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  • #951,801
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:40am Jan 19, 2015 3:40am
Quoting MaxDoom
this current up move looks classic low volume build up ready for fresh push low.... watching 1.164x myself, 1.1629 may do it but unlikely
Right.

Should look at weekly on both eurgbp and gbpusd where lies enough distribution. Euro may pop up surprisingly high before UK and ECB news on wed/thu respectively.
They think they are smarter than I am.
  • #951,802
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:47am Jan 19, 2015 3:47am
scalp short.. look better option for me atm.. lets see.. i dont have any confident for clear direction so i will go scalp for now
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #951,803
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:50am Jan 19, 2015 3:50am
Quoting MaxDoom
this current up move looks classic low volume build up ready for fresh push low.... watching 1.164x myself, 1.1629 may do it but unlikely


I dont watch volume, but structure confirms your view. I dont see it pass 634, so will look for shorts around it.
  • #951,804
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:50am Jan 19, 2015 3:50am
Quoting Z3iz3i
{quote} Right. Should look at weekly on both eurgbp and gbpusd where lies enough distribution. Euro may pop up surprisingly high before UK and ECB news on wed/thu respectively.
hey how are you doing, long time since I saw you last, I trust you avoided last weeks chf chaos?
  • #951,805
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:51am Jan 19, 2015 3:51am
Tech target for today was: 1.1609 - 1.1658,

I expect it will get to the latter 1.164x area, GBP is expected to rise and then find weaknesss so perhaps after the EUR rise the same will happen.
  • #951,806
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:52am Jan 19, 2015 3:52am
This bull move seem like a fake breakout with such low volume. expect to see a sudden big drop with big volume candle.
  • #951,807
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:54am Jan 19, 2015 3:54am
Quoting ckwong622
This bull move seem like a fake breakout with such low volume. expect to see a sudden big drop with big volume candle.
big drop with more than 100 pips?
  • #951,808
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:55am Jan 19, 2015 3:55am
30M, 1H and H4 are all about to close bullish.
  • #951,809
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:56am Jan 19, 2015 3:56am
Quoting ckwong622
This bull move seem like a fake breakout with such low volume. expect to see a sudden big drop with big volume candle.
big drop .. im with you
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #951,810
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:57am Jan 19, 2015 3:57am
Quoting Delboy2010
Tech target for today was: 1.1609 - 1.1658, I expect it will get to the latter 1.164x area, GBP is expected to rise and then find weaknesss so perhaps after the EUR rise the same will happen.
euro has been beaten to death for past few months, time for reversal, i think after ecb conf. i wish it comes down so that i can reload longs.
  • #951,811
  • Jan 19, 2015 3:57am Jan 19, 2015 3:57am
Quoting mdrive
{quote} euro has been beaten to death for past few months, time for reversal, i think after ecb conf. i wish it comes down so that i can reload longs.
what has changed for the better to drive a reversal?
  • #951,812
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:03am Jan 19, 2015 4:03am
Quoting mdrive
{quote} euro has been beaten to death for past few months, time for reversal, i think after ecb conf. i wish it comes down so that i can reload longs.
its noot like euro been beaten.. but its more like euro commited suicide.. lol..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #951,813
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:05am Jan 19, 2015 4:05am
Quoting mied
{quote} big drop .. im with you
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IMO, The bull move with such volume is not convincing at all . I could be wrong , but right now the bull seem like exhausted as it cant go beyond 1.1635
  • #951,814
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:07am Jan 19, 2015 4:07am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Got a bit different numbers here, but simmilar. To the downside I got 116,8 116,13. Have missed yours 116,4, but see it there in h4 chart. To the upside it is stuffed like a turkey. Obviously open 117,55 - 117,8 (old daily but strong). Then like 10 seconds pause and 118,185 - 118,695. Now thats a mofo tough zone. Then pooof! 119,6 (also simmilar like yours). Think we should stop now, or shall we target moon? . Edit: I have just passed exams from economics ! 30 mins ago. {image}
Congrats.

I'm itching to play a swing against the Yen. I'm just unsure about timing for such a move on U/J at the moment. I've been playing between the ranges more
than holding with conviction and maybe need a clearer trigger. It shot up so far that now there aren't really any serious levels for my taste to play toward the swing unlike E/J and G/J. That's why I'm so interested in Nikkei swing resistance/now support as a reference point.

It's far easier to spot the swing on G/J (especially) even E/J for me. A clean bottoming and hold above key weekly levels (which could take some time yet) should do the trick. I think G/J has already started bottoming- maybe will test 176.37 again and later make a clean, long hold above 177.74 which will set off alarms for the big play.

For the moment, intraday G/J shorts look the play from that same level.
  • #951,815
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:07am Jan 19, 2015 4:07am
Yes guys you are right in our views but let's wash how it gos
  • #951,816
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:08am Jan 19, 2015 4:08am
Quoting ClinicalEx
long hold above 177.74 which will set off alarms for the big play. For the moment, intraday G/J shorts look the play from that same level.
Thx . Yeh, am very unsure with timing as well. So far drowned like 0,7% catching that stupid UJ. Not very good so far. Well, thats how it goes with buying in intraday downtrend. That bolded number is nice, i like. Also will be watching that Nikkei more. My timing is really terrible. Mainly focusing on BoJ Wednesday and thought at start week it will be just bullish USD coz of investors fleeing out of Europe. Hmm, at least I ve passed that exam while loosing here .

Am not sure this is an analysis. Someone correct me pls? I ve paid 20 bucks for pacman pattern.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #951,817
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:11am Jan 19, 2015 4:11am
EURUSD initially fell making new low at 1.14595, but found enough buying pressure to turn things back around and close in the middle of the daily range. Technically the pair remains in an aggressive downtrend as fresh 11-year lows have been carved out in the latest drop, begging the question: how low can we go? 1.1376 is the November, 2003 low and seems to be the next technical target.
Want to learn more: HTO Trading
  • #951,818
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:12am Jan 19, 2015 4:12am
Weekly >>>>>> beaten to death
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  • #951,819
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:15am Jan 19, 2015 4:15am
Quoting MaxDoom
{quote} what has changed for the better to drive a reversal?
to liquidate all the shorts that was built up during few months, USD reversal will happen soon.
  • #951,820
  • Jan 19, 2015 4:19am Jan 19, 2015 4:19am
Quoting mdrive
{quote} to liquidate all the shorts that was built up during few months, USD reversal will happen soon.
why do you think so?
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