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  • #952,281
  • Jan 20, 2015 3:24pm Jan 20, 2015 3:24pm
Quoting sisse
{quote} Yes indeed with the tiny positions. Especially in my case that I cleared all at 1.158x last Thursday. On 1.156x I am not really taking it seriously intraday and daily for now. In my books is hanging on air intraday and is a weak support (it can become a key swing support later with weekly after ecb QE, etc). Intraday 1.148x is naked for tomorrow but i really dislike that untested 1.167x for the news play. Given the importance of the upcoming news, the time and the levels I am playing it with the weekly/monthly combo to avoid getting chop...
Sisse, I'd also like to see a break lower. I really hate riding through such huge news, so I'm trying to get a position enough in-the-money so I can hopefully be far enough away that it wouldn't be in danger during the craziness that will ensue. Hopefully we continue grinding down some more so I can get ~100+ in the money before the bomb drops.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #952,282
  • Jan 20, 2015 3:30pm Jan 20, 2015 3:30pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} Sisse, I'd also like to see a break lower. I really hate riding through such huge news, so I'm trying to get a position enough in-the-money so I can hopefully be far enough away that it wouldn't be in danger during the craziness that will ensue. Hopefully we continue grinding down some more so I can get ~100+ in the money before the bomb drops.
Exactly in the same page mate.

Let see if the bastards make it easier to trail. As Gator pointed out a roll today below 1.156x will surely can only help...

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #952,283
  • Jan 20, 2015 3:32pm Jan 20, 2015 3:32pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} Sisse, I'd also like to see a break lower. I really hate riding through such huge news, so I'm trying to get a position enough in-the-money so I can hopefully be far enough away that it wouldn't be in danger during the craziness that will ensue. Hopefully we continue grinding down some more so I can get ~100+ in the money before the bomb drops.
If we keep dropping until ECB, there is a small chance that we get even a bigger drop after that. Whatever ECB will do, the guys with enough money to move the market, already know...so if they planned for a drop, they would most likely push the price up and kill all shorts before a big drop. Retail is already short...no reason to break lows before ECB.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #952,284
  • Jan 20, 2015 3:33pm Jan 20, 2015 3:33pm
Quoting Abdul2012
{quote} Great analysis man, thank you.
it's just my speculation
I do not know whether to'll get the only 500 billion, may not be such a reaction down,
  • #952,285
  • Jan 20, 2015 3:36pm Jan 20, 2015 3:36pm
Anybody from Canada (Toronto) here? I am interested in discussing the market and trades I take for mutual benefit...I have found out discussing trade ideas with some one actually improved my trading results....I am a momentum trader mostly trade Gold, Eur and GBP...
  • #952,286
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:03pm Jan 20, 2015 4:03pm
Betting on QE is still underway, we are going back to 1.15 level and before the ECB conference we can breach the 1.15 level again.
  • #952,287
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:13pm Jan 20, 2015 4:13pm
Quoting tomas.v
Betting on QE is still underway, we are going back to 1.15 level and before the ECB conference we can breach the 1.15 level again.
We should see 1603-1619 this week again. Maybe more. Either before or after ECB, but it will happen.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #952,288
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:14pm Jan 20, 2015 4:14pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} If we keep dropping until ECB, there is a small chance that we get even a bigger drop after that. Whatever ECB will do, the guys with enough money to move the market, already know...so if they planned for a drop, they would most likely push the price up and kill all shorts before a big drop. Retail is already short...no reason to break lows before ECB.
But it's sure very big drop, dont you? Even if before is killer SL pullback...
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #952,289
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:16pm Jan 20, 2015 4:16pm
Quoting braintheboss
{quote} But it's sure very big drop, dont you? Even if before is killer SL pullback...
Most people are short...the SLs are on the upside, I don't think they will survive until thursday. But after that...the drop might be big, very big.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #952,290
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:18pm Jan 20, 2015 4:18pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Most people are short...the SLs are on the upside, I don't think they will survive until thursday. But after that...the drop might be big, very big.
But if QE means big drop maybe much retails remove SL and try survive to that killer pullback.
Try don't lose pants never...
  • #952,291
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:19pm Jan 20, 2015 4:19pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} We should see 1603-1619 this week again. Maybe more. Either before or after ECB, but it will happen.

i doubt it at the moment i dont "see it"... what i see that we are going to settle at the 1.13/1.14 area before the ECB and to be honest i dont like it much... the volatility is going to be huge... i would prefer 1.12 area at least...

i am building so far all my positions from 1.15 onwards and would like to have a "safety net" before the ECB... i am not 100% super mario is going to act now instead of making a small delay (he will act sooner or later thats for a fact)


ALSO ECB is one of the event that the "chit chat" after the statement is made has so much strength because super mario likes the "chit chat" and he likes also (i guess) the authority of making "bombshells" during that period.... so you can go from 0 to hero and vice versa within minutes
  • #952,292
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:19pm Jan 20, 2015 4:19pm
The question remains open, how big of the programme is to be unveiled? Draghi is the specialist when it comes to disappointments, thus nothing can be ruled out this time aswell. I would expect to see a spike, somewhat steep if no exact figure provided, and that being the most likely scenario imo. However, if he comes up with anything near e1T, parity discussions will gain in momentum
  • #952,293
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:20pm Jan 20, 2015 4:20pm
Quoting braintheboss
{quote} But if QE means big drop maybe much retails remove SL and try survive to that killer pullback.
Most retailers are so overleveraged that a 100-200 pip upmove would kill their accounts. And those who survive, they will start buying in panic when EU eventually starts dropping and that will be the last nail in the coffin for the rest.

Quoting KGP
{quote} i doubt it at the moment i dont "see it"...
If it was that easy to spot in advance, everyone would make the right choices in forex. I am not saying it happens, but in case we get a drop during asia, I will be buying.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #952,294
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:41pm Jan 20, 2015 4:41pm
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} Most retailers are so overleveraged that a 100-200 pip upmove would kill their accounts. And those who survive, they will start buying in panic when EU eventually starts dropping and that will be the last nail in the coffin for the rest. {quote} If it was that easy to spot in advance, everyone would make the right choices in forex. I am not saying it happens, but in case we get a drop during asia, I will be buying.

i am just stating my view... what i sense (hence "see")... but it seems everyone is "preparing" for the Thursday that (from what it's said) caused THE Thursday "


i agree regarding the retailers over leveraging. ..

btw i have started getting rumors that many afraid of the thursday... but some others are afraid of greek elections and in fact making announcements that leverage is going to be lowered on friday because of the greek elections...

any experiences?
  • #952,295
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:44pm Jan 20, 2015 4:44pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} i am just stating my view... what i sense (hence "see")... but it seems everyone is "preparing" for the Thursday that (from what it's said) caused THE Thursday " i agree regarding the retailers over leveraging. .. btw i have started getting rumors that many afraid of the thursday... but some others are afraid of greek elections and in fact making announcements that leverage is going to be lowered on friday because of the greek elections... any experiences?
Unless you link to these "rumors", I always just assume you're making it up.
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #952,296
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:51pm Jan 20, 2015 4:51pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} Unless you link to these "rumors", I always just assume you're making it up.

check your PM as a first and then remove the accusation
  • #952,297
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:53pm Jan 20, 2015 4:53pm
Quoting KGP
{quote} check your PM as a first and then remove the accusation
Not checking PM first, and there was no accusation. Just a simple statement: I won't believe you unless you link somewhere.

Also, why wouldn't you link in the forum?
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #952,298
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:54pm Jan 20, 2015 4:54pm
OK, all... here is what KGP is too afraid to post. Not sure why he'd call it a rumor when he knew it to be fact...?

Attached Image
check out my blog: forexmademillionaire dot com
  • #952,299
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:57pm Jan 20, 2015 4:57pm
Thursday ECB, then elections...looks like this week ends tomorrow for me, I don't want to be caught in the mess that happens afterwards and possibly some huge gap on monday.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #952,300
  • Jan 20, 2015 4:58pm Jan 20, 2015 4:58pm
Quoting Geppy
{quote} Not checking PM first, and there was no accusation. Just a simple statement: I won't believe you unless you link somewhere. Also, why wouldn't you link in the forum?
because i am not in the business of "making up" rumors... i could start a blog to do that if i wanted to and start "promoting" it to others

with a quick search here... just found the same question i made regarding thursday on a post http://www.marketwatch.com/story/wha...ise-2015-01-20

do you like the link?

and regarding greece check your PM didnt want to mention just one broker...


i just dont know if there are more brokers regarding both events


the "hearsay" is not always possible without doing illegal stuff and passing the info illegally (at least in EU) to people who accuse others that if they dont "prove" it are "rumor makers"

and heard it from various people in the broking industry


happy now?
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