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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #54,881
  • Jan 23, 2015 7:29am Jan 23, 2015 7:29am
118 is EMA200 30M and H1
118.1sh EMA200 H4
if it breaks above EMA200 H4 then need more patience to go south...
  • #54,882
  • Jan 23, 2015 8:01am Jan 23, 2015 8:01am
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} Finally. But I think we'll get one more bonce at 117.7.
It did bounce at 117.75..
I wish this time goes straight to 117.3.. or 117...
  • #54,883
  • Jan 23, 2015 8:06am Jan 23, 2015 8:06am
Quoting Idkurv
{quote} It did bounce at 117.75.. I wish this time goes straight to 117.3.. or 117...
Not much time left. On friday sessions, market volatility tapers off after 10:00am EST, and anything after 12:00pm is unlikely to change significantly.

Right now, it's 9:06am EST.
  • #54,884
  • Jan 23, 2015 8:55am Jan 23, 2015 8:55am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Am not very good in these short intraday movements but think 118,3 should get a retest. Any scalper here? {image}
Well that flag was a bit longer than thought, have been deleveargin through zone holding and finished now on break friday close with H1. Currently bears very strong. Giveng the move in USD, it is pretty surprising we aint flying here, and the very reason is some massive cash is flowing in Yen, so we are stuck. But once money stops flowing in USD (not like I had any clue when this could happen apart of in 10 month when US numbers prove to be fake) we could as well fall pretty steep.

Needed to say I still consider BoJ action bullish so am still bull, though currently flat in correction and waiting for it to run out of steam in m15 chart.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,885
  • Jan 23, 2015 8:59am Jan 23, 2015 8:59am
Quoting ajidss
advise me if wrong,,, {image}
Quoting skyhok
{quote} don't think you need advise there ..........

For real Ajid. You dont want to listen to FF retail scammer .

You know that sayin with diamonds in junkyard? Dunno if you have it in your country but the logic applies to Forex Factory. Search, but keep in mind you are in junkyard

Edit: Lol school at FF again.
Quoting kanchmadush
i want learn more about technichl,fundamentl,,,please anybody tell me anywebsite to follow
If you wanna learn fundamentals, think best to study like 10-15 years, starting with university. Thats the easiest way. You also can read for 20-25 years. If suprelucky, you can meet real trader who can tell you within 5-7 years .
If you wanna learn technicals, think best to start here http://www.babypips.com/school. Technicals is actually very easy, if you understand to mathematics - and even better, if you learn how to use statistics or econometrics - there come school and reading again.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,886
  • Jan 23, 2015 9:08am Jan 23, 2015 9:08am
NY indicated down
  • #54,887
  • Jan 23, 2015 9:45am Jan 23, 2015 9:45am
we have bullish harmonic pattern at 5M
but I am bad scalper!
  • #54,888
  • Jan 23, 2015 9:51am Jan 23, 2015 9:51am
Quoting Idkurv
we have bullish harmonic pattern at 5M but I am bad scalper!
wishing the bounce not too high
  • #54,889
  • Jan 23, 2015 9:59am Jan 23, 2015 9:59am
The only reason it's not dropping below to test areas like 117 is because the Friday session is largely over. By now, most of the market movements are done, or there's great hesitation to move below. By all means, hold onto your shorts, and if you have the margins, add shorts whenever you get the spikes.

I do not recommend going long at the moment, since there's really nothing but market schedule holding the bears back; anyone who goes long should only aim to scalp 10-20 pips.

Maybe next week, when the bearish trend might taper off.
  • #54,890
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:20am Jan 23, 2015 10:20am
Quoting Vermillion
The only reason it's not dropping below to test areas like 117 is because the Friday session is largely over.
Yeh, largely over. Am watching 117,55 last weeks close now and 117,23 for a pretty strong bear confirm. Though think it is time to take some profits, so scalped at that 11755
edit: Add chart. Think if we close @ that red square, I call it a tie, with bears having advantage now, since below mid. Needed to say if UJ wants to break up, needs some speed so also bulls need to be down here. Am very considered by that HH fail though, as it could be pretty much bear confirm. Maybe next week also starts bearish to reach like 116,6 to get bulls some speed. Wonder if Kuroda and Abe san have anything to say to this.

T
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,891
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:33am Jan 23, 2015 10:33am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Wonder if Kuroda and Abe san have anything to say to this. {image}
I'll bet you they might pull off another ECB. Have you seen the FF news article about Kuroda's credibility, or more specifically, lack thereof? Not very encouraging news.
  • #54,892
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:40am Jan 23, 2015 10:40am
Quoting Vermillion
{quote} I'll bet you they might pull off another ECB. Have you seen the FF news article about Kuroda's credibility, or more specifically, lack thereof? Not very encouraging news.
Not seen it. Generally I dont trust and often dont read news disregarding anyone. Think someone is just heavy long Yen... am a paranoid guy.

I stick to pretty simple theories, like this one: Japans closed all nuclear factories so are heavily depended on energy imports. Given the fact of falling prices of Oil and all commodities correlating, thats a) heavy boost for Japan enterprises b)heavy boost for Abes and Kurodas credibility in eyes of Japan people - giving them enough political power to pursue their inflation targets. And since those prices are falling, it sure wouldnt hurt anyone to inflate some more eh?

Oversimplified, I know ,

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,893
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:41am Jan 23, 2015 10:41am
Quoting Vermillion
The only reason it's not dropping below to test areas like 117 is because the Friday session is largely over. By now, most of the market movements are done, or there's great hesitation to move below. By all means, hold onto your shorts, and if you have the margins, add shorts whenever you get the spikes. I do not recommend going long at the moment, since there's really nothing but market schedule holding the bears back; anyone who goes long should only aim to scalp 10-20 pips. Maybe next week, when the bearish trend might taper off.
Thanks mate
  • #54,894
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:47am Jan 23, 2015 10:47am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Yeh, largely over. Am watching 117,55 last weeks close now and 117,23 for a pretty strong bear confirm. Though think it is time to take some profits, so scalped at that 11755 edit: Add chart. Think if we close @ that red square, I call it a tie, with bears having advantage now, since below mid. Needed to say if UJ wants to break up, needs some speed so also bulls need to be down here. Am very considered by that HH fail though, as it could be pretty much bear confirm. Maybe next week also starts bearish to reach like 116,6 to get bulls...
I think the bulls are waiting at 116.6 - 116.8.
then retesting 117 - 117.3.
then down to 115.8 - 116.
just my imagination
will see how it will go
  • #54,895
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:53am Jan 23, 2015 10:53am
Quoting Idkurv
just my imagination
Mind is strong weapon, but better write what comes through so you dont forget
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #54,896
  • Jan 23, 2015 4:09pm Jan 23, 2015 4:09pm
Good close for the week. I hope good pips for all. Thanks.
  • #54,897
  • Jan 23, 2015 7:25pm Jan 23, 2015 7:25pm
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} No need to panic.. there is a little divergence on 5 min.. just getting out as soon as we see a divergence building itself is like coming too early.. not a good habit (Especially when love making) A retest of 118 is possible!!!
It was my fault, I got nervous. I should have waited and cashed in on the nearly 100 pips that I missed out on.
  • #54,898
  • Jan 23, 2015 8:06pm Jan 23, 2015 8:06pm
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} {quote} For real Ajid. You dont want to listen to FF retail scammer . You know that sayin with diamonds in junkyard? Dunno if you have it in your country but the logic applies to Forex Factory. Search, but keep in mind you are in junkyard Edit: Lol school at FF again. {quote} If you wanna learn fundamentals, think best to study like 10-15 years, starting with university. Thats the easiest way. You also can read for 20-25 years. If suprelucky, you can meet real trader who can tell you within 5-7 years . If you wanna learn...

thanks for advice...
Keep learn and Learn..until milionair
  • #54,899
  • Jan 23, 2015 10:17pm Jan 23, 2015 10:17pm
Just got an email from OANDA saying that the NFA increased margin requirement for JPY from 2% to 3%. Same with AUD. Looks like it's time to find an offshore broker.
  • #54,900
  • Jan 24, 2015 1:44am Jan 24, 2015 1:44am
Anyone still bullish on UJ with me, i think it must touch 119-120 before bearish.
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