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  • #954,521
  • Jan 26, 2015 9:51am Jan 26, 2015 9:51am
Quoting Dovilo
EUR/CAD finally broke trendline. Is it the end of today's euro retrace? Still waiting for same on EUR/USD.
Low volume so not gonna get my ideal set up, but it looks like momentum is starting to dissipate and we very well may have topped out for the day and will now go to back to 1.12
  • #954,522
  • Jan 26, 2015 9:53am Jan 26, 2015 9:53am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Low volume so not gonna get my ideal set up, but it looks like momentum is starting to dissipate and we very well may have topped out for the day and will now go to back to 1.12
1.1225 is the one I have, max until FOMC, may be.
Intraday only.
  • #954,523
  • Jan 26, 2015 9:57am Jan 26, 2015 9:57am
Quoting navk
{quote} 1.1225 is the one I have, max until FOMC, may be.
Getting past 1.20 itself will be a major resistance, if it even comes to that. Somehow, I doubt we'll even get that far.

I don't know how some people are still aiming for numbers like 1.28 when the Eurozone is still fucked. I mean, did people not pay attention to super mario Draghi's QE?
  • #954,524
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:00am Jan 26, 2015 10:00am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Doesn't matter either way as far as I'm concerened. I've never voted since 18.... that was 10 years ago. Thus far- of the people I (would have) voted for, 0 have made. I don't hold any illusions onto who decides the president....it's not the people. Then again I don't hold any illusions onto whether the president really calls the shots either.. I imagine Republicans have it next, which with the cycle, should be good for US- thus good for my investments. Seems a lot of things lining up for US.....much of it over my head {quote} Even with...
despite all u hear... the usd has been strongest under one party more then another just look at a usdx chart.. and under one party the stock market has done better then another.. look 100+ year charts. lay those charts side by side and see on those historic unbiased charts.. when the most money was made. i am independent and dont give a rats ass about one over another. i get the shits when one is bs'ing about being good for the economy when history differs according to market benchmarks
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #954,525
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:04am Jan 26, 2015 10:04am
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} Getting past 1.20 itself will be a major resistance, if it even comes to that. Somehow, I doubt we'll even get that far. I don't know how some people are still aiming for numbers like 1.28 when the Eurozone is still fucked. I mean, did people not pay attention to super mario Draghi's QE?
You make it sound like as when EU was trading 1.4 EZ was safe haven of Earth.
  • #954,526
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:08am Jan 26, 2015 10:08am
im short
  • #954,527
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:10am Jan 26, 2015 10:10am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} {quote} Even with a monthly close above?

why would that be bullish? maybe if we started months or years back from below, then closed above. we just got here and closed 1 week below.. a month above now may be good for a bounce of hundreds, i still wouldn't call that bullish.
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #954,528
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:12am Jan 26, 2015 10:12am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} You make it sound like as when EU was trading 1.4 EZ was safe haven of Earth.
Well, first off, I never thought the EZ was the safe haven of earth. As for my sentiments, it's just that we have far too many resistances in place in lieu of Europe's financial crises. I wouldn't be surprised to see the eur/usd hit above 1.130, 1.14, or even 1.16. But 1.24? 1.28? No. Just no.

The events that drove the prices in the recent plunge (worse-than-expected data from various nations, including the bastion known as Germany, U.S. ending QE, etc.) won't just simply be ignored.
  • #954,529
  • Edited 10:53am Jan 26, 2015 10:16am | Edited 10:53am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} despite all u hear... the usd has been strongest under one party more then another just look at a usdx chart.. and under one party the stock market has done better then another.. look 100+ year charts. lay those charts side by side and see on those historic unbiased charts.. when the most money was made. i am independent and dont give a rats ass about one over another. i get the shits when one is bs'ing about being good for the economy when history differs according to market benchmarks
Don't have these, but from what I know of where the economy was under Bill Clinton, Bush 2, and now Obama- I think I may have an idea. I'll find some charts, I know you've been talking about the correlation between party and usdx for some time.

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} why would that be bullish? maybe if we started months or years back from below, then closed above. we just got here and closed 1 week below.. a month above now may be good for a bounce of hundreds, i still wouldn't call that bullish.
I think we have the same thoughts, just I mean ST bullish while you are looking at the larger picture. Maybe instead of bullish I should have said bounce, as I'm lookign to short higher.

Thanks
  • #954,530
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:16am Jan 26, 2015 10:16am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} a month above now may be good for a bounce of hundreds, i still wouldn't call that bullish.
I agree this. As long as present bottom is not broken. But usually, the PA tries to test the previous lows if it wants to bounce.
Intraday only.
  • #954,531
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:16am Jan 26, 2015 10:16am
Quoting myelbow4
im short
Good, ill take some stop 1290? 1300? 1400?
  • #954,532
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:18am Jan 26, 2015 10:18am
My eyes faking me Cupīn Handle again. H1 chart. Poof.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #954,533
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:19am Jan 26, 2015 10:19am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} yes, but u dont and didnt know at the time, it was a low for such a larger # like 3993. 3993 was to large of a chunk. start a off smaller, more achievable reference.. like now, 1479/80 may be trying setting up.. and if so, 1192/93 may be needed. regardless if its bearish or bullish.. it likes to return.. the last bear target in the way down was 1280.7,, we overshot the min..
Yep, of course I'm playing this on smaller chunks. Often getting stuck and confused due to so many possibilities in lying st, trying to recognize when something gets invalidated, when it should go back more than once and also best places for an SL in relation to proper money manag. Too many things to play with at once. Can't see the shortcuts to get it right.

But since I was trying to get clues as to the future path into the big picture, kind of what you did back on 2008 guessing most times levels and stuff, I was amazed to find this big move from 1.3993 is pointing to familiar target almost to the pip. There I intend to "see" moves inside the moves, also checking in the past. This whole thing is really pointing to 0.82xxx
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  • #954,534
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:22am Jan 26, 2015 10:22am
No signs of a top yet at all... I'd think we're close but they love using these days to stop people out and have people take losses on the right side of the move. Important levels here... I'd short if I wasn't already short from lower levels like an impatient buffoon ..
  • #954,535
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:24am Jan 26, 2015 10:24am
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} what is that red line who blocks the way to 1248?... {image}
again this line...
Attached Image
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #954,536
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:25am Jan 26, 2015 10:25am
Price on last resistance before 1.135 on my feed.
  • #954,537
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:37am Jan 26, 2015 10:37am
I have it going st 1.13100 / 1.13298
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  • #954,538
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:38am Jan 26, 2015 10:38am
Quoting Ck87
No signs of a top yet at all... I'd think we're close but they love using these days to stop people out and have people take losses on the right side of the move. Important levels here... I'd short if I wasn't already short from lower levels like an impatient buffoon ..
We have signs for potential shorts - on 15 M we had Double Top and price didn't close above the structure of 1.2680s
  • #954,539
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:40am Jan 26, 2015 10:40am
Quoting AlexVonRose
{quote} We have signs for potential shorts - on 15 M we had Double Top and price didn't close above the structure of 1.2680s
Yep, those are def the signs.. expect lower prices in next 12-24h
  • #954,540
  • Jan 26, 2015 10:41am Jan 26, 2015 10:41am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} Don't have these, but from what I know of where the economy was under Bill Clinton, Bush 2, and now Obama- I think I may have an idea. I'll find some charts, I know you've been talking about the correlation between party and usdx for some time.
going further in this- dxy/presidents doesnt seem to favor the republicans very well at all. Now that is interesting compared to what they teach in school vs. regularly shove down your throat at every corner, election, tv, yadda yadda.

Perhaps the larger concern is the overall dxy trend since '73 (the only chart I could find)..could have the dollar topping around $100ish.....just in time for the Republicans to take office?

At roughly -10-15% every 15 years, as trend it suggests, we may see the end of the dollar in our lifetime.
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