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  • #950,501
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:27am Jan 15, 2015 4:27am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} Ta fuckign Da..... predicted the EURCHF peg to collapse like all the way back...
You have a huge ego mate ...which is not necessarily a bad thing for trading but this time you either went a bit over the top with that comment because of the excitement of the last move or you are the next Soros. I hope its the latter.

In any case, related to the pair and you comment on parity. 1.186x is the Quarterly level that need to be broken (broken in Quarterly charts ...a couple of months left) in order to open parity for the end of the year. In my book that is still in the nice analysis move and not in the trading plan yet. We'll see later.

sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
  • #950,502
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:27am Jan 15, 2015 4:27am
Quoting KGP
{quote} i believe parity is closer than what you predict...i doubt this move happened without super mario knowing... and i am not talking about a 15min notice... so they want to get there fast...
dude i shifted my Forecast of EURUSD to reach parity from 2-3 years later to end of Q4 2015.... you're telling me im still being too conservative?? well if FED begins hiking rates earlier than april... omfg...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #950,503
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:28am Jan 15, 2015 4:28am
Quoting sisse
{quote} You have a huge ego mate ...which is not necessarily a bad thing for trading but this time you either went a bit over the top with that comment because of the excitement of the last move or you are the next Soros. I hope its the latter. In any case, related to the pair and you comment on parity. 1.186x is the Quarterly level that need to be broken (broken in Quarterly charts ...a couple of months left) in order to open parity for the end of the year. In my book that is still in the nice analysis move and not in the trading plan yet. We'll...
This time fxtyrant nailed it...for one of the 2 reasons you said...but it's his moment
  • #950,504
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:28am Jan 15, 2015 4:28am
Because the market was depressed in bed and wait for the news
  • #950,505
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:29am Jan 15, 2015 4:29am
When the fuck it calm down all? i need back my spread not 30 pips
  • #950,506
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:29am Jan 15, 2015 4:29am
Quoting sisse
{quote} You have a huge ego mate ...which is not necessarily a bad thing for trading but this time you either went a bit over the top with that comment because of the excitement of the last move or you are the next Soros. I hope its the latter. In any case, related to the pair and you comment on parity. 1.186x is the Quarterly level that need to be broken (broken in Quarterly charts ...a couple of months left) in order to open parity for the end of the year. In my book that is still in the nice analysis move and not in the trading plan yet. We'll...
im calm but i was actually surprised how long it took the SNB to give up that peg... im beginning to wonder if SNB got the best bang for the buck for droppign the parity....
history taught us that SNB pegs dont last very long.... last time their peg to deutsche mark was a failure too....
i love how history repeats itself....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #950,507
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:29am Jan 15, 2015 4:29am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} well if FED begins hiking rates earlier than april... omfg...
Hell will freeze over first :nerd:
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #950,508
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:29am Jan 15, 2015 4:29am
Quoting pinktrade
{quote} Why do you have a TP? I think if it's only 15 pips you watch your trades anyway. The EU was a short all along and ticks were predicting the nice move down.
Because I'm not always at my desk watching this screen - I have a business to run as well - and it wasn't 15 pips, I made 290 but, of course, could have made soooo much more. The question remains though, what did I miss a few minutes earlier that made the move obvious?
  • #950,509
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:30am Jan 15, 2015 4:30am
Quoting Lavanda
{quote} Look the USD/CHF, 2000 points isn'it? But as EU and UCHF goes in opposite direction. What has happened? Everybody has bought CHF and has sold EUR and GBP as I can see.. What do you think?
Lavanda i has 7000 pips move on USDCHF, if counting from top its actually 9000. EU and UCHF were counter pairs before, but now with CHF going free float things have changed. I am now forced to no longer use USDCHF as clean dollar strenght example of chart becouse impact of CHF will be too significant on it along with all other CHF pairs. USDX is now only chart to measure dollar in general.
Good news is we can add CHF pairs onto trading as very strong trading menu. From moves of SNB one can expect CHF to strenghten even due to rate cut, so this drop on EURCHF is not yet over.
  • #950,510
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:31am Jan 15, 2015 4:31am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} im calm but i was actually surprised how long it took the SNB to give up that peg... im beginning to wonder if SNB got the best bang for the buck for droppign the parity.... history taught us that SNB pegs dont last very long.... last time their peg to deutsche mark was a failure too.... i love how history repeats itself....

Hi FX

HNY!

So how long till its a failure last time?
  • #950,511
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:31am Jan 15, 2015 4:31am
http://www.swissinfo.ch/eng/snb-may-...iling/41210794
Whenever i buy the price goes up & whenever i sell the the price goes down!
  • #950,512
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:31am Jan 15, 2015 4:31am
the broker SPREAD ++ on OANDA ? why the close / lock usd/chf ? i put long 2position
  • #950,513
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:32am Jan 15, 2015 4:32am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} What bothers me that if I had a trade running, even with a SL, moves like this happen so fast, they simply wipe the account. I mean...we already know the rich morons play with the market as they wish to fuck with everyone's money, but this is beyond acceptable, this should be illegal. And the Swiss just fucked the whole week for all pairs...I am out until monday, don't want to be involved in this.
Soon you will hear it from the press.

My recommendation: Watch NY response today and act accordingly. Until then watch 1690 reaction.
  • #950,514
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:32am Jan 15, 2015 4:32am
Quoting fxtyrant
{quote} dude i shifted my Forecast of EURUSD to reach parity from 2-3 years later to end of Q4 2015.... you're telling me im still being too conservative?? well if FED begins hiking rates earlier than april... omfg...
you believe today it was "chosen" by accident? we all new that SNB would try (at least) to defend the peg and at the end would fail...

so i believe it was a consensus of SNB and ECB at least... and FED at least was informed...

so yes they want things to "move fast"
  • #950,515
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:33am Jan 15, 2015 4:33am
Tyrant with all respect I have to tell you you are boasting here like a primitive. Call that SNB canīt hold the peg is totally useless. CB can never stand against market for long time, they always give up. Market is just stronger in long term and Swiss are small country. So it was obvious they cant hold the peg. The only important question was when and I didnt see you giving that answer. Nevertheless, I hope you ve made some real cash out of the move so you can have a relax therapy and calm down.

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #950,516
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:34am Jan 15, 2015 4:34am
Quoting OnlineAddict
{quote} What bothers me that if I had a trade running, even with a SL, moves like this happen so fast, they simply wipe the account. I mean...we already know the rich morons play with the market as they wish to fuck with everyone's money, but this is beyond acceptable, this should be illegal. And the Swiss just fucked the whole week for all pairs...I am out until monday, don't want to be involved in this.
Agree about that too. When a situation is liek that- beyond your control no matter how unprecedented- it's just scary when you've got so much at stake.

Anyway, my most of my U/J profits went underwater but I'm still holding- tracking stocks to tell.
  • #950,517
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:35am Jan 15, 2015 4:35am
CHF shake the Eur market Orz
i just balance the short EUR/USD @ 1.17561 after 5 Min it down to near 115.XX
the market is kidding me .....
  • #950,518
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:36am Jan 15, 2015 4:36am
Quoting twellve
{quote} Hi FX HNY! So how long till its a failure last time?
read for yourself.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/25b2e...#axzz3Osw9HHve
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #950,519
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:36am Jan 15, 2015 4:36am
my broker disabled trade while fluctuations ,i don know why,..
  • #950,520
  • Jan 15, 2015 4:36am Jan 15, 2015 4:36am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
Tyrant with all respect I have to tell you you are boasting here like a primitive. Call that SNB canīt hold the peg is totally useless. CB can never stand against market for long time, they always give up. Market is just stronger in long term and Swiss are small country. So it was obvious they cant hold the peg. The only important question was when and I didnt see you giving that answer. Nevertheless, I hope you ve made some real cash out of the move so you can have a relax therapy and calm down. T
well read buddy. read.

besides when doesnt matter. you think George Soros made big money on the Deutsche mark, GBP break up being precise? no. he was convicted even if it meant that he holds for years...
besides short EURCHF actually is a positve swap interest. sooo shorting EURCHF against the peg actually makes you money as you hold it longer and longer....

history repeats itself...
only thing is SNB did it with the Deutsch Mark before.
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/25b2e...#axzz3Osw9HHve
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
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