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  • #955,321
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:22am Jan 28, 2015 7:22am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} It was AUD CPI data yesterday -
it caught me yesterday/today. i have/had rate cutting on the brain.. caterpillar is bent over trying to put little pieces of soap together in the shower. looks like they will be "bent over" a long time
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #955,322
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:25am Jan 28, 2015 7:25am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} i wonder what would happen if the danish pull the euro peg.. ????????????????
Probably they would have done it at similar time to SNB if they had intention, before QE. They cut rates and it bumped up exchange EDKK quite ok. Maybe it will be enough to guard it with nerp, dont know.

Btw just interested to know are you perhaps playing UCAD on up side?
  • #955,323
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:27am Jan 28, 2015 7:27am
it keeps piercing the uptrend support...
  • #955,324
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:31am Jan 28, 2015 7:31am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} it caught me yesterday/today. i have/had rate cutting on the brain.. caterpillar is bent over trying to put little pieces of soap together in the shower. looks like they will be "bent over" a long time
With the latest CPI Q/Q and Trimmed Mean Q/Q - unlikely to cut rates - at least that's how markets perceive it - unless RBA says otherwise or strong dollar to push it down - but strong dollar usually weak JPY so AJ might be stalling or slightly bullish.

It's too close to support - if you are not willing to close with +50 +100 pips likely to come back if it doesn't break out.
  • #955,325
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:36am Jan 28, 2015 7:36am
new guys in FED already seated? they have horns rite?
18.3vs29.4vs td
  • #955,326
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:42am Jan 28, 2015 7:42am
Quoting 21vs7
new guys in FED already seated? they have horns rite?

18.3vs29.4vs td
This guy?

http://assets.forexfactory.net/nfs/c...ar93165_10.gif
  • #955,327
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:43am Jan 28, 2015 7:43am
Break of 1380 or 1320. Nice set up for FOMC.
Intraday only.
  • #955,328
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:44am Jan 28, 2015 7:44am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} With the latest CPI Q/Q and Trimmed Mean Q/Q - unlikely to cut rates - at least that's how markets perceive it - unless RBA says otherwise or strong dollar to push it down - but strong dollar usually weak JPY so AJ might be stalling or slightly bullish. It's too close to support - if you are not willing to close with +50 +100 pips likely to come back if it doesn't break out.
RBA to Almost Certainly Cut Rates Next Wk: Herald Sun’s McCrann
By Christopher Kingdon
(Bloomberg) -- RBA will almost certainly cut official interest rate at next week’s meeting, Herald Sun economic columnist Terry McCrann writes on its website.

  1. RBA to cut both its growth and inflation forecasts in Feb. 5 monetary policy statement; “it quite simply could not release those figures on the Friday and have left its official rate unchanged on the preceding Tuesday. Or at least signaled a pending rate cut,” McCrann writes
  2. Absolutely certain that key language in Glenn Stevens’s post-meeting statement will change
  3. RBA sees series of rate cuts — at least two 25bp reductions, potentially as many as 4 -- as “inevitable through 2015,” McCrann writes

  • #955,329
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:45am Jan 28, 2015 7:45am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Probably they would have done it at similar time to SNB if they had intention, before QE. They cut rates and it bumped up exchange EDKK quite ok. Maybe it will be enough to guard it with nerp, dont know. Btw just interested to know are you perhaps playing UCAD on up side?
nope.. i haven't played it. oil hanging around 45.06.. 1/2 way between 35.10 and 55.02.. i see it needing a new low. against trend and all, w/o a LL. techs already made a valid path to 54.85 a target... cad will go whatever way oil does
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #955,330
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:46am Jan 28, 2015 7:46am
Quoting scalperdebes
{quote} RBA to Almost Certainly Cut Rates Next Wk: Herald Sun’s McCrann By Christopher Kingdon (Bloomberg) -- RBA will almost certainly cut official interest rate at next week’s meeting, Herald Sun economic columnist Terry McCrann writes on its website. RBA to cut both its growth and inflation forecasts in Feb. 5 monetary policy statement; “it quite simply could not release those figures on the Friday and have left its official rate unchanged on the preceding Tuesday. Or at least signaled a pending rate cut,” McCrann writes Absolutely certain that...
Lets hope so would open gates for short scalping on AUD.
  • #955,331
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:48am Jan 28, 2015 7:48am
Quoting BlueGas
{quote} Yeah, i do agree, but anyway same old, at least you know quickly if your on the right side..edit. anyways movin to be, if it pops, it should now i guess, otherwise just watching lower lvls
quickly? not sure the buyers are not confident what will they do at S after 250-300 pips up move on a major down trend? , the sellers are not confident too cuz it's the support...
at 1260 we got a single spike then big up, clear entry, at 1322 clear too single spike, here we got 2 spike already...
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #955,332
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:49am Jan 28, 2015 7:49am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Lets hope so would open gates for short scalping on AUD.
He's a RBA member, but i'm not buying this statement. cut yes but not so soon.
  • #955,333
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:50am Jan 28, 2015 7:50am
Quoting jmn5611
{quote} Hi Tom, I tagged you because you were the first person to have the time frame on your chart. Im short at 42, long at 91 As far as analysis goes trend is up but currently in consolidation. Am I playing the game right? I was just looking for how this thread works. You seem to have a lot of posts here.
Hi,
Yes, am well known useless spammer. To prove it, am gonna give you useless answer. I totally dont know if you play it right, because I see waves within waves within waves, ECB just threw a rock in mid of those and beasts are preparing to FOMC. So in my charts EU short term total nonscence and I am out. Long term EU facked but mid term move so overextended thx to SNB+ECB combo once it goes correct it will be massive short squeeze. And I will be watching.
I wish you all luck .
Stay safe,
T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #955,334
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:55am Jan 28, 2015 7:55am
Quoting Ken A
Yes, I know many media out there calling rates cut by RBNZ and RBA
don't think so for RBNZ

NZ PM Key: Interest rates look set to stay low for longer
Tue, Jan 27 2015, 03:55 GMT
  • #955,335
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:56am Jan 28, 2015 7:56am
Quoting Ken A
Yes, I know many media out there calling rates cut by RBNZ and RBA
Well think RBA should before thay head out for recession.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #955,336
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:58am Jan 28, 2015 7:58am
Quoting Ken A
{quote} This guy? {image}
actually no ..3 hawks are saying bye bye in 2k15

zzo i hrd
  • #955,337
  • Jan 28, 2015 7:59am Jan 28, 2015 7:59am
Quoting scalperdebes
{quote} He's a RBA member, but i'm not buying this statement. cut yes but not so soon.
Fair enough, i dont know position well enough to have opinion on whether theyll cut or not. All i can do is i ll be there if they do and do shorting after. If they dont, EU will be more on table.
  • #955,338
  • Jan 28, 2015 8:00am Jan 28, 2015 8:00am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Fair enough, i dont know position well enough to have opinion on whether theyll cut or not. All i can do is i ll be there if they do and do shorting after. If they dont, EU will be more on table.
  • #955,339
  • Jan 28, 2015 8:09am Jan 28, 2015 8:09am
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} quickly? not sure the buyers are not confident what will they do at S after 250-300 pips up move on a major down trend? , the sellers are not confident too cuz it's the support... at 1260 we got a single spike then big up, clear entry, at 1322 clear too single spike, here we got 2 spike already...
I get you, but a freeride is always nice. Hmm, is gonna be pa like this whole day until the FOMC,... boring...
  • #955,340
  • Jan 28, 2015 8:13am Jan 28, 2015 8:13am
Quoting sisse
{quote} We will need a bit more pain there to trigger profit taking in European bourses ... I am starting to think the extra QE from ECB was to offset the impact in european equities from the Greek debacle.... DAX is in an unbelievable rally with the biggest monthly rally in the history of GERMAN stock markets !!!. I think we may be close to settle for the quarter with this month's end .... sisse
Yes, that profit taking will be massive. Same goes for EU FX. In fact those foreign investors might also like cheap Euro. Either way, wonder what causes that short squeeze, but I will be waiting right at top of EU move with a hammer .
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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