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Trading Made Simple

  • #51,161
  • Jan 25, 2015 5:42am Jan 25, 2015 5:42am
EA started bearish in 2015 and Monthly bear candle is getting stronger and stronger. Just one more week in Jan'15 if the monthly closes below PAC and see flatness and congestion in Guppy with TDI showing signs of moving below 50 line...We can expect some good sell moves on EA in coming months.

EA Daily coming near to the trendline, TDI below 32 but MBL sharply went through 50 line
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EA Daily close to trendline.png Size: 304 KB


EA closer look
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EA daily closer look.png Size: 395 KB


These are just the expectations and they may not work but having a PLAN B in your trading will help you grab those countertrend moves very easily.

If EA comes down where is the recent structure ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EA daily.png Size: 221 KB


How did EA moved in Jan'15 (EA H1) ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EA H1.png Size: 346 KB


How do I see with Guppy and PAC if there is a Sell or Buy opportunity on EA or my preferred pair ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: What to expect from Guppy and PA.png Size: 238 KB


Is doing my Bigger picture planning, Backtesting, Forward testing and trading with the trend worth my time ?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EA H4 potential trades Jan15.png Size: 378 KB


You wouldn't have caught all the pips shown above but just sticking to couple of pairs (if you are new to TMS) and doing your work honestly would have given you enough pips and profit in your bank to build self confidence, trust in your trading style and system and motivation to keep going forward.

I would really appreciate what Phx62, Emmanuel, TheScorps, Snarlyjack, Lastingwell, Likica and other senior members think of EURAUD.

Kindest regards
  • #51,162
  • Jan 25, 2015 5:46am Jan 25, 2015 5:46am
Quoting forexday
Hi, can someone please help me with my request. Is there a way to keep my monthly trading account history from my MT4 platform [bottom left] where it shows all trades taken. At the start of a new month this information gets deleted. Thanks for your help. Regards
All trades are in the Account History,

by default, it will only show the trades in the new month.

right click on the Account History and select show ALL History
Attached Image
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #51,163
  • Jan 25, 2015 5:55am Jan 25, 2015 5:55am
Quoting AlexoBrawler
{quote} Haha thanks, I hope your French is good enough, but that would put pressure on my english haha... I read the Synergy Pro manual and I felt attracted for being "Swing", I guees in this case will be moderate as you said, trade in H4 period... I don't know if the comparison between these styles is correct...
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1422177404

For moderate trading style,
Sell when you see a candle close and break below the recent consolidation area of small candles seen on your chart. Ths PAC is good to see the sell setup candle.
This fractal S&R lines can be use but the candles sizes is more important to look at.
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #51,164
  • Jan 25, 2015 5:59am Jan 25, 2015 5:59am
Quoting MrAussieFX
EA started bearish in 2015 and Monthly bear candle is getting stronger and stronger. Just one more week in Jan'15 if the monthly closes below PAC and see flatness and congestion in Guppy with TDI showing signs of moving below 50 line...We can expect some good sell moves on EA in coming months. EA Daily coming near to the trendline, TDI below 32 but MBL sharply went through 50 line {image} EA closer look {image} These are just the expectations and they may not work but having a PLAN B in your trading will help you grab those countertrend moves very...
As usual superb and diverse analysis MrA. Just a question about your comments in EA closer look how are you segregating retail from institutional traders? Do you use empirical data here [from combo sources perhaps] or is this speculation on general behavior or am i missing the obvious... very interesting stuff mate...
  • #51,165
  • Jan 25, 2015 6:03am Jan 25, 2015 6:03am
Week (19-01-15 to 23-01-15) TMS Results

Trades Taken = 14
Winning Trades = 11
Losing Trades = 3

Total pips gained= 288 pips

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Weekly trades starting 190115.png Size: 177 KB


Overall great week.

Kindest Regards
  • #51,166
  • Jan 25, 2015 6:10am Jan 25, 2015 6:10am
Quoting griffinssoul
{quote} As usual superb and diverse analysis MrA. Just a question about your comments in EA closer look how are you segregating retail from institutional traders? Do you use empirical data here [from combo sources perhaps] or is this speculation on general behavior or am i missing the obvious... very interesting stuff mate...
GS, Thanks for your time and appreciation.

I believe you missed the Guppy pdf I uploaded here. In which it states that Guppy MA ranging from 30 to 60 which we use here at TMS known as Guppy represents Institutions and Shorter MA ranging from 5 to 15 represents retail traders which we don't use instead we what we use is PAC which helps us take trades based on Synergy method and also act as smaller guppy's.

PAC is much more efficient and reliable in entering and exiting the trades as compared to short term guppy's.

Here is the pdf again.
Attached File(s)
File Type: pdf Trading with GMMA.pdf   174 KB | 1,018 downloads


Kindest Regards
  • #51,167
  • Jan 25, 2015 6:11am Jan 25, 2015 6:11am
Quoting MrAussieFX
Week (19-01-15 to 23-01-15) TMS Results Trades Taken = 14 Winning Trades = 11 Losing Trades = 3 Total pips gained= 288 pips {image} Overall great week. Kindest Regards
Congrats MrA - outstanding results as usual - another question mate, what TFs are you trading? I was under the impression it was the D1 but these TPs look too small?
  • #51,168
  • Jan 25, 2015 6:15am Jan 25, 2015 6:15am
Quoting MrAussieFX
{quote} GS, Thanks for your time and appreciation. I believe you missed the Guppy pdf I uploaded here. In which it states that Guppy MA ranging from 30 to 60 which we use here at TMS known as Guppy represents Institutions and Shorter MA ranging from 5 to 15 represents retail traders which we don't use instead we what we use is PAC which helps us take trades based on Synergy method and also act as smaller guppy's. PAC is much more efficient and reliable in entering and exiting the trades as compared to short term guppy's. Here is the pdf again. {image}...
Oh, yes of course - i actually saw that in the video on youtube on the guppy sometime ago [posted by you or SJ] - many thanks for this, it makes more sense to me now
  • #51,169
  • Jan 25, 2015 7:02am Jan 25, 2015 7:02am
Quoting griffinssoul
{quote} Congrats MrA - outstanding results as usual - another question mate, what TFs are you trading? I was under the impression it was the D1 but these TPs look too small?
M30 and H1 - Tokyo session, NY session

I usually miss FO and LO session due to work and could only able to catch little of NY open and London overlap.

M30 entry developing into H1 trade during the Australian/Tokyo session on EA and AJ keeping my TP small (between 25-35 pips, as Likica suggested) works like a charm. Sometimes other pairs moves well in those sessions but all that matters is keeping your TP reasonable as sometimes news affects takes place and pairs hit their ADR in those sessions and if you are up and trading Asian session and a pair hit its ADR...I believe you are most likely done trading for that day with some good profits.

Kindest Regards
  • #51,170
  • Jan 25, 2015 7:19am Jan 25, 2015 7:19am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} All trades are in the Account History, by default, it will only show the trades in the new month. right click on the Account History and select show ALL History {image}

Thank you both emmanuel and griffinssoul for your kind help.
Take care and regards
  • #51,171
  • Jan 25, 2015 7:22am Jan 25, 2015 7:22am
Good morning MrAussieFx,
(it's 6:15a.m. my time Sunday morning).

I like your analysis (it's very good)...

What I see is a short term bullish pin-bar (4hour & daily)
I think we will see a retrace to value (into the pac or guppy's) then
a reversal. Long term I'm bearish on the eur/aud.

See the monthly, weekly & daily chart.
The Greek elections could effect the trade...

sj
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUDDaily.png Size: 66 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUDMonthly.png Size: 64 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: EURAUDWeekly.png Size: 67 KB
  • #51,172
  • Jan 25, 2015 7:33am Jan 25, 2015 7:33am
Quoting MrAussieFX
{quote} GS, Thanks for your time and appreciation. I believe you missed the Guppy pdf I uploaded here. In which it states that Guppy MA ranging from 30 to 60 which we use here at TMS known as Guppy represents Institutions and Shorter MA ranging from 5 to 15 represents retail traders which we don't use instead we what we use is PAC which helps us take trades based on Synergy method and also act as smaller guppy's. PAC is much more efficient and reliable in entering and exiting the trades as compared to short term guppy's. Here is the pdf again. {image}...
MrAussieFx,

I totality agree with this...
The "pac" is more useful than the short term guppy's.
The long term guppy's are very useful. Between the pac (short term) &
the guppy's (long term) this Tms system is nailing it

It is as accurate as we can get it...

sj
  • #51,173
  • Jan 25, 2015 7:39am Jan 25, 2015 7:39am
Quoting AlexoBrawler
Have a nice weekend! I have some questions and I want to know what is the right moment to make an entry? with this strategy ... as you can see in the picture below I configured my MT4 as the user snarlyjack because he kindly answered my previous questions (may be some users answered me too but I don't see it hehe sorry) and I checked his posts and this looks pretty the same. The purple lines, I guess, may be correct entries because there are three situations: 1) DSR was broken, going down; 2) TDI green line is under red line and still going down;...
Hey Alex.
To many indicators will mess you up (keep things very simple).
That said...if you put in the long term guppy's (ema/close, 30,35,40,45,50,55 & 60)
they will help you. The secret is to follow the "yellow brick road"

Trend (pac & guppy's), Levels (asr/dsr) s/r, Tdi (sentiment), Apb's(price action).
Look at my charts...make your "exactly" the same...

sj
  • #51,174
  • Jan 25, 2015 7:50am Jan 25, 2015 7:50am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} {image} For moderate trading style, Sell when you see a candle close and break below the recent consolidation area of small candles seen on your chart. Ths PAC is good to see the sell setup candle. This fractal S&R lines can be use but the candles sizes is more important to look at.
Emmanuel, I really apreciate your help. I hope don't mind if you can explain it with pictures please... I don't really understand a little bit
I hope not to bother you
  • #51,175
  • Jan 25, 2015 8:24am Jan 25, 2015 8:24am
Quoting AlexoBrawler
{quote} Emmanuel, I really apreciate your help. I hope don't mind if you can explain it with pictures please... I don't really understand a little bit I hope not to bother you

here, I markup your chart.
Zoom into your chart and look at the price bars and APB candles, learn to look inside bar and master candles. Look at small price bars and APB candles, then see how the breakout happens with the PAC and TDI conditions.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AxelBrawler post.png Size: 88 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #51,176
  • Jan 25, 2015 8:35am Jan 25, 2015 8:35am
Quoting MrAussieFX
EA started bearish in 2015 and Monthly bear candle is getting stronger and stronger. Just one more week in Jan'15 if the monthly closes below PAC and see flatness and congestion in Guppy with TDI showing signs of moving below 50 line...We can expect some good sell moves on EA in coming months. EA Daily coming near to the trendline, TDI below 32 but MBL sharply went through 50 line {image} EA closer look {image} These are just the expectations and they may not work but having a PLAN B in your trading will help you grab those countertrend moves very...

Excellent post!

Four years ago, someone told me to focus and work on -
one trading methodology,
one big picture,
three systems - H1 intraday trading, 4H swing trading and D chart position trading.
that kept me going since.
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #51,177
  • Jan 25, 2015 9:02am Jan 25, 2015 9:02am
Quoting snarlyjack
{quote} Hey Alex. To many indicators will mess you up (keep things very simple). That said...if you put in the long term guppy's (ema/close, 30,35,40,45,50,55 & 60) they will help you. The secret is to follow the "yellow brick road" Trend (pac & guppy's), Levels (asr/dsr) s/r, Tdi (sentiment), Apb's(price action). Look at my charts...make your "exactly" the same... sj
Hello! Thanks for the help... I want to follow the "yellow brick road", but I want to know when! exactly... that's my actual problem... I just added the guppys as you told me... I don't want mess up my head, but I will crarify my mind once I work on it, I only need to understand when I have a posible good signal to follow it avoiding a posible disapointing...

I trust I will do it right soon!
  • #51,178
  • Jan 25, 2015 9:15am Jan 25, 2015 9:15am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} here, I markup your chart. Zoom into your chart and look at the price bars and APB candles, learn to look inside bar and master candles. Look at small price bars and APB candles, then see how the breakout happens with the PAC and TDI conditions. {image}
I guess I'm starting to got it and it is very simple if I'm not wrong... In the picture the selling opportunities are when the TDI is going down (naturally), APB under PAC, and the red candles breaks the previous supports... is that simple? I'm an idiot? haha sorry but I didn't see it before
  • #51,179
  • Jan 25, 2015 11:57am Jan 25, 2015 11:57am
Hi everyone

I am fairly new here at FF and have only recently started looking into some of the strategies available here. From what I have read so far, I like the look of the TMS method and I am looking to emply it as a swing trading systemt that I can trade along side my current scalping strategy.

I am looking for a bit of guidance on how to get started with this strategy, let's be honest the thread is a big success and as a result is huge. I have started reading through the Big E pdf available in the attachments as I felt this was probably a good place to start getting the thoughts of the person who started the thread.

That being said, looking at a few of the newer posts, it seems the method has progressed over time as you would expect so I have a couple of questions:

1 - Is the Big E pdf still relevant and should I continue reading it?
2 - Where is a good place to start reading the thread from? Is it necessary to read the entire thread?
3 - There are so many attachments it is difficult to know which indicators I should be using to keep my charts the same as most of the current thread posts.

A little bit of guidance in these areas would be greatly appreciated.

I look forward to contributing to the thread in the future.

Thanks

Stuart
  • #51,180
  • Jan 25, 2015 1:49pm Jan 25, 2015 1:49pm
emmanuel7788, congratulations, you are a true teacher of this tread.
your explanation to AlexoBrawler was excellent, simple and direct.

also want to say thanks for the help of snarlyjack, MrAussieFX, lirika and omonisha. you are the heart of this tread and thanks to you I think I'm ready to start trading my real account with this system

I have a question for youwhat represents the blue lines, green, red and yellow synergypro. all say that they have to cross, ok fine, but I think we will understand much better the system will understand what makes each of the lines.

Thanks
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