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  • #959,881
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:08am Feb 13, 2015 2:08am
Quoting sisse
{quote} yeap but we area talking about structural deflation now, not only a couple of negative numbers in consumer prices. Now we also have the 4 major CB out of the euro in the same path too. Danish, Swedish, Swiss with negative rates and QE cause deflation worries and even the Brits announced yesterday that may deep in deflation for Q1/Q2....
yes. last in a row, Sweden have their own QE plus a cut. overall, commodity story aint helping for now. Lets see where that is gonna stop and consolidate up. Definately we are in the era whereas in financial part of living in Europa, one needs to rethink the possibilites of what on longterm that could bring. We have a record low interest rates with no wage increases, no growth and real estate relatively in baloooon.

Quoting sisse
{quote} Moreover, the US is in red line of "overheating" mode with extreme low rates for so long ...I seriously doubt that FED wont hike soon cause of inflation reasons... sisse
Yeah, you could be right also here. Well, at least analytics already moved this decision at least 2 sessions forward in US case(half a year ago), whereas in BOE we have a full collapse of initial policy direction.

This month already finished with CB decisions so anticipated 18th moving close quickly for forward reading.
  • #959,882
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:08am Feb 13, 2015 2:08am
Quoting sisse
{quote} yeap but we area talking about structural deflation now, not only a couple of negative numbers in consumer prices. Now we also have the 4 major CB out of the euro in the same path too. Danish, Swedish, Swiss with negative rates and QE cause deflation worries and even the Brits announced yesterday that may deep in deflation for Q1/Q2.... {quote} Thats a v tough one to call. The US is in a different party, completely disjoint from the rest of the world (for now) in inflation. Moreover, the US is in red line of "overheating" mode with extreme...
some bad numbers will be coming out of Longbeach
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #959,883
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:18am Feb 13, 2015 2:18am
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} Max High 1.14389 was (almost ) Perfect (actual 1.14390) Now lets see if this is GOOD {quote}
I told you about 14.4x
  • #959,884
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:19am Feb 13, 2015 2:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} some bad numbers will be coming out of Longbeach
china and korea (Asia) are probably having their warehouses full have little reason to buy commodities atm... = reflection toward aud
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #959,885
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:21am Feb 13, 2015 2:21am
I'm finally back. How's everyone holding up.

Looking for EUR/USD to touch the weekly floor of 1.13 and create a doji on weekly, as was created last week. That would put us in line for next week's docket of heavy news. MPC and FOMC and probably the proper statement on Eurozone's official take on Greece.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #959,886
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:23am Feb 13, 2015 2:23am
Quoting kill56
{quote} hey cuz how u been, long time hope it was green
Thanks cuz, been good and green. Hope u been too. Was happy to see u back. I was worried about u, what with all that's going on in our neighborhood.
  • #959,887
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:24am Feb 13, 2015 2:24am
EurUsd jumped over the chop zone (as Sisse would say) under Asia.
+ sell butterfly invalidated (cracked 261.8%)
+ triangle/bullish flag can be formed over 1.14200
Today's AB=CD target is at ~ 1.146xx
f(z)=z2+c
  • #959,888
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:25am Feb 13, 2015 2:25am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} ...... We have a record low interest rates with no wage increases, no growth and real estate relatively in baloooon. {quote} ...
Very much agree with you.

Quoting 21vs7
{quote} ...{quote} ...

This month already finished with CB decisions so anticipated 18th moving close quickly for forward reading.
Actually very well spotted !!!!!!!!. You just made me realise that.

I will need to check my monthly charts on the roll today. We may be setting the highs and lows of the month in most pairs which will also make a lot of sense in the euro at these levels.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #959,889
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:36am Feb 13, 2015 2:36am
"EUR Bear Market In The Waiting; Sell Rallies - Morgan Stanley"
f(z)=z2+c
  • #959,890
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:37am Feb 13, 2015 2:37am
Quoting fxtyrant
oh wow i see Erebus... long time no see buddy.
Here to support you

but you seem to be handling all OK
It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #959,891
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:42am Feb 13, 2015 2:42am
Quoting hathor
"EUR Bear Market In The Waiting; Sell Rallies - Morgan Stanley"
Makes me worry about my shorts when the banks call for shorts too.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #959,892
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:44am Feb 13, 2015 2:44am
Quoting YvetteTeo
{quote} Makes me worry about my shorts when the banks call for shorts too.
How nice they are to remind us it's short time (at a reasonable level)..
f(z)=z2+c
  • #959,893
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:46am Feb 13, 2015 2:46am
Quoting hathor
{quote} How nice they are to remind us it's short time (at a reasonable level)..
maybe its a trap!
  • #959,894
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:48am Feb 13, 2015 2:48am
Quoting evrynet
{quote} maybe its a trap!
Well, exactly this is what I tried to tell with the wink.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #959,895
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:56am Feb 13, 2015 2:56am
hello guys , whats the view on EU? retracement continues or not?
  • #959,896
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:58am Feb 13, 2015 2:58am
Quoting hathor
{quote} Well, exactly this is what I tried to tell with the wink.
does that make u long at 1439 still?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #959,897
  • Feb 13, 2015 2:59am Feb 13, 2015 2:59am
Got short going 432, target 403.
  • #959,898
  • Feb 13, 2015 3:00am Feb 13, 2015 3:00am
Imagine the market condition, when shorts are waiting everywhere. Until ~1.2 there will be shorts at every (previous) highs. They are all reasonable levels to short due to good R:R, but this short oversupply is the fuel of the buyers. Everyone thinks Euro need to be cheaper, and when the horde realize that Eur is actually getting strength, it will make the retest of the lows/it will make new low.
(Just my opinion.)
f(z)=z2+c
  • #959,899
  • Feb 13, 2015 3:04am Feb 13, 2015 3:04am
Im gonna try short at 14358 if i get it, though this bull sure has steam, if it wants to go to highs, will be damn fast
  • #959,900
  • Feb 13, 2015 3:05am Feb 13, 2015 3:05am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} does that make u long at 1439 still?
No. I have two long, one from the previous triangle and one from this one. The rest (~ 1.13) were closed yesterday + Asia up move.
(But jumping over resistance at night is pretty weird - sneaky...)

But: on H4 short signal is forming...so I'm ready to everything.
But #2: making new hig and reaching previous high (1.14600-1.15000) can generate tons of shorts -> would invalidate the forming H4 short signal (50minutes remaining from H4 candle)
f(z)=z2+c
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