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EurAnalysis Kindergarten 24 replies

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  • Post #72,281
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  • Jan 19, 2015 4:39am Jan 19, 2015 4:39am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting PipTrapper
Disliked
{quote} Hello Bruce. I wondered when you'd be back. Not for long though
Ignored
Lol Mr. Detective.

Mate, I hope your FXCM account is fine. Really glad to see you here. Btw, currently out of all European currencies and just buying UJ (and burning).

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,282
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  • Jan 19, 2015 6:49am Jan 19, 2015 6:49am
  •  lumesh
  • | Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Member | 1,522 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
{quote} Lol Mr. Detective. Mate, I hope your FXCM account is fine. Really glad to see you here. Btw, currently out of all European currencies and just buying UJ (and burning). T
Ignored

It should be, thanks to Leucadia. Many were holding breaths for this to happen.


Oh, hi Guys
 
 
  • Post #72,283
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  • Jan 26, 2015 3:49am Jan 26, 2015 3:49am
  •  PipTrapper
  • Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
{quote} Lol Mr. Detective. Mate, I hope your FXCM account is fine. Really glad to see you here. Btw, currently out of all European currencies and just buying UJ (and burning). T
Ignored
Yes all is fine at FXCM. That is more than I can say for those who had alpari accounts.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
 
 
  • Post #72,284
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  • Jan 26, 2015 3:50am Jan 26, 2015 3:50am
  •  PipTrapper
  • Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Persist Until Something Happens | 17,898 Posts
Quoting lumesh
Disliked
{quote} It should be, thanks to Leucadia. Many were holding breaths for this to happen. Oh, hi Guys
Ignored
Hi lumesh
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it
 
 
  • Post #72,285
  • Quote
  • Jan 26, 2015 5:24am Jan 26, 2015 5:24am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting PipTrapper
Disliked
Yes all is fine at FXCM.
Ignored
Am actually buying stocks if I manage it on time. Just to help you mate, otherwise wouldnt invest a penny into this business ofc
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,286
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  • Jan 26, 2015 6:43am Jan 26, 2015 6:43am
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
4H chart..


seems to me that we can see 146x ..this week!
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  • Post #72,287
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  • Edited 8:40am Jan 26, 2015 7:25am | Edited 8:40am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Since I see my mates are finally returning.

From the realm of Mumbo Jumbo:
Technical:
long term - We are currently finishing or have already finished hyperbolic move of wave 1. Given the speed and structure of a cycle, I believe we are about to break wave 4 top of previous one.
mid term - Structure of wave 1 consists of little abc - abcde consolidations followed by break. The closer to top, the higher degrees of corrections and the shorter dates. Due to mumbo saying wave 1 should break wave 4, think subwave 5 top is fake and we are about to go boom.

Fun´da´mental:
As Japans closed all those factories after Fukushima, are heavily import dependent on energy. Slumping commodity prices are huge boost for them. Think it is going to give Kuroda and Abe san enough political power to reach their targets. They have "expanded" their policy on last meeting. Not like it was some heavy asset expansion but they allowed to lending facilites to work in longer timescales as well as doubled these.
Moreover, flow into USD is gonna continue till EU problems persist - long, or US numbers prove to be fake - mid term. UJ long is a win/win till end of quarter.

Result: It is gonna break and I am going to have shower in cash . I also include my TPs - 123,78 125,17 126,48. It is just a bit below wave 1 shoot targets - 123,8 125,2 126,55 ..... if megashot 127,9 and max 129,26.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,288
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  • Jan 26, 2015 9:02am Jan 26, 2015 9:02am
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
Result: It is gonna break and I am going to have shower in cash . I also include my TPs - 123,78 125,17 126,48. It is just a bit below wave 1 shoot targets - 123,8 125,2 126,55 ..... if megashot 127,9 and max 129,26.
Ignored
See guys this thread was empty for some time and I missed the jokes.

Darth pug is loaded to fly to the moon

Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
Think UJ is mad at me, coz I havent played him a song for too long. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X-2yuGgp_U8
Ignored
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,289
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  • Jan 31, 2015 6:35pm Jan 31, 2015 6:35pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
4H chart.. seems to me that we can see 146x ..this week!{image}
Ignored
well not touched 146x ... missed by 38 pips.

symmetrical triangle can break anywhere ...
but down is easier...has fewer obstacles
I do not know I am neutral..
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  • Post #72,290
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 5:01pm Feb 3, 2015 5:01pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
{quote} well not touched 146x ... missed by 38 pips. symmetrical triangle can break anywhere ... but down is easier...has fewer obstacles I do not know I am neutral.. {image}
Ignored

the target !!! when he wants... is not when we expect ... patience is the key to this.
 
 
  • Post #72,291
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  • Feb 3, 2015 5:39pm Feb 3, 2015 5:39pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
{quote} See guys this thread was empty for some time and I missed the jokes. Darth pug is loaded to fly to the moon {quote} {image}
Ignored
looks like a black hole

excuse a little humor...
 
 
  • Post #72,292
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  • Feb 3, 2015 5:43pm Feb 3, 2015 5:43pm
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
{quote} looks like a black hole excuse a little humor...
Ignored
Yes, it is a black hole. In case we correct down below 116,1 it is gonne be such a massive buy we are gonna warp straight to 125.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,293
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 6:06pm Feb 3, 2015 6:06pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
{quote} Yes, it is a black hole. In case we correct down below 116,1 it is gonne be such a massive buy we are gonna warp straight to 125.
Ignored
my main levels... LT ,I have 113.50 as support and 125.4x as possible target
MID ..119.50/120.
 
 
  • Post #72,294
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 6:12pm Feb 3, 2015 6:12pm
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
{quote} my main levels... LT ,I have 113.50 as support and 125.4x as possible target MID ..119.50/120.
Ignored
Got no problem with 113,5, UJ is vicious, Oil, well, dunno if bottoming but definitely bouncing, also pretty close to 2K8 lows, so dangerous levels, EU facked up so Yen could be short term safe haven... Can imagine we go down. But overall think is a big nono, coz finishing hyperbolic move. Think buy orders so stacked below 116 we aint coming through. Also since Euro facked and Yen long term facked, much better to buy USD so think USD flow outweights short term Yen anyway. Also RBA cut boost Asian stocks. = Either chop or finish hyperbolic move and Tom having a shower
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,295
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 6:24pm Feb 3, 2015 6:24pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
{quote} Got no problem with 113,5, UJ is vicious, Oil, well, dunno if bottoming but definitely bouncing, also pretty close to 2K8 lows, so dangerous levels, EU facked up so Yen could be short term safe haven... Can imagine we go down. But overall think is a big nono, coz finishing hyperbolic move. Think buy orders so stacked below 116 we aint coming through. Also since Euro facked and Yen long term facked, much better to buy USD so think USD flow outweights short term Yen anyway. Also RBA cut boost Asian stocks. = Either chop or finish hyperbolic...
Ignored
but dont forget...
SAW 2.6% GROWTH
Given the final 5.0% GDP reading for Q3, this initial Commerce Department estimate displeased many investors – even though the personal spending rate rose an impressive 4.3% in Q4. Investors also disliked the 3.4% overall dip in hard goods orders for December, which followed a 2.1% descent in November.
 
 
  • Post #72,296
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 6:27pm Feb 3, 2015 6:27pm
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Pls what are you talking about?
Edit: I mean, please send me link or something. Am watching BoJ charts now, no see 5% GDP, but see revised GDP for 2K15 to 1,8-2,3%
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,297
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 6:36pm Feb 3, 2015 6:36pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,133 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
Pls what are you talking about? Edit: I mean, please send me link or something. Am watching BoJ charts now, no see 5% GDP, but see revised GDP for 2K15 to 1,8-2,3%
Ignored
USD data less than expected...
Yen could be short term safe haven....
 
 
  • Post #72,298
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 6:48pm Feb 3, 2015 6:48pm
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting chess king
Disliked
{quote} USD data less than expected... Yen could be short term safe haven....
Ignored
Aah. I think long term US data fake. Jobs just short term etc, falling Oil ruining Texas for example, also developing of silica sand fields there is more. But imo takes half a year at min to data really worsen for people to see that. Now they see SNB peg, ECB RBA cutting rates and feasting on stocks. No problems now. Think UJ move should be finished within quarter, max half a year. Then US data can prove to be fake and we can correct. I am ok with that.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
  • Post #72,299
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 7:02pm Feb 3, 2015 7:02pm
  •  Delta1One
  • | Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Pip's my ride and make me green! | 581 Posts
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Disliked
Since I see my mates are finally returning. From the realm of Mumbo Jumbo: Technical: long term - We are currently finishing or have already finished hyperbolic move of wave 1. Given the speed and structure of a cycle, I believe we are about to break wave 4 top of previous one. mid term - Structure of wave 1 consists of little abc - abcde consolidations followed by break. The closer to top, the higher degrees of corrections and the shorter dates. Due to mumbo saying wave 1 should break wave 4, think subwave 5 top is fake and we are about to go boom....
Ignored

Would you please foreseen a particular timing on these targets ? Thks
 
 
  • Post #72,300
  • Quote
  • Feb 3, 2015 7:05pm Feb 3, 2015 7:05pm
  •  Tom_D_Trader
  • Joined Jul 2009 | Status: Winter is coming. Ask Kondratieff. | 8,196 Posts
Quoting Delta1One
Disliked
{quote} Would you please foreseen a particular timing on these targets ? Thks
Ignored
Am expecting move to finish within quarter, so lets say 3 months. But thats just general guess. Lots of time anyway. I want to try to run some tests on weekend, but generally timing is heavy fail when it comes to cycles. Levels can be somewhat predicted, but when huh? Really cant tell better than I think within quarter we break wave 5 top an within half a year finish wave 1 peak. But I insist, timing of cycles produces very bad results, so has little value.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
 
 
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