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  • #955,721
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:41am Jan 29, 2015 7:41am
Quoting sisse
{quote} It does look scary. The 10yrs are just ready to dip into the hole. Its almost a copy/paste from Japan a few years ago. Its is a very thin line now in Europe between a normal recession dip inflation numbers and a full deflationary process. It maybe too late and in this particular issue Germany itself is 100% to blame. Even now they have some old fashion conservative economist (mostly politicians) complaining about QE ... unbelievable really but these numbers should shut up most if not all the QE critics in Germany... On the side, slightly...
Sisse, why do you think deflation is so bad? The IT industry always has deflation and yet people still buy computers
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #955,722
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:41am Jan 29, 2015 7:41am
Quoting elbert3
{quote} {image} will the USA derail the train ride ???
yeah GDP US + home sales prevision are real bad...but nothing is official...
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #955,723
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:41am Jan 29, 2015 7:41am
Well fundies...this is what I was talking about earlier.
Datas/news are the tools of the illusionist...

Edit: of course it can go deep down, but after a data like unemployment claims, it should fall hard already.
f(z)=z2+c
  • #955,724
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:47am Jan 29, 2015 7:47am
Quoting hathor
Well fundies...this is what I was talking about earlier. Datas/news are the tools of the illusionist... Edit: of course it can go deep down, but after a data like unemployment claims, it should fall hard already.
This is so weird.
Odd numbers are odd.
  • #955,725
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:48am Jan 29, 2015 7:48am
Possibly have a momentum based/ stop out /short covering rally back up to 1.14+. This doesn't feel like the same euro of past weeks.
  • #955,726
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:51am Jan 29, 2015 7:51am
Seems to me norm wants a beer....
But i may just be an idiot
  • #955,727
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:52am Jan 29, 2015 7:52am
Sometimes it takes time for price to kick off after news because funds have to repositions themselves. Sometimes they never kick off.
  • #955,728
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:53am Jan 29, 2015 7:53am
Quoting Matts Micro
They are just cleaning stops imo. Give it time.
Stops my a**. They should have been done by now.
  • #955,729
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:55am Jan 29, 2015 7:55am
http://www.forexlive.com/blog/2015/0...obless-claims/
  • #955,730
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:56am Jan 29, 2015 7:56am
Lackluster pathetic PA waiting to shoot through either way
  • #955,731
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:56am Jan 29, 2015 7:56am
Those rejections at 1.11 where too strong + morning star pattern on the daily.
Right now technicals are beating the fundamentals.
IŽll resist to enter short until the picture become more clear. Seems more consolidation ahead for this pair
  • #955,732
  • Jan 29, 2015 7:59am Jan 29, 2015 7:59am
RBA to cut rate next tuesday, does EA will be bullish? EU 1T QE vs AUD rate cut hm
  • #955,733
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:00am Jan 29, 2015 8:00am
(Bloomberg Economics) -- OUR TAKE: The dramatic decline in initial jobless claims is probably the result of typical January volatility rather than a sign of a marked acceleration in the labor market. Claims plunged to a new, post-recession low in the latest week. If initial claims can hold these lows for a couple of weeks, the labor market signal will be far more compelling.
• Initial claims fell 43k to 265k in the week following the January employment survey period (which included the Martin Luther King, Jr. holiday). The less volatile four-week moving average slipped back below 300k (to 299k from 307k previously). While the Labor Department cited “no special factors,” Bloomberg Economics views the sharp decline with some skepticism, because claims often witness heightened volatility around this time of year. The fact that the four-week moving average has remained range-bound in the vicinity of 300k since the latter half of November is a more significant signal that the pace of hiring is holding up above 225k per month, but not accelerating further beyond the recent trend (as 265k on claims would suggest).
  • #955,734
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:00am Jan 29, 2015 8:00am
Yep that's that.. gonna shoot higher.
  • #955,735
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:00am Jan 29, 2015 8:00am
Quoting Krespo
Those rejections at 1.11 where too strong + morning star pattern on the daily. Right now technicals are beating the fundamentals. IŽll resist to enter short until the picture become more clear. Seems more consolidation ahead for this pair
Probably right
  • #955,736
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:01am Jan 29, 2015 8:01am
1.1360 in a few minutes
  • #955,737
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:02am Jan 29, 2015 8:02am
Quoting Krespo
Those rejections at 1.11 where too strong + morning star pattern on the daily. Right now technicals are beating the fundamentals. IŽll resist to enter short until the picture become more clear. Seems more consolidation ahead for this pair
This is all momentum based, and it started with that rejection. it will go higher now
  • #955,738
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:02am Jan 29, 2015 8:02am
Quoting mrcreosote
{quote} Sisse, why do you think deflation is so bad? The IT industry always has deflation and yet people still buy computers
OH yes ...Ask any economist and they will tell you the same " the only thing worst than a spiral inflation.... its a full deflationary process".

It gets to the roots of the economy and society, it will rotten all the production structures, distort all markets, reduce competitiveness, put a hard break in innovation destroying everything in its path until it reaches no way out and hit the average person in the street, reducing real wages and finally making the whole economy stay at standby for a very long long time making it irresponsive to any fiscal or monetary shock to revive it ... no its not a good idea under any circumstances....

sisse

PS: On your example of computers ...well thats its the worst performing industry in the last 20 years and nearly 90% of the players have gone out of business. Even the once "almighty" DELL is a walking dead now ...
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #955,739
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:02am Jan 29, 2015 8:02am
Quoting mrcreosote
{quote} Sisse, why do you think deflation is so bad? The IT industry always has deflation and yet people still buy computers
computers is something special... each year the computer double in power(innovation, investments in research etc...) they become always more powerfuls, so ofc it's not hard to product mass low cost computers for the big people... the problem is only that with the same price you will just get a sh.t computer instead of a *top powerfull one*..
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #955,740
  • Jan 29, 2015 8:03am Jan 29, 2015 8:03am
Interesting that on the back of positive US news the EU can take out a 47hr long TL to the top side. Would be interesting to know why, obviously some sort technical/fundamentals moved it that way for a reason.
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
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