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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #55,021
  • Jan 28, 2015 12:55pm Jan 28, 2015 12:55pm
Wouldn't we need to see a rate hike for FOMC to be pro USD? Because all i can see from chart movements is that it's trying to go lower (on the gbp/jpy, it invalidated the ascending triangle), but is limited by impending FOMC news.

GBP/JPY & USD/JPy = moving hand in hand, geppy= showing bearish signs (and so is usd/jpy).
  • #55,022
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:05pm Jan 28, 2015 1:05pm
Well, at least we didn't have much of a whiplash. I thought it might've been bigger, but only 40pips up and down on the 15min? That's......surprisingly small.

And on that note, I am neutral/bearish on usd/jpy at the moment.

Any opinions?
  • #55,023
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:05pm Jan 28, 2015 1:05pm
Aaaa, half of my trades cleared on wrong place! Feckers! Hope you guys survive it, I ve had enough. Cya later.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,024
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:08pm Jan 28, 2015 1:08pm
Quoting Vermillion
Well, at least we didn't have much of a whiplash. I thought it might've been bigger, but only 40pips up and down on the 15min? That's......surprisingly small. And on that note, I am neutral/bearish on usd/jpy at the moment. Any opinions?
im nuetral, no telling if its going to break 117.2 or break 118.8.. YET
  • #55,025
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:14pm Jan 28, 2015 1:14pm
Quoting Liam0530
{quote} im nuetral, no telling if its going to break 117.2 or break 118.8.. YET
117.20 will at the very least see a bounce (it's the equivalent of 178.20/00 for the geppy).

Unfortunately, I can't really see it going long to 118.8 before testing 117.20 at least, since much of this news was not only expected but also not hawkish by intraday standards.
  • #55,026
  • Jan 28, 2015 1:18pm Jan 28, 2015 1:18pm
Much ado about nothing. The FOMC doesn't seem to be much of an event anymore as they remain the same status. Incidentally Market makers now have a weekly close below 117.75 at 61% and above 117.25 at 65%. Looking to play the range
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  • #55,027
  • Jan 28, 2015 2:14pm Jan 28, 2015 2:14pm
Quoting calstar
Much ado about nothing. The FOMC doesn't seem to be much of an event anymore as they remain the same status. Incidentally Market makers now have a weekly close below 117.75 at 61% and above 117.25 at 65%. Looking to play the range {image}
Yeh, nonevent back at square one, apart of fact in the meanwhile feckers hit my stops and I almost got a heartattack . Knew I should back of, but thought 117,55 s gonna hold the stupid move. Well, next time.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,028
  • Jan 28, 2015 2:23pm Jan 28, 2015 2:23pm
other pairs much easier to trade then this 1.. other dollar pairs are all pretty much bullish, (probably because of weakness in other currencies) but this pair seems to stay under pressure..

that damn yen is dying for a sell off
  • #55,029
  • Jan 28, 2015 2:45pm Jan 28, 2015 2:45pm
Around 112.60 there is a gap that needs to be filled (i think)
I love forex. One day it will love me back.
  • #55,030
  • Edited 2:58pm Jan 28, 2015 2:48pm | Edited 2:58pm
Think am very dead, as my stops got slashed through and also another orders filled in knife. Or else it will be perfect knifecatch, though I hate doing this.
Edit: I also add chart, so you can see how you can screw up while beeing bullish in long term and not seeing short term signals :/. Bad day for me.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,031
  • Edited 4:30pm Jan 28, 2015 4:05pm | Edited 4:30pm
edit: M15 candle kill

..
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,032
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:10pm Jan 28, 2015 4:10pm
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} 117.20 will at the very least see a bounce (it's the equivalent of 178.20/00 for the geppy). Unfortunately, I can't really see it going long to 118.8 before testing 117.20 at least, since much of this news was not only expected but also not hawkish by intraday standards.
I think you are right, UJ at the moment is trapped, we need to see a breakout.
  • #55,033
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:11pm Jan 28, 2015 4:11pm
Shorting 117.567. I think daily looks like it will break down. I guess it will be big volume nextcoming 24h.
  • #55,034
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:31pm Jan 28, 2015 4:31pm
Quoting KarlHakan
Shorting 117.567. I think daily looks like it will break down. I guess it will be big volume nextcoming 24h.
Yeh, if 117,23 goes can be loong ride.
Edit: Hey, was a nice call.
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} 117.20 will at the very least see a bounce (it's the equivalent of 178.20/00 for the geppy). Unfortunately, I can't really see it going long to 118.8 before testing 117.20 at least, since much of this news was not only expected but also not hawkish by intraday standards.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,035
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:41pm Jan 28, 2015 4:41pm
right at support 117.43 now with lower highs on H1. looks very tired and with indices in deep red (again) and US10 yields -5.81% ... guess it's a big sell.
"The secret of politics? Make a good treaty with Russia." Otto von Bismarck
  • #55,036
  • Jan 28, 2015 4:47pm Jan 28, 2015 4:47pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yeh, if 117,23 goes can be loong ride. Edit: Hey, was a nice call. {quote}
Yes I feel a litle lucky. Sometimes it happens.
If I were you I would close your orders. It looks like shit to have a long right now. Better to be safe.
  • #55,037
  • Jan 28, 2015 5:11pm Jan 28, 2015 5:11pm
Quoting KarlHakan
{quote} Yes I feel a litle lucky. Sometimes it happens. If I were you I would close your orders. It looks like shit to have a long right now. Better to be safe.
Am already in. Stops at 117,31. If my stops go, think we may be going for break and I wont be standing in the way. GL .
Edit: Well, maybe. Almost sure break.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,038
  • Jan 28, 2015 6:09pm Jan 28, 2015 6:09pm
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  • #55,039
  • Jan 28, 2015 6:15pm Jan 28, 2015 6:15pm
Approaching FOMC H1 doji. could bounce
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #55,040
  • Edited 6:49pm Jan 28, 2015 6:27pm | Edited 6:49pm
Here is how it looks on my chart. We have a LL and hold on close. LL was due to FOMC, so may not be so valid, but anyway it is LL and we are still below shoulders of this nice fella, which will very possibly provide ressist. Lets call it a tie for a while .
Edit: Now who said Asia is boring? I could use that bounce.
Edit: 117,8 pretty nice daily R. If goes, think we may poof - needed to say would be crazy.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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