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  • #948,301
  • Edited 11:08am Jan 7, 2015 10:48am | Edited 11:08am
Quoting Citiboy
Im mainly looking at Eurozone core inflation moving higher in today's release, theres a real argument that QE either shouldnt happen or if it does it will be disappointingly small.
Yes, I know, but aint looking at core inflation, coz thats not the issue in Europe. It is cleared of many products CB cant affect - like for example mortgages, but also seasonal goods, like food. It is wrong asset management in Europe (call it little bubbless). Slowing growth combined with slowly popping mortgage bubble is draging all these assets down. Thats where deflation is. So EU needs to a) fake some more on real estate b) get cash to business - not an easy task.

Quoting Citiboy
A one time plunge in oil doesn't warrant a controversial bond buying program,...
Am not talking of bond buying program and think neither they do,

T
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #948,302
  • Jan 7, 2015 10:50am Jan 7, 2015 10:50am
Quoting bluesuccess
{quote} Hi, many people suggested alot of things but nothing worked out. I am hedged at this point! I dont mind waiting! But i fear when FXtrynt keeps calling for parity! I dont know what to do ! Closings sells first would be better or buys! I am stuck!
Nothing suggested by others will work even if it's FxTyrant. Because it's your money and your trade, you should rely only on your own decision to enter and exit a trade. But at the point where you are, if I was you, I'll not take any decision before FOMC, I'll wait and pray for some respite with the outcome of FOMC, but it may as well increase your losses.

quote=bluesuccess;7978942]{quote} I have hedged them as i was running out of margin/money! I might add some more equity to get hedges clear but people suggested not to do so! I dont know! What to do![/quote]

Dont do that. The first lesson and not the easiest (I admit) is to learn to take losses, if one day, you want to be in situation for taking profits. Take time to understand what was wrong in your trading before taking new entries and risking fresh earned moneys. You have plenty of free materials here.

Karmas for you.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,303
  • Jan 7, 2015 10:51am Jan 7, 2015 10:51am
Quoting Citiboy
Stocks are obviously correlated to USDJPY, but I think that correlation could spread to EURUSD if QE turns out to be a dissapointment. Im bearish stocks anyway based on falling oil and less accommodation from central banks. I think a lot more than people realize is currently riding on ECB QE, not just FX but global yields and stocks. If they don't deliver the implications are huge
Good points. Germany looking fairly strong too. Could see a nice correction. Just going to sit out EU for a while or only play intra day
  • #948,304
  • Jan 7, 2015 10:57am Jan 7, 2015 10:57am
I added to longs....



*GERMANY OPEN TO GREEK DEBT TALKS AFTER ELECTION, LAWMAKERS SAY
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #948,305
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:00am Jan 7, 2015 11:00am
Quoting Citiboy
I added to longs.... *GERMANY OPEN TO GREEK DEBT TALKS AFTER ELECTION, LAWMAKERS SAY

Finally someone told to lady Merkel about legal realities.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,306
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:02am Jan 7, 2015 11:02am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} . Also Ironic that Russia developed the largest nuke to date. Tsar Bomba
Do they have enough nuke to wipe out (and be mutually wiped out) the whole US ?
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,307
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:11am Jan 7, 2015 11:11am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Finally someone told to lady Merkel about legal realities.
I thought she'd gone to the museum in London?
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #948,308
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:14am Jan 7, 2015 11:14am
Quoting mrcreosote
{quote} I thought she'd gone to the museum in London?
What does that mean ?
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,309
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:16am Jan 7, 2015 11:16am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} Nothing suggested by others will work even if it's FxTyrant. Because it's your money and your trade, you should rely only on your own decision to enter and exit a trade. But at the point where you are, if I was you, I'll not take any decision before FOMC, I'll wait and pray for some respite with the outcome of FOMC, but it may as well increase your losses. quote=bluesuccess;7978942]{quote} I have hedged them as i was running out of margin/money! I might add some more equity to get hedges clear but people suggested not to do so! I dont know!... Dont do that. The first lesson and not the easiest (I admit) is to learn to take losses, if one day, you want to be in situation for taking profits. Take time to understand what was wrong in your trading before taking new entries and risking fresh earned moneys. You have plenty of free materials here. Karmas for you.
  • #948,310
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:18am Jan 7, 2015 11:18am
USDMXN short in setup, looking for low risk m1 setup. Even though on support RR is still great if played right.
http://prntscr.com/5plmg7
  • #948,311
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:19am Jan 7, 2015 11:19am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} I dont advocate knife catching in the typical since (price). But on a few fronts the drivers of this trend are starting to wobble
I'd only be tempted on a serious close above 1.1838 that would be on the back of profit taking. The Euro situation is looking really weak on all fronts with QE all but guaranteed on the back of miserly growth/deflation, fewer players wanting to sit on Euro's with their limited payoff, external risk factors (Greek 10 year yields edging toward 11 as we speak) and the Italian economy grim. Dollar is just looking a million bucks in comparison- you'd have to squint real hard to find a blemish at the moment.
  • #948,312
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:21am Jan 7, 2015 11:21am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} What does that mean ?
She's in London and she likes museums. Have you heard of 'the news'?
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #948,313
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:23am Jan 7, 2015 11:23am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote}
For me, yes, that was the most difficult part of the learning process. Admitting I'm wrong i.e to take the loss. Now my motto is everything is bullshit but the risk I accept to take, that is SL.
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,314
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:25am Jan 7, 2015 11:25am
Quoting mrcreosote
{quote} She's in London and she likes museums. Have you heard of 'the news'?
No, I stopped reading/watching news. And I feel much better since
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,315
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:26am Jan 7, 2015 11:26am
FOMC next.. lets the game begins im tired keep catching small pips.. i need huge pips..
the true currencies here is patience and react precisely
  • #948,316
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:27am Jan 7, 2015 11:27am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} No, I stopped reading/watching news. And I feel much better since
News moves markets....
Look they are trying to decide who is going to snog Merkel first
Attached Image
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #948,317
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:30am Jan 7, 2015 11:30am
Quoting TheNoob
{quote} OK today was a clear day, the PP is 1931, it is probably your mofu thing in bleue...the 1925 is trying to block access...the normal R at worse is 2020-30, notice this week we just built a new short term support... {image}
Today we broke the previous logic, the MFI failed to go down, it seems that the sellers are not confident enough to push the down button at this 1.18...let's see if we can retrace this to S2...the S3 is always the price...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: The threat.jpg Size: 255 KB
DONT ASK ME QUESTION, BUT U CAN BAN ME I DONT CARE!
  • #948,318
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:30am Jan 7, 2015 11:30am
Quoting maximinus
{quote}. Now my motto is everything is bullshit.
Bloody hell we've got something in common
used to be undecided but nowadays can't make my mind up
  • #948,319
  • Edited 11:47am Jan 7, 2015 11:34am | Edited 11:47am
Quoting nonlinear
{quote} Ideally a partial at 422, but I tend to take profit too early. Its fluid thoough, I will watch EU and AU and assess weekly
I closed it early, lol, that's the way it goes for me (expecting a reversal). Might take a short term long on EU. Edit: took a along a 182. Lets see (I must like knives but don't like losing $)
  • #948,320
  • Jan 7, 2015 11:35am Jan 7, 2015 11:35am
Quoting Citiboy
{quote} Im mainly looking at Eurozone core inflation moving higher in today's release, theres a real argument that QE either shouldnt happen or if it does it will be disappointingly small. A one time plunge in oil doesn't warrant a controversial bond buying program, especially if core CPI is nowhere near 0. In the US the latest sentiment numbers don't look good and seems like from every thing I have read that the shale related layoffs will start this month and continue thru the rest of the quarter. Additionally falling inflation is a concern. Moving...
WHAT?????? What are u talking about?....your comments are upside down or you are being ironic. EZ entered officially in Deflation with those numbers. Monetary policy wise is a screaming call for QE. Macroeconomic wise is almost a triple wammy: recession (just barely holding stagnate), deflation and high unemployment. Politically collapsing oil prices with deflation and no elections in Germany is almost a already decided QE without any concerns from Merkell...To add the cream on top US booming and FED QE gone with interest rates in the final line before a hike...sisse
Pending conversations? PM for a chat...I am mainly in OTM now
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