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  • #951,361
  • Edited 10:48am Jan 16, 2015 10:38am | Edited 10:48am
lunch bbl

Broke down and did the calculation on if I decided to hold that last short I had....

damn.
  • #951,362
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:38am Jan 16, 2015 10:38am
Quoting gatorinla
{quote} whats the calculation change of people having to convert euros to swiss. to now pay a mortgage? ec was above 1.2 and now 1 ish, and may drop even more. many in places with already bad ez economies like Greece will default. many defaults will be absorbed by the Swiss bank holding that mortgage. in turn those swiss banks will sell those bad debt properties at a discount. those discounts will weigh on all the nearby property values. and those will affect the mortgage value of those financed through a European bank. This can be systemic for...
Actually, i was going to ask you about this, but you just said what i was going to ask so... thanks.
I value your sentiment.
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #951,363
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:40am Jan 16, 2015 10:40am
lmao fxcm after losing 225m USD after that chf break... Is now up for sale for 300million usd...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
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  • #951,364
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:40am Jan 16, 2015 10:40am
Looks like good risk reward opp. Took long @ 1.1500 SL 1.1450 TP open
  • #951,365
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:40am Jan 16, 2015 10:40am
The EUR/USD dropped over 100 pips today and reached 1.1460. It looks like nothing can stop or slow the pair down any more, but the more it falls, the more suspicious I feel. It cannot fall forever and correction should start sooner or later.
  • #951,366
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:41am Jan 16, 2015 10:41am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Mate, under my brilliant zone, there is only air . You got very nice hit with that ,158x, dunno how you figure out these extensions, but now, shall I use supports from 1997? Well ofc am gonna do that, but its gonna be just averages of waves to get general direction. Dont have any hard numbers here. Edit: Anyway, while talking bout it, am gonna need to do recount. Imo SNB mixed cards more than expected....
May 2003. Its both a tech support and more importantly I have it mark in my fundamental chart. The FA support is made on interest rates differentials... A quarter after that the rates started to diverge between the ecb and fed. 1.144x / 1.158. Is macro area and is empty (nobody is holding these levels obviously so don't expect h4 or even daily and below to run in one go...Sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #951,367
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:42am Jan 16, 2015 10:42am
Quoting Paulenok
~190 pips today already, if we are to reach yesterday's range we would need to drop to 1.143 RSI at 14.7 on daily TF, last time it happened in 2008
out of the long and done for the day.

now this is interesting sequence though, so yesterday's low was 1.1567 it then bounced to 1.1645, thus making 78pips bounce
today's low so far - 1.1458 and if we rebound equally the same, that would make possible tiny resistance at 1.1536, but then again we've not reached yesterday's range of 210 pips, hence some ceiling may be found at 1.1556
  • #951,368
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:42am Jan 16, 2015 10:42am
Quoting victoriajen
The EUR/USD dropped over 100 pips today and reached 1.1460. It looks like nothing can stop or slow the pair down any more, but the more it falls, the more suspicious I feel. It cannot fall forever and correction should start sooner or later.
It can easily keep falling until ECB next week...
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #951,369
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:45am Jan 16, 2015 10:45am
Quoting pedro319
{quote} EURAUD 1200 pips and if AUDUSD goes accordingly we can have many more to come before EURUSD finds support, 1.1466 could hold it a bit.
EURAUD
Sell off continues and so far I don't see anything meaningful in terms of support apart from 1.3748, 0.5 Ret whole swing Monthly chart and that would be a good test.

EURUSD
1.1466 is ext 3.618 D1 + MS1 + YS1, bounce is natural, reversal is possible as well, breaking down will bring 1.10, 100% extension ABCD Monthly chart.

AUDUSD
PA is not very impressive but there were no changes to previous outlook.

USDJPY
As long last swing high H4 remains I am still looking at 115.
We watch the charts from every angle so you don't have to!!
  • #951,370
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:47am Jan 16, 2015 10:47am
Quoting victoriajen
The EUR/USD dropped over 100 pips today and reached 1.1460. It looks like nothing can stop or slow the pair down any more, but the more it falls, the more suspicious I feel. It cannot fall forever and correction should start sooner or later.
The million dollar question is WHEN ... IMO ... never think that everything that falls MUST come up ... the Market is Always Right.
  • #951,371
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:49am Jan 16, 2015 10:49am
This week was one of the best weeks for me on my entire Forex trading time!
Without an edge MM is useless!
  • #951,372
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:50am Jan 16, 2015 10:50am
closing above 1.1489 4H TF would mean up for a short term possibly to start next week. I'm just worries they shoot the market the same as what happened to CHF yesterday...
  • #951,373
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:51am Jan 16, 2015 10:51am
Quoting victoriajen
The EUR/USD dropped over 100 pips today and reached 1.1460. It looks like nothing can stop or slow the pair down any more, but the more it falls, the more suspicious I feel. It cannot fall forever and correction should start sooner or later.
You will know when the fall will end if the fundamental noise starts to change to be supportive of Eurusd, but the fundamentals right now is actually adding pace to eurusd collapse.... Dont feel suspicious because this shit is real...
If eurusd was falling but fundamentals were pointing at bad employment data from US (which isnt the case noe) and that europe doesnt have any deflationary pressure(which isnt the case again) then id agree that eurusd fall doesnt make sense...
Right now its still making sense... News out of europe is far worse than US....
So yea eurusd continuing lower makes sense!
Now pls stop overthinking it...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #951,374
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:54am Jan 16, 2015 10:54am
Quoting FxMegaCB
closing above 1.1489 4H TF would mean up for a short term possibly to start next week. I'm just worries they shoot the market the same as what happened to CHF yesterday...
I think a close below 1.15 will cause a gap down...and after an almost 200 pip move today, it won't be a 5 pip gap.
Everyone can see the chart, but only a few can actually read it.
  • #951,375
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:55am Jan 16, 2015 10:55am
Quoting goldfinch
Alpari has several entities, only Alpari (UK) has seized trading the others are still up and running and are not covered by FCA capital requirements so don't need to hold the amount of cash that Alpari (UK) does.
Well ok but if you have you money stored at a company where their branch busted all clients only coz they needed to meet requirements they knew about all the time, would you still have your money there? I sure would not.
Besides: Infection is spreading through company.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #951,376
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:59am Jan 16, 2015 10:59am
alpari and fxcm are by far the worse brokers ive seen... No jokes, remembered the good old time when profitable traders had their profits seized away by them.
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #951,377
  • Jan 16, 2015 10:59am Jan 16, 2015 10:59am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} You will know when the fall will end if the fundamental noise starts to change to be supportive of Eurusd, but the fundamentals right now is actually adding pace to eurusd collapse.... Dont feel suspicious because this shit is real... If eurusd was falling but fundamentals were pointing at bad employment data from US (which isnt the case noe) and that europe doesnt have any deflationary pressure(which isnt the case again) then id agree that eurusd fall doesnt make sense... Right now its still making sense... News out of europe is far worse...
well said. I think this makes clear sense to me... yet not sure if the crazies will do the same to EUR as CHF
you see it is only CAD and EUR falling badly, not other currencies... so I doubt they will keep falling... there are eyes on them...
  • #951,378
  • Jan 16, 2015 11:02am Jan 16, 2015 11:02am
Well a gap down on monday and upto 1.1360 before ECB announcements ........ there is no way it gets above 1.1600 before that.
Everything you want lies on the other side of fear.
  • #951,379
  • Jan 16, 2015 11:06am Jan 16, 2015 11:06am
Trying to get a grasp on this fxcm stuff. Is fxcm saying that after their clients stops were jumped and the accounts wiped out, their clients still owe them money? Seems like it to me. May be off base but wtf. It would be real hard to get me to pony up if my broker says...your account is gone but u still owe us.
  • #951,380
  • Jan 16, 2015 11:07am Jan 16, 2015 11:07am
loving pin bar 1.146 go Ms. Euro.
----- Dragonfly out in the sun you know what I mean, don't you know
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