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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #56,101
  • Feb 20, 2015 1:23pm Feb 20, 2015 1:23pm
probability euro strong long up!

same CHF out CHF up!
  • #56,102
  • Feb 20, 2015 2:32pm Feb 20, 2015 2:32pm
just hit my target , cashed out and will see what next week has it store! not a bad week.
  • #56,103
  • Feb 20, 2015 2:57pm Feb 20, 2015 2:57pm
Quoting noypi
what will happen if greece exits from euro?
Yupeee!!! euro UP!! Finally without all the baggages! Euro will be more UP if they get rid of Italy, Spain, Portugal, Malta, Estonia and all the deadbeats or at least create a two-tiered EURO system, one for the countries with the stronger economy, and another for the ones who have weaker economy.
Make your losses in demo. Earn your profits live.
  • #56,104
  • Feb 20, 2015 3:05pm Feb 20, 2015 3:05pm
Initial move would be negative for euro - fear of contagion, but after the dust settled euro would strengthen. When you get rid of your weakest link that is positive!
Vision without action is a daydream. Action without vision is a nightmare.
  • #56,105
  • Feb 20, 2015 6:58pm Feb 20, 2015 6:58pm
My personal view if greece exits euro, euro will even more down. The more countries leaving euro, the more down euro will be.
even if strong countries left, they will still down. Because demand for euro will be less.
even if euro wants to get up, it will not be that much.

impact to jpy, then jpy will get stronger.
my 2 cents.
  • #56,106
  • Feb 20, 2015 7:52pm Feb 20, 2015 7:52pm
Quoting Idkurv
My personal view if greece exits euro, euro will even more down. The more countries leaving euro, the more down euro will be. even if strong countries left, they will still down. Because demand for euro will be less. even if euro wants to get up, it will not be that much. impact to jpy, then jpy will get stronger. my 2 cents.
If strong countries leave it will DEFINITELY go down.. no doubt 100% agree. If Greece were to leave their new currency would be worthless. If more and more countries leave then yes euro will just fall apart well below parity IMO

About the yen.. I'm curious to see if usdjpy can break above and STAY above 120 in the medium-long term.. trading that pair LT only
Vision without action is a daydream. Action without vision is a nightmare.
  • #56,107
  • Feb 20, 2015 10:16pm Feb 20, 2015 10:16pm
Quoting eric6
{quote} If strong countries leave it will DEFINITELY go down.. no doubt 100% agree. If Greece were to leave their new currency would be worthless. If more and more countries leave then yes euro will just fall apart well below parity IMO About the yen.. I'm curious to see if usdjpy can break above and STAY above 120 in the medium-long term.. trading that pair LT only
My current view on uj is bearish to reach 117sh, 115sh, and 110sh, subject to conditions.
118.4 is critical level to break to fall.
whether uj will go above 123 or not, will depend on whether the fed will actually increase interest rate or not, whether qe is reduced or not.
because so far the fed is only saying words..
if suddenly the fed says: we postpone reducing qe, or we postpone rate increase, my tp would be 110sh.
  • #56,108
  • Feb 20, 2015 11:36pm Feb 20, 2015 11:36pm
My view of UJ
-------------------
The overall trend is clearly bull.
Price retraced back and found support at the red lines creating a double bottom type pattern.
Price broke above the short term descending trend line.

I am moderatly bullish on UJ at the moment. But I feel there is still indecision on the chart. I will wait for a clear break above or below the consolidation area.
Typically a descending triangle is expected to break south. But I have found its not always the case and I prefer to wait.
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  • #56,109
  • Feb 22, 2015 1:35pm Feb 22, 2015 1:35pm
I think that Fed will move this year sooner rather than later. If not June then at the next meeting. Risk on, stocks soaring, greece "deal"/delaying the inevitable = this pair moving up. I still am looking for a 130+ year close for this pair so I'm keeping my longs open.
Vision without action is a daydream. Action without vision is a nightmare.
  • #56,110
  • Feb 22, 2015 1:45pm Feb 22, 2015 1:45pm
Maybe true, but what about the BoJ's QE? At some point soon, won't this boost the Y?
  • #56,111
  • Feb 22, 2015 6:45pm Feb 22, 2015 6:45pm
short

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  • #56,112
  • Feb 22, 2015 8:14pm Feb 22, 2015 8:14pm
Quoting noypi
what will happen if greece exits from euro?
itz hit very bad for eur tempory.....bt i think greece exit build better future for eur
  • #56,113
  • Feb 22, 2015 9:31pm Feb 22, 2015 9:31pm
regardless of grexit, JPY will be strong

it is time to come "Japan companies transfer BIG MONEY to JAPAN SOON"
don't find the correct answer in market. just feel it and follow the wave.
  • #56,114
  • Feb 22, 2015 10:13pm Feb 22, 2015 10:13pm
short usdyen target 11835 sl 11916
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Learn THEN Unlearn
  • #56,115
  • Feb 22, 2015 11:27pm Feb 22, 2015 11:27pm
Testing out an intraday trade on UJ.
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  • #56,116
  • Feb 23, 2015 2:26am Feb 23, 2015 2:26am
Joined long with fresh move (position covered) :

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Money moves the market, not an indicator.
  • #56,117
  • Feb 23, 2015 3:43am Feb 23, 2015 3:43am
shorted UJ 119.20 and wait
  • #56,118
  • Feb 23, 2015 4:41am Feb 23, 2015 4:41am
is this bye bye 120 ? rejection from res.zone 119.30/40 agrees with that. I hope bulls won't make any nasty surprise...for the sake of my few sells here.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #56,119
  • Feb 23, 2015 4:47am Feb 23, 2015 4:47am
the dragon is bleeding. good sign for UJ bears.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #56,120
  • Feb 23, 2015 8:20am Feb 23, 2015 8:20am
Quoting jasakreatif
short {image}
short again

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