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News trading discussion - continuation

  • #21
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:10am Jan 7, 2015 11:10am
FOMS
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #22
  • Jan 7, 2015 1:51pm Jan 7, 2015 1:51pm
Quoting kwiatek
what would be your average slippage on those news trades?
this depends only on your broker

Indeed, it only depends on broker,
What's your average slippage, than?
  • #23
  • Jan 7, 2015 4:36pm Jan 7, 2015 4:36pm
AUDUSD
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #24
  • Jan 7, 2015 5:57pm Jan 7, 2015 5:57pm
vvFish what is the system you are using to do news trading?
  • #25
  • Jan 7, 2015 7:24pm Jan 7, 2015 7:24pm
For some traders came here accidentally link to the old branch of the trade on the news: http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=493948
The first page should read this book.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #26
  • Jan 8, 2015 7:35am Jan 8, 2015 7:35am
GAZ
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #27
  • Jan 8, 2015 3:48pm Jan 8, 2015 3:48pm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #28
  • Jan 8, 2015 4:36pm Jan 8, 2015 4:36pm
AUDUSD
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #29
  • Jan 9, 2015 12:19am Jan 9, 2015 12:19am
US Number of employed outside agriculture
US Non-Farm Employment Change

In order to understand how to trade the pair reacts to varying degrees of deviation from the fact that news of its forecast, see a visual table of statistics reactions
US Number of employed outside agriculture
date
Deviation from the fact that the news of her prognosis (US Non-Farm Employment Change)
Deviation from the fact that the news of her prognosis (US Unemployment Rate)
Reaction trading pairs in paragraphs
Comments
07/11/2014 81 -21 -0.1 sharp reaction to the fall of 81 points, but then rolled back to 35 puntkov reaction. Went for a couple of minutes to 50 n.
03/10/2014 33 68 -0.2 Growth couples
05/09/2014 0 -88 26-35 Fall couple
01.08.2014 -21 0.1 28-35 Fall couples
07/03/2014 73 28 -0.2 Growth couples
06/06/2014 2 -0.1 25-25 spiking
02/05/2014 Height 70.5 -0.3 50 pairs
04.04.2014 -8 0.1 30-45 Fall couples rollback five minutes for all movement
07.03.2014 26.5 0.1 52 Height couples
02.07.2014 -67 -0.1 60-100 Palen couples with third minute to complete rollback pozheraniya all primary pulse.
10/01/2014 -123 -0.3 55-> 40 rollback Conflict
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #30
  • Jan 9, 2015 1:39am Jan 9, 2015 1:39am
GBPUSD
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #31
  • Jan 9, 2015 1:51am Jan 9, 2015 1:51am
Quoting vvFish
GBPUSD {image} {image}
Why were minus my friend? It was a sell order. Wide spread or slippage? :/
  • #32
  • Jan 9, 2015 2:18am Jan 9, 2015 2:18am
Quoting Lizardman
{quote} Why were minus my friend? It was a sell order. Wide spread or slippage? :/
knocked stop
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #33
  • Jan 9, 2015 5:43am Jan 9, 2015 5:43am
Non-Farm
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Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #34
  • Jan 9, 2015 5:49am Jan 9, 2015 5:49am
All a good weekend.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #35
  • Jan 9, 2015 10:31am Jan 9, 2015 10:31am
Tuesday
10:30
01/13/15
SE Consumer Price Index
(SE CPI), Sweden, EURSEK
Average response when triggered flip-flops 50.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades

Tuesday
11:30
01/13/15
GB Consumer Price Index GOOD
(GB CPI), England, GBPUSD
Average response when triggered flip-flops 30.00 points in the first minute after the release.
25% probability trades.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #36
  • Jan 12, 2015 12:52pm Jan 12, 2015 12:52pm
Thoughts on "smart traders"
Trend inflation is putting pressure on the key central banks

2015 announced a year of rising interest rates and a year of monetary tightening, but there are still a number of factors that constantly push back the timing of such action. One is inflation, and falling oil prices - another spoke in the wheel despite the optimism on the part of business.
Goldman Sachs today his predictions seem to have provoked the subsequent drop in oil prices. "Goldman" felt that the $ 40 per barrel will reduce the investment in shale oil, and as you know one of the theories of falling oil prices - the desire to kill shale extraction.
All we have heard three theories fall in oil prices:
1. Kill slate
2. The plot in the plane of sanctions
3. Weak China.

On the one hand, business (US and Europe) does not have time to count savings from falling gasoline prices, and growth, in connection with this investment in their development. On the other hand, there are risks of reducing inflation until deflation processes.
That is why, despite the reduction in unemployment in the US we do not see the imminent rise in interest rates, as we would like. At this rate of growth of the labor market the Fed should have raised over low rate to avoid overheating of the economy, but not now - the heat is cooled by weak wage growth and low inflation. Inflation does not respond to the increasing growth of the labor market that is not natural.
In Europe, the markets continue to speculate on the European program QE, from Monday morning blabbed to the fact that EUR fell again: presumably, this week, we will hear about the climax «QE negotiations", as reported by CNBC. Perhaps more closely with the news on the European, as always.
The same problem and with the British. GBPUSD rubs about year and a half minimum with the expectation of weak data on inflation, which in turn will force the Bank of England hold interest rates at a minimum level longer. Analysts believe that tomorrow, Tuesday, we will see a drop in the annual inflation rate below 1%, the forecast of 0.7%, with a target level of 2% of the regulator. Therefore, the pressure per pound saved.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #37
  • Jan 12, 2015 12:55pm Jan 12, 2015 12:55pm
tomorrow

GB Consumer Price Index
GB CPI
All the "charm" of trade on the GBP is that the British love to work traffic news. On the one hand, this is normal, and fits into a formula of "buy the rumor, sell the fact", on the other hand can actually trim the size of the instant pulse at the time of publication of news.
We have already talked with you about the problems of low inflation, in particular, and for the sterling including read necessarily link before you finish reading this review.
The risk is that this situation (low inflation) already digested markets, and when it really will be served at the table, hear the cry: "We have been satisfied." And this satiety can be multiplied by the "seat of the» gbpusd at the moment: the pair now at multi-month lows, and the lower the dig, the harder the soil. Psychologically, the couple can stay in place for some time that the unsatisfactory during pulse trade - this is true for all areas of the pulse.
The reaction to the fact that less than the forecast may be brighter as sufficient reduction in CPI will entail a shift timing expectations of an increase in interest rates. Height above the forecast may be unexpected, but it will not be sufficient for small deviations - the target level of 2% of the Bank of England, and from it we "get out as much as where" indicator forecast 0.7% year performance.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #38
  • Jan 12, 2015 5:31pm Jan 12, 2015 5:31pm
Quoting vvFish
tomorrow GB Consumer Price Index GB CPI All the "charm" of trade on the GBP is that the British love to work traffic news. On the one hand, this is normal, and fits into a formula of "buy the rumor, sell the fact", on the other hand can actually trim the size of the instant pulse at the time of publication of news. We have already talked with you about the problems of low inflation, in particular, and for the sterling including read necessarily link before you finish reading this review. The risk is that this situation (low inflation) already digested...
Hi VVfish,
Thanks for those great works!

Could you please share the broker you are using?
  • #39
  • Jan 12, 2015 10:49pm Jan 12, 2015 10:49pm
Quoting selfoe
{quote} Hi VVfish, Thanks for those great works! Could you please share the broker you are using?
Thank you for the kind words my friend.
Articles you read some news before write "smart traders" on some news sites.
Only the price on the chart can show the entrance to the deal...
  • #40
  • Jan 13, 2015 1:36am Jan 13, 2015 1:36am
GBPUSD
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