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  • #952,881
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:11am Jan 22, 2015 6:11am
Quoting primejarvis
{quote} If 1.25 touches .. even i am gonna retire
Touching of 1.20+ isn't possible for today.
Without an edge MM is useless!
  • #952,882
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:11am Jan 22, 2015 6:11am
It seem like No thing will happen at Minimum bid rate, better waite for ecb press
  • #952,883
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:15am Jan 22, 2015 6:15am
Quoting afhacker
Small short with tight SL is best choice for now.

Imo all stops will be taken within a 30+ radius with ranging PA before/during news, especially on shorts with spread depending on brokerage ofc....

Quoting Kofmaster
Link for the ECB announcement later?
http://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvser...150122.en.html
As the lights go by so too do the shadows move
  • #952,884
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:16am Jan 22, 2015 6:16am
Quoting KGP
people i just realised something very odd we are talking about ECB...europe...and european culture hasnt anyone noticed that apart from a minor leak (which i believe it was a "testing the sentiment" one) so far nothing...not even a comment? at other times in the past at the same event we had at least 3-4 leaks from "credible sources" for anything.... and dont forget Davos is "active" as well...the "mother of leaks".... and yet nothing.... odd isnt it?

wowowow....still... no leaks...NOT EVEN A COMMENT ...

sense that indeed...is going to be big... but on which direction???
  • #952,885
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:17am Jan 22, 2015 6:17am
Quoting Matts Micro
{quote} Imo all stops will be taken within a 30+ radius with ranging PA before/during news, especially on shorts with spread depending on brokerage ofc.... {quote} http://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/tvser...150122.en.html
Agreed
  • #952,886
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:18am Jan 22, 2015 6:18am
For some reason I really think the euro is gonna rally hard. And i haven't thought this in a long time.
  • #952,887
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:19am Jan 22, 2015 6:19am
what do you think about both sell and buy order at same time... bt there have tooo risky......bt if ECB announce QE over 500bn, at time eur/usd pair touch 1,17xx becoz profit taking and then it back to 1.12xx or 1,11xx
  • #952,888
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:19am Jan 22, 2015 6:19am
I am still bullish for the next 30 minutes, think many people will close their positions which could take us to 1.168 or 1.172
  • #952,889
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:19am Jan 22, 2015 6:19am
Signal after EU News
Buy Entry Point near 1.1575 to 1.1585 Zone
S/L=1.1560
T/P1=1.1665
T/P2=1.1695
T/P3=1.1755
Now pair is near 1.1640 but after bouncing back toward Zone mention above

have a good time of trading
Kami
Don’t follow someone else’s trading advice blindly
  • #952,890
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:22am Jan 22, 2015 6:22am
It doesnt help that USD unemployment claims come out the same time.
  • #952,891
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:22am Jan 22, 2015 6:22am
one more guess - EU may move in uni direction today.
  • #952,892
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:26am Jan 22, 2015 6:26am
Quoting kanchmadush
what do you think about both sell and buy order at same time... bt there have tooo risky......bt if ECB announce QE over 500bn, at time eur/usd pair touch 1,17xx becoz profit taking and then it back to 1.12xx or 1,11xx

Only a desperate gambler would trade the QE announcement. It isn't just QE that gets decided, we have the LTRO, the TLTRO, the overnight rate, the amount, the start date, what it entails government paper (what paper, which duration, what quality), corporate bonds, who will buy it (ECB direct or individual CB's).

You can write a matrix with thousands of outcomes and still not cover it all. There are 24 members of the board with 24 opinions, then to top it of we have Germany in the wings.

There is nothing saying that Draghi won't actually hold of untill the 2 500Bn tranches of LTRO and the take up of TLTRO have been decided, he got what he wanted already, we are down 2,500 pips since we first started talking about this back in July, do you really want to trade all these unknowns?

Haven't you guys learned anything from the SNB, what makes you think that your broker will even give you a price? Do you really think brokers will go bust again a week after the SNB tsunami? Guess again. They are in full preservation mode.

Putting any order in anywhere won't mean it won't get filled hundreds of pips from where you wanted it, putting both sell and buy orders in could mean you could be down a few hundred pips at once as the one gets filled at a stupid rate and the other gets stopped at an even sillier level.

There is only one trade here: NO trade.

Today is not the last day in your trading career, why risk making it the last? So you can have some bragging rights on a forum like this? Who cares, your first responsibility should be your capital, not brownie points.
A contrarian; I always disagree.
  • #952,893
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:29am Jan 22, 2015 6:29am
Quoting mxer4
{quote}Are we talking about the Eur/Usd currency here?
Yes. 1.1836.
  • #952,894
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:31am Jan 22, 2015 6:31am
Quoting Magicmen
one more guess - EU may move in uni direction today.
i am in uni-up
  • #952,895
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:32am Jan 22, 2015 6:32am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} There is only one trade here: NO trade.
  • #952,896
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:34am Jan 22, 2015 6:34am
First, all related markets pre announcement except euro itself are sitting in very nice areas for a QE in line with expectations.

Gold starting to move pre-emptively already for an inline with expectations QE from key R at 1300.x. Only a massive surprise will crack much further high from that area.

Using DAX for benchmark in equities in this move is sitting at all time highs. Ticks away from a key extension target (we are trading ALL TIME HIGHS so only magic lines for reference!!!). Most of the meat from QE is CLEARLY already digested. An inline with expectations is also the best scenario in here that will push us to max 10400 area before taking healthy profits. Any surprise in size and the moon is the limit as the bastards will ride the pig of more free money.

Finally and more importantly the bund has formed in the last few days a nice launching platform for QE. Best scenarios here are also for an inline or more than expected QE from the ECB.

In general nothing new in related markets as the QE is pretty much accepted across the board. All of them ready for an inline with expectations move. A massive flop from ECB will create panic and wild moves as most will be caught in the wrong side of the move...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #952,897
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:39am Jan 22, 2015 6:39am
Quoting sisse
First, all related markets pre announcement except euro itself are sitting in very nice areas for a QE in line with expectations. Gold starting to move pre-emptively already for an inline with expectations QE from key R at 1300.x. Only a massive surprise will crack much further high from that area. Using DAX for benchmark in equities in this move is sitting at all time highs. Ticks away from a key extension target (we are trading ALL TIME HIGHS so only magic lines for reference!!!). Most of the meat from QE is CLEARLY already digested. An inline...
  • #952,898
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:39am Jan 22, 2015 6:39am
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  • #952,899
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:39am Jan 22, 2015 6:39am
Quoting goldfinch
{quote} Only a desperate gambler would trade the QE................ Haven't you guys learned anything from the SNB, what makes you think that your broker will even give you a price?
well I agree with you that there is more than one outcome scenario and I agree with you that brokers are playing safer with margins etc.
but this is nothing like SNB..... 1) there is a vast difference in the liquidity of the euro 2) there is no artificial floor or ceiling in play that would cause a void of the scale of SNB.... and yes there is always a chance of gaps in price at the time but it wouldn't be anything like SNB they are simply not comparable...
  • #952,900
  • Jan 22, 2015 6:39am Jan 22, 2015 6:39am
Eagerly Waiting for the see saw ... will be happy watching it not by ruining myself ..... No Trade :nerd:
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