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  • #957,541
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:17pm Feb 4, 2015 6:17pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} Greece was insignificant (€ wise) before, now is almost irrelevant... for me is a bit more simple as long as one of the big don't cough the euro will survive. The ones who are screwed without help are the one in troubles not the other way around. More importantly Ireland is turning the page quite solid (in relative terms obviously), Spain hs bottomed and is slowly starting to show some minor signs of live... only Greece decided to keep playing hide and seek .... so if the other piigs start to float again ...Greece will become completely...
there is always a first step. such as the start of WW1, a peasant and a single shot. shit happens things grow.
i am using a simple math formula. 1+1=2. and replacing the 1 with bank. and projecting that out forward. i dont think its as simple as Greece, i give it the Kevin Bacon logic. its all connected with liquidity and even the Swiss have fingerprints on it.
Inserted Video
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #957,542
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:23pm Feb 4, 2015 6:23pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Yep , always a matter of time till the fundamentals come into or back into play. Eu is in trouble now, expecting a big down day based on bearish momentum. probably see 1.12 within 24h
Yeah, when FF/London opens, a big drop possible.
Intraday only.
  • #957,543
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:26pm Feb 4, 2015 6:26pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Yeah, when FF/London opens, a big drop possible.
Bears are back in town.
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  • #957,544
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:30pm Feb 4, 2015 6:30pm
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} I thot i remember saying 1.13 being a possibility, ah well ive made my profit for today... Yawn Lmao so where are the folks saying that eurusd is definitely bullish because of the breakout topping at 1.1533?? Lol Ah well, back to sleep.
Good to see my guts sticking through the trade and taking profit at 1.132. Cheers mate.
Luck shines on the positive.
  • #957,545
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:31pm Feb 4, 2015 6:31pm
Start of week Analysis
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR-USD 1-2-2015 H4 Chart setup-exectution.png Size: 109 KB
  • #957,546
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:32pm Feb 4, 2015 6:32pm
Updated ....


Expect to see this play out over the next few days/week.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR-USD 4-2-2015 H4 chart and execution.png Size: 89 KB
  • #957,547
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:35pm Feb 4, 2015 6:35pm
Short from 1.14910.

Adding short on CTL break

150 pips and counting...

Good night .
  • #957,548
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:37pm Feb 4, 2015 6:37pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} . atm if i were not in, i may wait for 1424 to short,, always the unknown is waiting for something that may never come. i {image}
tweaking to 1418/24... or even 1375/88 on a short leg.. not meant to encourage a long. just a place if "not in" to look. a LL drops this, atm low 1303 with a 1346 bounce after high atm
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #957,549
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:42pm Feb 4, 2015 6:42pm
Quoting Berniej
Short from 1.14910. Adding short on CTL break 150 pips and counting... Good night .
Nicely done. You caught a lucky break with the Greek bond rejection. I hope you've locked in some nice pips, because the market might go either way for now.
  • #957,550
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:43pm Feb 4, 2015 6:43pm
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Need the close and it's a wrap, 8 min to go {image}
1344 trying to do the the support / resistance flip as well. Giving more legitimacy to 1144 or a LL for me. Watching for the close...

Chart in above post...

it should be noted that 1285 was the January close- expect something there
  • #957,551
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:44pm Feb 4, 2015 6:44pm
1.138 would be nice area to add more to shorts if we can get up there in the next 12h
  • #957,552
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:52pm Feb 4, 2015 6:52pm
EU Pending BUY 1.1300
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #957,553
  • Feb 4, 2015 6:54pm Feb 4, 2015 6:54pm
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} Nicely done. You caught a lucky break with the Greek bond rejection. I hope you've locked in some nice pips, because the market might go either way for now.
Let's see... basic technical analysis was in favor of selling 1.145-1.15... fundamentals were in favor of selling being it's a super strong trend and everything is -eu +usd right now....... so "lucky break" I think not.
  • #957,554
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:04pm Feb 4, 2015 7:04pm
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Let's see... basic technical analysis was in favor of selling 1.145-1.15... fundamentals were in favor of selling being it's a super strong trend and everything is -eu +usd right now....... so "lucky break" I think not.
Actually, no. 1.40 is a point of contention, and I'm guessing you saw the penetration at the end of the NY session? The news for Greece came out in the last 30 minutes. Forex markets overwhelmingly do nothing in the last hour of the trade, since the traders of that session have already had their business done with. In other words, much of this sharp pulldown was caused by events. There were no technicals to justify it given the timeframe.

I would say it was safer to TP at 1.40, and if you had to long again, I would have reloaded at the bounce. But keeping it altogether? It doesn't maximize profits regardless of whether you're a cautious trader or an aggressive one.
  • #957,555
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:11pm Feb 4, 2015 7:11pm
Quoting ill_be_back
EU Pending BUY 1.1300
Today's open price is holding up any bounce.
Intraday only.
  • #957,556
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:16pm Feb 4, 2015 7:16pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Today's open price is holding up any bounce.
I have SL 10 under with TP 1.14250, If it works Good RR, If it dont then a few lost
A good trader follows his rules, but great trader knows when to break them
  • #957,557
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:17pm Feb 4, 2015 7:17pm
Quoting ill_be_back
{quote} I have SL 10 under with TP 1.14250, If it works Good RR, If it dont then a few lost
Have to take into account probability though. And probability doesn't favor EU not going to 1.129 before 1.14250, of course.
  • #957,558
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:50pm Feb 4, 2015 7:50pm
Quoting navk
{quote} Today's open price is holding up any bounce.
depends which open you are using, right now tapping asia pacific open but already bounced from northern open still touch n go, larger momentum is still down but she is in bounce mode, so for me favoring north although still early days
If you are new to Forex? Say Goodbye to your account!!
  • #957,559
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:56pm Feb 4, 2015 7:56pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} tweaking to 1418/24... or even 1375/88 on a short leg.. not meant to encourage a long. just a place if "not in" to look. a LL drops this, atm low 1303 with a 1346 bounce after high atm
that new slightly hh printed now, is not negative to 1388... especially with a even future hh after 1318 is tested
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #957,560
  • Feb 4, 2015 7:59pm Feb 4, 2015 7:59pm
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} depends which open you are using, right now tapping asia pacific open but already bounced from northern open still touch n go, larger momentum is still down but she is in bounce mode, so for me favoring north although still early days
My Broker uses 5 pm ET as normal closing day and after 5 PM, the next day opens. That is the time the a/c statement is finalized and sent.
Intraday only.
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