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  • #949,641
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:30am Jan 13, 2015 6:30am
Quoting Paulenok
it is fair to say that there is very little growth in EU and so banks are reluctant to lend as they are either lacking liquidity or became so risk averse that ECB has nowhere else to go but relieve banks off their debts
No, imo now this should be business of the state. It is actually quite hard topic whether State vs CB and BP,ER vs inflation. Who controls what huh? There are different economic theories for this, but since ECB has did its best to boost EU economy, I think it is time for politicians to do their bit. Thats all. Previous schemes already proved banks are risk averse in contracting enviromet - what a surprise.

Quoting Paulenok
Also how do you provide liquidity by pushing financial institutions away and so directly to businesses?
As ECB is bank of banks - I really dont know how to push liquidity and skip banking sector, apart from participating on primary market and directly buy state bonds = monetization.
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #949,642
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:35am Jan 13, 2015 6:35am
I should have stayed in my short position. I think that as we move into tomorrow Eur usd will fall
  • #949,643
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:40am Jan 13, 2015 6:40am
Quoting slayeruk
I should have stayed in my short position. I think that as we move into tomorrow Eur usd will fall
Well if you think so, why dont you short now?
I would if i knew it was going to be lower tommorrow. I dont so im not going to do that.
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #949,644
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:41am Jan 13, 2015 6:41am
Quoting slayeruk
I should have stayed in my short position. I think that as we move into tomorrow Eur usd will fall
carefull about rejection.. btw GL bro..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #949,645
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:47am Jan 13, 2015 6:47am
It has made sort of a nice average range today, maybe 15 pip more south would complete the average D1 ATR reading or some such.

On the other hand, yesterday was a pretty movy, shaky bit of a monday, so 130 pip range today might not be so strange.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: d1 atr.jpg Size: 112 KB


Though i wouldnt buy this even under gunpoint. Ok if it was a 45. maybe
My signature is: "Classified".
  • #949,646
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:48am Jan 13, 2015 6:48am
Quoting sisse
I personally don't think is the right time (short term wise meaning daily/weekly) to load anything with the main trends at these levels... GL. sisse
You may be as well right as usually. In my charts monthly didnt test breakzone @ ,217 and imo it should after bounce of the zone where we are now ,187 - ,164. The reason am loading is that am trying to load as much as possible above mid - beeing @ ,176 for the case we get to bottom of zone and ECB delivers its betaversion. For the case we break, I wanna be in, but am very carefull with loading and keep it tight in case we shoot to correct.

Thank you my mentor ,

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #949,647
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:48am Jan 13, 2015 6:48am
damned m15 indicated to buy.. it make me uncomfortable.. mean more waiting again for me.. still looking for sign to sell again..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #949,648
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:49am Jan 13, 2015 6:49am
Quoting slayeruk
{quote} Ichimoku is a good indicator and for sure, I use it myself, its very simple to understand, what I am saying is that trading on a 1m time frame based on cloud breaks alone is a recipe for disaster, and its a well known strategy, try it and see, I am just trying to help. In fact trading based on indicators alone is a very bad strategy all together, i don't claim to know everything, just from my experience there are no magic indicators, delete all your indicators and trade without them for a while you will learn a whole lot more.
Reply a bit late, but agree with your statement 100%
  • #949,649
  • Jan 13, 2015 6:51am Jan 13, 2015 6:51am
Quoting Devonsent
Long EU at 1797, SL 1775, TP 1840 Long GBP at 5093, SL 5073, TP 5182
Closed GBP at 5164 for +71
. . . . and just got stopped out on EU for -20
Damn!
Still, happy to be +50 on the deal
  • #949,650
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:00am Jan 13, 2015 7:00am
Euro set for further decline, I think it will go 1:1 with dollar
  • #949,651
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:00am Jan 13, 2015 7:00am
will the trend line give some support? open long position here. i do not think it will make new low today.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD.jpg Size: 261 KB
A chart helps those who can read it.
  • #949,652
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:06am Jan 13, 2015 7:06am
On the break of 1.1770, the 1.1670 becomes an immediate support for the EU.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH4.png Size: 31 KB
  • #949,653
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:10am Jan 13, 2015 7:10am
Quoting geniusztc
open long position here.
Damn, how much you bought Murdoch? You ve moved the market!
Edit: Really thanks Genius. Your bid just cost me one nice evening on floating
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #949,654
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:11am Jan 13, 2015 7:11am
Bnee chopping around in this range for a while now, ive been getting stopped out at BE over and over trying to buy.


Trying it again here at 1.1780, sl below 1.1750.



With oil falling this fast it aint good for the US economy in the short run
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #949,655
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:12am Jan 13, 2015 7:12am
EU target 805, after touch possibly further down towards h4 support.
  • #949,656
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:26am Jan 13, 2015 7:26am
Quoting Citiboy
With oil falling this fast it aint good for the US economy in the short run
We ve been talking bout this issue here, perhaps you will like it:
Quoting janpec1000
You know for Roman-Gallic wars in 0-50 AD? What Romans did they went on invasion and every village they passed, they burned all wheat and food behind it. It caused massive problems for Roman army an nearby provincial people due to starvation, but it caused 10 times more problems for Gauls, becouse they simply have no food, and as most towns were under siege there was just no food comming in. In the end Gauls cracked. Apply that to Oil US-Russia.
The conclusion is - more sides are harmed - not easy task to see flow.
T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #949,657
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:37am Jan 13, 2015 7:37am
i wouldn't suggest buying
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #949,658
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:39am Jan 13, 2015 7:39am
Lower oil is good for the US over the long term, but if you consider the amount/scale of the investment that has been poured into texas/north dakota the last 5 years... to have that all suddenly crash is gonna be a net negative for GDP in the short run.


the rig count fall last week was pretty astounding. the amount of jobs in question here are relatively small, but include things like the rookie welder a few years outta chool making 140k that the WSJ profiled last week. The shale revolution produced tons of VERY high paying jobs.


Payrolls growth wont be affected, but average hourly earnings will probably plunge in coming months.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #949,659
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:45am Jan 13, 2015 7:45am
Quoting Paulenok
1.17680 is still valid from yesterday
Was expecting this to happen yesterday, it turned out that NY had other opinion on that

since we reached this level, interesting to see how it behaves around it
  • #949,660
  • Jan 13, 2015 7:48am Jan 13, 2015 7:48am
Quoting Citiboy
Lower oil is good for the US over the long term, but if you consider the amount/scale of the investment that has been poured into texas/north dakota the last 5 years... to have that all suddenly crash is gonna be a net negative for GDP in the short run. .
It is starting to look like Infinitus has it all in there. It is just two pages after my latest quote. Wrote by - who else than Tyler on Zerohedge
Quoting infinitus
Another great reading: Oil Price Blowback: Is Putin Creating A New World Order?
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
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