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  • #957,721
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:49am Feb 5, 2015 4:49am
Quoting BlueGas
Now stoping for a bit at 61.8 to get more shorts in then continue imho...or just go str8 to 65. fine with me
Agree think it'll pause now come back down to 1.1421 min... although very explosive atm
  • #957,722
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:50am Feb 5, 2015 4:50am
Aussie about to encounter 0.783, which shall prove to be significant level around that area
  • #957,723
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:50am Feb 5, 2015 4:50am
Would like to sell 478 for small target if no strong HL h1. H1 close bellow 445 should create some smaller pullback.
  • #957,724
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:51am Feb 5, 2015 4:51am
Trendline from 1.25343 touching 1.15300 top -> next reach is at ~ 1.14800 (still yesterday's top)
f(z)=z2+c
  • #957,725
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:52am Feb 5, 2015 4:52am
Quoting infinitus
{quote} ups....
Depends what very short term means, anyways audusd interim target 0.75
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #957,726
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:53am Feb 5, 2015 4:53am
I'm completely open to EU topping where it just rallied to, but the momentum seems too nasty, let's see how 1.1421 goes..
  • #957,727
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:56am Feb 5, 2015 4:56am
1.05 or 1.50? Anyone hedging right now?
  • #957,728
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:57am Feb 5, 2015 4:57am
wow so this crap makes a 100 pip reversal on no news. then why did it fall at first place. totally bullshit and unsettled markets. euro can do a squeeze if NFP is bad
  • #957,729
  • Feb 5, 2015 4:59am Feb 5, 2015 4:59am
Bull wins by KO
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  • #957,730
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:00am Feb 5, 2015 5:00am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Depends what very short term means, anyways audusd interim target 0.75
This is tricky one, FED may not raise rates until Q3 which will give further boost to aussie(even though RBA has cut the rates, cash outflows shall be somewhat subdued due to the expectations that FED will remain keeping rates at record lows for quite sometime,especially with basically all other CBs further providing easing measures).
Moreover, as oil has found somewhat its shelter around $50s, it is possible to expect some bounce above 80cents, but again any rallies should be short lived
  • #957,731
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:00am Feb 5, 2015 5:00am
Quoting giveachance
wow so this crap makes a 100 pip reversal on no news. then why did it fall at first place. totally bullshit and unsettled markets. euro can do a squeeze if NFP is bad
It fall on news, this what is happening now is not reversal, its bounce. Look higher tfs.
  • #957,732
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:01am Feb 5, 2015 5:01am
still adding small ones, new one 1444. closed some weaker ones 1324/07.. i didnt like the day not closing -1331, after under. 1592 on the radar, but even it hasn't tagged a beer at 1259,, and its not symmetrical making it weak alone. when added to 1196 and 1314 not being hit in sequence. gives a little more weight of less need to tag 1259.. last weeks wtf candle didnt lie.

btw a 1418/1533 retrace was normal. most times closer to 1418
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #957,733
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:01am Feb 5, 2015 5:01am
Quoting giveachance
wow so this crap makes a 100 pip reversal on no news. then why did it fall at first place. totally bullshit and unsettled markets. euro can do a squeeze if NFP is bad
Completely computerized and rigged... but the PA was showing something was off and this was going to happen, thankful i got out of intraday shorts
  • #957,734
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:01am Feb 5, 2015 5:01am
Cable 4hr

Really strong selling pressure from usd bulls, however so far this year she has tracked sideways suggesting she is holding her own against those same usd bulls, whilst she stays below the falling larger tl bears are still in charge, but the smaller tl has been breached and Im thinking retested but with the confluence of ma,s and that bigger tl very tricky righ now

Geppy 4hr

Again she is nearing the falling upper tl every possibility of another wave down , but also showing potential for a BO north, again very tricky, but it is good to know the possibility of any BO prior to it actually happening
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  • #957,735
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:02am Feb 5, 2015 5:02am
Quoting oRi3
{quote} getting hot now, hourly close above 1,1424 and will need to close it.
Closed, @ 1.1430 / -16 pips, still keep 1/10 of position, lets see how it plays with 1.1424
Create a plan, test it, stick it, whatever is hapenning.
  • #957,736
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:02am Feb 5, 2015 5:02am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} It fall on news, this what is happening now is not reversal, its bounce. Look higher tfs.
I understand the logic for fall but this upside is total trap. it is heading to 1.10 which was the intention of QE not 1.20+
  • #957,737
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:03am Feb 5, 2015 5:03am
Quoting ClinicalEx
I know I haven't posted many E/U trades/setups on here so thought I'd share my plan for tomorrow. I'll be watching that cross for an hourly candle rejection in either direction that closes at the highs/lows (especially an outside candle); if it's large I'll play the pullback. Expect price to churn up from here with Asia and we'll get the play tomorrow. Would prefer a bull setup to play/manage easier... {image}
Quoting ClinicalEx
{quote} Nice post.
I didn't ride the move. Scalping/micromanaging like a complete dumbass and I got for peanuts literally minutes before the surge.
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  • #957,738
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:03am Feb 5, 2015 5:03am
Wonder where we sell off to now,, scalping for 1.1421.... but maybe should hang for more..
  • #957,739
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:03am Feb 5, 2015 5:03am
Quoting Paulenok
{quote} This is tricky one, FED may not raise rates until Q3 which will give further boost to aussie(even though RBA has cut the rates, cash outflows shall be somewhat subdued due to the expectations that FED will remain keeping rates at record lows for quite sometime,especially with basically all other CBs further providing easing measures). Moreover, as oil has found somewhat its shelter around $50s, it is possible to expect some bounce above 80cents, but again any rallies should be short lived
I think if FED wont raise anytime soon, RBA will cut rates again. If by June there is no rate hikes on horizon i will be looking to short RBA conferences ahead.
Todays and yesterdays move on AUDUSD show though that as dollar is not strong enough rate cut moves get corrected so its hard to short them further as usual rate cut procedure, so better to preposition. More risky but only way looks like especially if FED doesnt give clear signal.
  • #957,740
  • Feb 5, 2015 5:03am Feb 5, 2015 5:03am
Yesterday it only fell, however there were only good Eur news.
Today it is eating up yesterday's move.
Till tomorrow it will do it again...again...again...again...
f(z)=z2+c
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