 23, 2015 7:20am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} 1800/1900
Really mate? You wanna me to look through your posts or will you just tell me if you really bought it and speculating on market overreaction? Could be a good deal to follow the herd cheering on Greece bailout.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #962,855
  • Edited 7:45am Feb 23, 2015 7:22am | Edited 7:45am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Really mate? You wanna me to look through your posts or will you just tell me if you really bought it and speculating on market overreaction? Could be a good deal to follow the herd cheering on Greece bailout.
no, just saying overkill would be in that area. to also kill weak sellers on 1650

im long 1300 yes
second time. dont know what im doin..it slowly earing demand. NY will join, dont know what the story will be. Tomorow will be strong day surely..week is also hardcore with news. lets do it step by step .
  • #962,856
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:23am Feb 23, 2015 7:23am
Quoting 21vs7
im long 1300 yes second time. dont know what im doin
I trust you. Neither do I. I believe if I shoot infinite times, thanks to quantum physics I gotta hit one day.

Btw, check Oil, approaching monthly doji here.

And you are right 1,165 is overkill just for weaklings like me. I gota learn to admit am weakling.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #962,857
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:28am Feb 23, 2015 7:28am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} You're not seeing a trend reversal for years to come, but overall of course it can go up few hundred pips
Definitely not a trend reversal, talking lower lows here.. otherwise just correction. (and how big of a correction)
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #962,858
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:29am Feb 23, 2015 7:29am
Quoting hathor
{quote} (IMO) Forget this triangle, there is a new and bigger one. In other words: the small triangle's break out needed to form the big one (Technically the previous - very important -lows gave space for that) {image}
Watch-out you are not chart-fitting... my 2 cents you maybe connecting very unrelated swings lows and assuming a major low is in place last Friday when is not really true ...

Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} ... However, without structural reforms, it will be just more can kicking and we are about to be in the very same place two....
Agree. Thats also what the euro haters don't get it either. Without structural reforms, euro or no euro, drachma, rubble, yuan or simply shells wont make any difference !!!. There is no such a thing as devaluing yourself out from a structural crisis...otherwise countries like Zimbabwe would be the richest country in the world ...

Quote
But as I am watching market focusing on Greece and heavily overreacting on news coming out of it, am very affraid that once they struck a deal, it will be massive Euro buy, although for me it will be total non-news. Market expectations now heavily affected by that commy Tsipras. T

Disagree with heavily overreacting and the market impact of Tsipras. The drama has been pretty much a non even for the euro. Since Tsipras won euro is flat/chop (no overreaction so far) and equities are breaking all time highs every day !!!. If you avoid peeking intraday charts and analyse the macro short (i mean days/weeks) and mid term picture you may see that the noise movements has been exactly that just noise and not important at all (not like in 2010).

On the massive buy, not sure. Greek news Bulls are sitting at 1.127x all month, in my books most took profits already last week on the confirmation of the loan deal extension (the real thing not the BS of the final approval). As long as 1.127x holds the final news, bulls have the benefit of the doubt for a 1 more short-lived leg up on the knee jerk reaction.

If you want to check a bigger move up, you may need to wait for the FED later in March to confirm or not the dovish outlook....

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #962,859
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:29am Feb 23, 2015 7:29am
Shorted gold 1201.
  • #962,860
  • Feb 23, 2015 7:30am Feb 23, 2015 7:30am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} I trust you. Neither do I. I believe if I shoot infinite times, thanks to quantum physics I gotta hit one day. Btw, check Oil, approaching monthly doji here.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=495083

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=48562


there are some problems with that. Surely in a seventh universe out there one of the Toms is having a sad times, surely you are having a good time because the other Tom is having a bad day.
Infinitive. You think one can choose it by themselves what is ones destiny?
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