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Carpe diem: Intraday tactics for Dax and Dow

  • #5,081
  • Feb 6, 2015 10:47am Feb 6, 2015 10:47am
Quoting FxClown
#7 S 10855
Closed @ 10780
None the wiser!
  • #5,082
  • Feb 7, 2015 2:01am Feb 7, 2015 2:01am
Quoting FxClown
{quote} Closed @ 10780

congrats....I did not ttrade yesterday afternoon, because NFP and after not like it..
  • #5,083
  • Feb 7, 2015 3:57am Feb 7, 2015 3:57am
Quoting capetown
{quote} congrats....I did not ttrade yesterday afternoon, because NFP and after not like it..
Thank you. I had a great day yesterday. I anticipitated Gold dive as well as Dow and DAX correction to around longer MAs. I am now long both indexes as trend remains up. Gold looks to go down further to earlier lows. So look into DUSK amd JDSK.

Yesterday, I plucked up courage to start my own thread. I believe by exposing myself that way it will improve my trading.
None the wiser!
  • #5,084
  • Feb 7, 2015 9:58pm Feb 7, 2015 9:58pm
Speaking of NFP.... pretty decent spike on NFP data release and a mirrored retrace with continuation... but am uncertain as to how NFP can cause such a significant impact on FDAX as it did on this occassion.

Can someone more knowledgeable than me provide me with enlightenment ??

Appreciated,
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #5,085
  • Feb 7, 2015 10:04pm Feb 7, 2015 10:04pm
Quoting kiwis
Speaking of NFP.... pretty decent spike on NFP data release and a mirrored retrace with continuation... but am uncertain as to how NFP can cause such a significant impact on FDAX as it did on this occassion. Can someone more knowledgeable than me provide me with enlightenment ?? Appreciated,
Just guessing, but a stronger US economy means German Exports and German Economy should increase. Especially if the Euro's weaken against other trading partner currencies.
  • #5,086
  • Feb 8, 2015 1:18am Feb 8, 2015 1:18am
Germany should report strong Balance of Trade (>Eur18.5Bn) data because of cheaper Oil.Fuel. Couple this with the current cheaper Euro's (1.131), then this could spur some buying on the DAX early Monday?

Thoughts welcome.
  • #5,087
  • Edited 6:05am Feb 8, 2015 5:41am | Edited 6:05am
I always do a few hours of analysis on a Sunday, going over all the previous weeks's trades - what went right, what went wrong, and why. I also look to Monday to see where we might be going, so thought I'd air my thoughts on this. You'll see that we found support on the H1 200ema, with a really nice hammer put in on the 20.00 hundred hours candle which was the signal for some late buying Although it will be much clearer in the morning, I would expect this buying to continue into Monday morning, probably after a small pullback which will give a nice entry opportunity for those who plan on going long. Again, I would expect the main move of the morning to come around the London open. Things may look very different tomorrow morning at 7am London time, so we'll see.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: demotivation.us_Good-things-happen-when-you-go-for-it-_131807416828.jpg Size: 55 KB
  • #5,088
  • Feb 8, 2015 11:08am Feb 8, 2015 11:08am
Quoting FxClown
{quote} Thank you. I had a great day yesterday. I anticipitated Gold dive as well as Dow and DAX correction to around longer MAs. I am now long both indexes as trend remains up. Gold looks to go down further to earlier lows. So look into DUSK amd JDSK. Yesterday, I plucked up courage to start my own thread. I believe by exposing myself that way it will improve my trading.
I looked at Your blog..and I had some ideas of Gold, but Friday was not good for me..some issue in family..now preparing for all week..
  • #5,089
  • Feb 8, 2015 4:52pm Feb 8, 2015 4:52pm
Good luck all for the new week. $DAX futures currently trading in 10750-775 range so I'll be interested to see if we break up again or if we finally get that pullback to below 10,500 that people have been talking about for weeks!
Volatility makes me feel alive!
  • #5,090
  • Feb 8, 2015 10:32pm Feb 8, 2015 10:32pm
Good morning everyone .Have a nice week and always a green one.
  • #5,091
  • Feb 8, 2015 11:02pm Feb 8, 2015 11:02pm
GM everyone
  • #5,092
  • Edited 11:55pm Feb 8, 2015 11:40pm | Edited 11:55pm
Morning! Daily chart showing signs of rolling over and we have risen way above the 200ema so could well be in for some down play this week. Anyone's call for the London open right now, I wouldn't like to call it either way.

Edit - favouring an up move as i think we need to move higher up towards the central pivot before sellers come in to the market. We'll know soon enough.
  • #5,093
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:21am Feb 9, 2015 12:21am
I bought 1 contract at 10660 with TP 10960, so let's see if I did well
  • #5,094
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:21am Feb 9, 2015 12:21am
Very significant move as apart from a couple of downward spikes, that takes us below the H1 200ema for the first time since 8th January - and we could stay below it now al week. The next support level for me is the rising H4 100sma at 10,621
  • #5,095
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:25am Feb 9, 2015 12:25am
Quoting cat
Very significant move as apart from a couple of downward spikes, that takes us below the H1 200ema for the first time since 8th January - and we could stay below it now al week. The next support level for me is the rising H4 100sma at 10,621
My thinking
  • #5,096
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:32am Feb 9, 2015 12:32am
Cat - why do you say we could stay below it all week?
  • #5,097
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:36am Feb 9, 2015 12:36am
Quoting cat
Very significant move as apart from a couple of downward spikes, that takes us below the H1 200ema for the first time since 8th January - and we could stay below it now al week. The next support level for me is the rising H4 100sma at 10,621
Perplexing.... I still show the 60M 200EMA below current market PA ....
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Capture - FDAX EMA200.JPG Size: 117 KB
In the tempest of a fast moving market; not everyone is happy.
  • #5,098
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:50am Feb 9, 2015 12:50am
Quoting kiwis
{quote} Perplexing.... I still show the 60M 200EMA below current market PA .... {image}
What charts do you use?
  • #5,099
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:53am Feb 9, 2015 12:53am
There's no way anyone should still have the H1 200ema below the price - we've just moved 130 pips below it!
  • #5,100
  • Feb 9, 2015 12:55am Feb 9, 2015 12:55am
Shoot..... I closed too early. It is still going down.
Whatever the mind can conceive, the mind can believe, the mind can achieve.
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