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  • #953,561
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:32am Jan 23, 2015 3:32am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} Look at it differently, it is not a matter of buying but of taking profit of the table, there will be lots of traders eyeing their shorts and thinking is now the time to safequard some? We have an another set of counter traders, I am one of them 30% of my trades are counters, that are looking at an excuse for some quick easy money. There are allsorts in the market, there has to be, if everyone was short we would be at parity today. You also have to take into account the amount of money that actually gets exchanged everyday for the normal...
Fair point, and ditto with normal currency repatriation for exporters etc I guess. Thanks, gf, you're right, too easy to get caught up with a bias. My strict trend trading is showing, lol.
"Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." - Warren Buffett
  • #953,562
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:33am Jan 23, 2015 3:33am
1.125 here we go….
  • #953,563
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:35am Jan 23, 2015 3:35am
Quoting sisse
{quote} Well the first and probably the main problem i find with that is before 911 there WAS NO Euro as such. The current and real Euro not the ecu neither the synthetic baskets before 1999 aren't of much use except for very rough academic econometric regression models reference. Lets forget about fundamentals for a minute. If we run technical analysis in any underlying that is NEW, it will ALWAYS be poised towards the ground /sky because it wont have a vertical floor/roof reference in the past What it means that as soon we get a series of waves...
that's fair..
smarter people then me devised a way in a basket, to use the eu value pre ecb. yes it may be flawed, its just all i have to go with. and even today's since, is flawed, it has the past dozen years of usd unprecedented manipulation. we have to eat whats served. in 2002 Putin had a beautiful soul, today?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #953,564
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:35am Jan 23, 2015 3:35am
Quoting sisse
{quote} lol Gator ... longs 1.127x to 1.156x ...je je je sisse
  • #953,565
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:36am Jan 23, 2015 3:36am
gb news good hit the wall at 5006 again eur could be holding it back ,,buy gb order on at 5080 now ,,target 5025/5050/5110 ,the traders might not of been expecting that good a news,, soon see any other time it would of shot up 100 pips off the back of that,,,,volatile now ,,look to lock on any profit,,you can always get into a trade but its harder to get the money
  • #953,566
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:36am Jan 23, 2015 3:36am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} You got yours. (if you add the spread)
Just hasn't got there yet, only 1 pip away!
  • #953,567
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:37am Jan 23, 2015 3:37am
still wanna go deeper.. EU its on heavy pressure.. maybe break today low

note : M15 and M30 will tell you why
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #953,568
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:37am Jan 23, 2015 3:37am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} Still expecting 1.1237 today.
How do you get 1.1237?
  • #953,569
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:38am Jan 23, 2015 3:38am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 5.png Size: 58 KB
as above chart gb reaction,,, waiting now
  • #953,570
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:38am Jan 23, 2015 3:38am
Quoting JaredSA
{quote} How do you get 1.1237?
www.actionforex.com markets > pivot points
  • #953,571
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:39am Jan 23, 2015 3:39am
Quoting JaredSA
{quote} Just hasn't got there yet, only 1 pip away!
Well later in the day when the home sales report comes in ..... you might get another 100 pips more
Everything you want lies on the other side of fear.
  • #953,572
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:40am Jan 23, 2015 3:40am
Quoting sisse
{quote} lol Gator ... longs 1.127x to 1.156x ...je je je sisse
lost me..?
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #953,573
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:41am Jan 23, 2015 3:41am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} No they can't, they will be watched like a hawk they are not going to chance it by trying proxy purchases.
OK. Since from what i know, the Federal reserve has been doing that kind of thing, so i thought "Why not the ECB?". But if you say so, ok.
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #953,574
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:44am Jan 23, 2015 3:44am
Quoting kill56
{quote}
not me... just sell eu bounces.. but did long ea a few
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #953,575
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:44am Jan 23, 2015 3:44am
So GBP will not go above 1.50 ...
Everything you want lies on the other side of fear.
  • #953,576
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:45am Jan 23, 2015 3:45am
Quoting elbert3
{quote} Morning Dano,,gb thread is gone to the wall this morning 2 traders ,, any way waiting for the 10 ema on the 5 min to e=see if it rejects then 1200 area fail my tp is 1177,gl{image}
Greece yap but if Syriza wins the gap down on Sunday
  • #953,577
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:46am Jan 23, 2015 3:46am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} lost me..?
I thought you where looking at that one. There is a outsmarting the bottom blind entry 1.127x to 1.156x with stop over at 1.133x... obviously common sense applies...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #953,578
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:46am Jan 23, 2015 3:46am
Quoting Ck87
{quote} www.actionforex.com markets > pivot points
Ok thanks, but how does one define that pivot point?
  • #953,579
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:48am Jan 23, 2015 3:48am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} A bias will kill your account no matter how good you are. Or how big, look at this guy: http://www.cnbc.com/id/102356275 He blew through 100Mn in no time. You need to start every morning with a clean slate, yes keep the fundamentals in mind, but don't let them persuade you into stupid trades. It is hard in todays landscape, we have hardly had a pullback of any significance, however we have had plenty of smaller ones, we have had some green days in all of this madness and a bias would have given you a down day if you didn't have...
Yup agree, that's why I'm grateful for a reality check, but since I've been doing so well on trends I never really look for too many reasons for contrarian viewpoints. I used to try and be contrarian all of the time and it did me no favours, so I just do the dumb follow the crowd trades and focus on executing entries as best as I can, fits with my risk tolerance, which is pretty damned low.

Yeah, I read about that guy, how the hell do you blow 100m in ten months?! He was previously part of a fund that got busted for insider trading too - I guess it's tough when you can't cheat any longer.
"Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing." - Warren Buffett
  • #953,580
  • Jan 23, 2015 3:49am Jan 23, 2015 3:49am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...91#post8012491
We may see 1.114x before week close.
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