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  • #951,501
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:56pm Jan 16, 2015 10:56pm
Quoting egkid
{quote} Almost as it should
seems its going to play out that way..
  • #951,502
  • Jan 16, 2015 11:15pm Jan 16, 2015 11:15pm
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} see what happened with the chf 1.20 peg. at 1.2 was the place the snb wanted to hold for a artificial parity or an equalization for lack of a better term. at 1.2 the swiss were able to compete verse other esb countries. imagine the euro is a the same type peg within ez.. each ecb member is tied to 1 to 1 parity or equalization. it works well as a group against outside members for the ecb. the problem is within the group (ecb individual countries) . when a country like Germany has the better paying wages, and expects those poorer counties...
Where does this fit in?

Quoting gatorinla
{quote} preaching to the choir.. *L* the best thing greece could do is exit. open a transatlantic/pacific hub with u.s. and have all the tourist go through greece first. with a cheaper currency they could make this affordable. they could always collect usd or euro or whatever.. as payment.. they could skim off flights to europe from all over the world. a gold mine..
  • #951,503
  • Jan 17, 2015 12:28am Jan 17, 2015 12:28am
Uh, Oh. I've been drinking way too much tonight. Over in the upper left hand corner of this website, the Forex Factory logo is upside down. Enough drinking for me. Time for bed. Good night.
Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #951,504
  • Jan 17, 2015 12:38am Jan 17, 2015 12:38am
Can't go to bed without posting a chart first. EUR/USD monthly update. A 22.5 degree angle off the 10-01-2000 low. A vertical line off the all time high. Where the two intersect at, line of interest for me.
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Time turns trend. - W.D. Gann
  • #951,505
  • Jan 17, 2015 12:43am Jan 17, 2015 12:43am
Does this look like bullish or bearish formation or indecision?

USDCHF H1

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  • #951,506
  • Jan 17, 2015 12:50am Jan 17, 2015 12:50am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} We can joke about this shit but regulators are about to run thru this entire industry with a fine toothed comb. Rates being rigged, brokers blowing up, ponzi schemes.... Im having second thoughts on this as a career honestly purely for likely hammer of regulation thats about to fall after this
Think its that serious? Really?
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #951,507
  • Jan 17, 2015 1:07am Jan 17, 2015 1:07am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} see what happened with the chf 1.20 peg. at 1.2 was the place the snb wanted to hold for a artificial parity or an equalization for lack of a better term. at 1.2 the swiss were able to compete verse other esb countries. imagine the euro is a the same type peg within ez.. each ecb member is tied to 1 to 1 parity or equalization. it works well as a group against outside members for the ecb. the problem is within the group (ecb individual countries) . when a country like Germany has the better paying wages, and expects those poorer counties...
In time, all wages will be pretty much equal. Right now as it is, production of goods are outsourced to countries with low wages right? Well in the longer perspective, say 30 year cycles, the countries with low wages will see that they arent really getting paid in anything usefull. The high wages countries isnt really producing anything that in the long run is going to matter, and sooner or later this will become clear to the low wage countries. Sanctions, central bank chenanigans, wars and so forth can prolong this a couple of tens of years but to me sooner,or later the global economy will break down into smaller economies with only very limited international trade.

Also, in this mix is energy. I dont really see how todays consumption of energy through the use of oil and coal and nuclear power, could be replaced any time soon by other sources of energy. It CAN be replaced i am sure, but its going to take quite a long time. Take wind power for one, its a CRAP investment. But all the subsidising hides that fact, and all the "funny" accounting of what costs and what dont.

This conandrum with energy is another factor that is going to shatter the world economy into smaller economies, the fact that the freight ships cant be fueled as they used to, the fact that trucks cant be used for the harbor to customer stretch and the fact that electricity the nearest say 20 years are going to double or tripple in price as we change energy production into something that will work without fossil fuels and such.

Im not saying this is an ideological standpoint, im saying its a mathematical one relating to the fact that taking one thing of a certain weight and transporting it to another part of the world is something that requires energy. The fact that MORE people is being born while the reserves of energy (that we are using) seem to dwindle speeds up this process.
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #951,508
  • Jan 17, 2015 1:33am Jan 17, 2015 1:33am
Quoting yaed
{quote} In time, all wages will be pretty much equal. Right now as it is, production of goods are outsourced to countries with low wages right? Well in the longer perspective, say 30 year cycles, the countries with low wages will see that they arent really getting paid in anything usefull. The high wages countries isnt really producing anything that in the long run is going to matter, and sooner or later this will become clear to the low wage countries. Sanctions, central bank chenanigans, wars and so forth can prolong this a couple of tens of years...
Nice post Yaed, Yaed hope you had a good Christmas and a Happy New Year, hope all good for you this year and for your family......

.....Also I wish a very god year for all here......
The Chonchy
  • #951,509
  • Jan 17, 2015 1:46am Jan 17, 2015 1:46am
Quoting Ken A
Does this look like bullish or bearish formation or indecision? USDCHF H1 {image}
Indecision. It is within the range of that outside bar. I would wait for a breakout.
If you are good at something, never do it for free--Joker
  • #951,510
  • Jan 17, 2015 2:26am Jan 17, 2015 2:26am
Quoting chonchy
{quote} Nice post Yaed, Yaed hope you had a good Christmas and a Happy New Year, hope all good for you this year and for your family...... .....Also I wish a very god year for all here......
Yo C my man! Hows things!? Hope all is well.
Me, my asshole just expanded to the size of Kansas yesterday at 10´o clock ish when my unreliable scumbag broker Alpari decided to hog my friggin money as they went insolvent!
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #951,511
  • Jan 17, 2015 4:31am Jan 17, 2015 4:31am
So whatdo you think guys will be on Thursday? It seems that Dragi will make QE so the eur/usd ges down immediately to 1.1 or it will wait until the USA rate somewhere on March -April?
  • #951,512
  • Jan 17, 2015 5:26am Jan 17, 2015 5:26am
Quoting 21vs7
{quote} you killed it several times so no worriez u were again rite on the dead bounce

GU to 1,7..why?
Just being cautious after seeing what happened - so I put buy stop above 1.63 to have some sense of security to protect the short above.

Quoting jmn5611
{quote} Indecision. It is within the range of that outside bar. I would wait for a breakout.
Too late - already long

So far +140 pips


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  • #951,513
  • Jan 17, 2015 7:20am Jan 17, 2015 7:20am
Quoting OnlineAddict
... But its same as stealing or killing, until someone proves you did it, you are all clean. ... not sure about freedom of speech, democracy, . we don't have any of those........the world is as it is and it won't change anytime soon, .... We are all humans and should see situations like these through human eyes, because without it, we are just as bad as the people who cause these catastrophes and profit from them with a smile on their faces.
Nice speech mate. I especially like quoted parts . Bit of trading speech, but mainly so human. Many people tell me I am bastard taking advantage of crisis. Thats not what I do, I feel like I was selling apples on marketplace. Am selling good apples , I dont want to rob anyone. Think the best speech I ve heard to this topic.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #951,514
  • Jan 17, 2015 7:30am Jan 17, 2015 7:30am
Reports some in the BOJ growing anxious about continued bond buying … is a change coming?

if its true, uj may delay bullish after fed raise the rate?
  • #951,515
  • Jan 17, 2015 7:43am Jan 17, 2015 7:43am
Quoting OnlineAddict
Ok, keeping my plan for next week...long first and then short by the end of asian session. I would like to congratulate all the banks who earned trillions of dollars this week by stealing from retail and brokers. Also those private investors who had no clue about this happening and accidentally moved all the billions to Switzerland in december, what a lucky coincidence. Everybody is right, forex market is fair and honest, there is no manipulation and banks have no power at all, they are the innocent victims and big bank owners are the nicest people...
Yep but mind its not just private investors, investment banks and other insiders. Its brokers aswell. Many brokers started with big de-leveraging of CHF pairs 2 weeks ahead of this SNB decision, i dont believe in such coincidences. They could have shared their thoughts with their depositors for start.
  • #951,516
  • Jan 17, 2015 8:05am Jan 17, 2015 8:05am
Quoting Ken A
Does this look like bullish or bearish formation or indecision? USDCHF H1 {image}
I don't like the colors...





Look Sharp/Trade Tight
  • #951,517
  • Jan 17, 2015 8:16am Jan 17, 2015 8:16am
Quoting PayTheLimit
{quote} I don't like the colors...
I think you are right - was S/O 2x probably the color (taboo)

Hope this one will make few hundred pips

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  • #951,518
  • Jan 17, 2015 8:38am Jan 17, 2015 8:38am
LOL, trendline, cycles, s/r, ect. ect... what is this? Satan's Revenge? 15/01/2015 after this event, nothing will ever be the same. 14:37 GMT 17/01/2015.
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  • #951,519
  • Edited 9:06am Jan 17, 2015 8:40am | Edited 9:06am
Quoting yaed
This conandrum with energy is another factor that is going to shatter the world economy into smaller economies,
Nice sci-fi Yaed. What you say to diversified sources through world? Think all countries have same knowledge, same raw materials, same work efficiency?

International trade could and should be helping everyone. It is still not evolved enough, so the dark side of evolution is unfortunately Western corporations abusing their information advantage to rob the rest of the world, so in the end they can as well say FO West, we are gonna be on our own. But thats not gonna shatter world, the´r just gonna trade between themselves. In the very long run, it is best for everyone to trade with everyone.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #951,520
  • Edited 8:52am Jan 17, 2015 8:41am | Edited 8:52am
Quoting MarkoTrd
LOL, trendline, cycles, s/r, ect. ect... what is this? Satan's Revenge? 15/01/2015 after this event, nothing will ever be the same. 14:37 GMT 17/01/2015.


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1421505227


Nope, it's for prosperity - I think FF consulted Feng Shui Master .......

Pls don't ask how I know




feng shui
noun

  1. (in Chinese thought) a system of laws considered to govern spatial arrangement and orientation in relation to the flow of energy (qi), and whose favorable or unfavorable effects are taken into account when siting and designing buildings.

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