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  • #948,281
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:08am Jan 7, 2015 8:08am
  •  eggs
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Everybodys A Central Banker Here... | 819 Posts
Quoting Magicmen
Caution: Do not try this at home I am long @1.1805
Not in a house, Not with a mouse, Not in box, Not with a fox
  • #948,282
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:12am Jan 7, 2015 8:12am
Quoting Magicmen
Caution: Do not try this at home I am long @1.1805

I am in..
AM Signal Provider
  • #948,283
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:13am Jan 7, 2015 8:13am
Ive been trying to get long a few days now, got blasted a couple times.


Still buying here, will give up below 1.1740 and if fundamental picture changes. I think a rebound to 1.23 is possible from here
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #948,284
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:13am Jan 7, 2015 8:13am
Quoting bluesuccess
I am long from 1.37 Still holding them! IS there any point where we could see reversal? They are in massive losses! Views please?
O Lady, why have you kept open ? I fear that we will not see the 1.3 soon. I'm sorry for you.

Edit/ what is your buy power atm ? or what is your loss 50, 60, 90% ????
Don't be smart. Be rich.
  • #948,285
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:15am Jan 7, 2015 8:15am
  •  turnfx
  • | Joined Dec 2014 | Status: Only money management is the key of | 334 Posts | Online Now
I think it's time to bounce
  • #948,286
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:17am Jan 7, 2015 8:17am
Quoting Pharm0r
{quote} A lot of people simply don't grasp the imbalance of military power the US holds above other countries. They are literally the modern version of the Roman Empire- but if the Roman Empire was 2-5 times larger compared to the other militaries of its time. Nukes are the equalizer- thus why US lobbies so hard to keep them regulated. Ironic the US developed the weapon that can render all their hard work null and void. The silver lining being- nukes pretty much render whatever they hit useless for the next 200 years... Also Ironic that Russia developed...
Yep USA has actually strongest army ever to exists under empire, that counting all real assets of it agencies, mercenary armies, puppet states etc. But USA has one major advantage that Roman empire never had, its monetary empire, not being forced to capped sup-dem of currecy, which makes wars much more costly and harder for country to take. But i wouldnt compare USA to Romans, the only real empire that really in all terms comes closest to USA are Mongols.
They had cheapest army, basically they were nomads and costs for army upkeep was quite low. You can compare that with USA. USA has most expensive army, but if you take in control over money supply an ability to print many times over yearly army budget without destroying currency you can pretty much compare Mongols to USA back to back. Now on other hand countries that stand against USA like Russia are in way weaker position, becouse their milatary is more expensive to upkeep therefore it has to compromise with weaker army, and nukes are cheapest way in term of upkeep to keep it up.
  • #948,287
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:17am Jan 7, 2015 8:17am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} O Lady, why have you kept open ? I fear that we will not see the 1.3 soon. I'm sorry for you.
Hi, many people suggested alot of things but nothing worked out.
I am hedged at this point! I dont mind waiting!
But i fear when FXtrynt keeps calling for parity!
I dont know what to do !
Closings sells first would be better or buys!
I am stuck!
  • #948,288
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:19am Jan 7, 2015 8:19am
Quoting Citiboy
Ive been trying to get long a few days now,
I have suspended knifecatching technique few years ago, it was too much on my nerves. But it can be fun with some lower leverage or lesser account.
edit: anyway, If I were catching this knife think I would be entering @ 1,172 and stops below 1,164. Too dangerous.
edit: in fact greater fool theory, which is the opposite is dangerous as well, but much safer imo.
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"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #948,289
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:22am Jan 7, 2015 8:22am
Quoting maximinus
{quote} O Lady, why have you kept open ? I fear that we will not see the 1.3 soon. I'm sorry for you. Edit/ what is your buy power atm ? or what is your loss 50, 60, 90% ????
I have hedged them as i was running out of margin/money!
I might add some more equity to get hedges clear but people suggested not to do so!
I dont know! What to do!
  • #948,290
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:23am Jan 7, 2015 8:23am
  •  eggs
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Everybodys A Central Banker Here... | 819 Posts
Quoting bluesuccess
I am long from 1.37 Still holding them! IS there any point where we could see reversal? They are in massive losses! Views please?
I think you've ignored the last nineteen hundred reasons to exit your longs... What's another 200 or so.
  • #948,291
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:24am Jan 7, 2015 8:24am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} I have suspended knifecatching technique few years ago, it was too much on my nerves. But it can be fun with some lower leverage or lesser account. {image}


I dont advocate knife catching in the typical since (price). But on a few fronts the drivers of this trend are starting to wobble
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #948,292
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:28am Jan 7, 2015 8:28am
Quoting Citiboy
But on a few fronts the drivers of this trend are starting to wobble
Think wobble wont be sufficient. I dont see everything, there is too many. I see strong Oil downtrend, USD uprtrend, GU broke 1,52, UJ bounce of 118,7. Yes, some deflation data, but that only spurs expected easing in Europe.
Edit: Funny thing is, maybe we should all stick to chop?
"I know one thing, that I know nothing." Sokrates
  • #948,293
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:34am Jan 7, 2015 8:34am
This bear is laughing at us.

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  • #948,294
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:36am Jan 7, 2015 8:36am
Quoting Tom_D_Trader
{quote} Think wobble wont be sufficient. I dont see everything, there is too many. I see strong Oil downtrend, USD uprtrend, GU broke 1,52, UJ bounce of 118,7. Yes, some deflation data, but that only spurs expected easing in Europe.


Im mainly looking at Eurozone core inflation moving higher in today's release, theres a real argument that QE either shouldnt happen or if it does it will be disappointingly small. A one time plunge in oil doesn't warrant a controversial bond buying program, especially if core CPI is nowhere near 0.

In the US the latest sentiment numbers don't look good and seems like from every thing I have read that the shale related layoffs will start this month and continue thru the rest of the quarter. Additionally falling inflation is a concern.


Moving the Fed hikes close toward the end of the 2015 alongside an ECB QE disappointment is a good enough combo for me to try it.
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #948,295
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:36am Jan 7, 2015 8:36am
Quoting janpec1000
{quote} Yep USA has actually strongest army ever to exists under empire, that counting all real assets of it agencies, mercenary armies, puppet states etc. But USA has one major advantage that Roman empire never had, its monetary empire, not being forced to capped sup-dem of currecy, which makes wars much more costly and harder for country to take. But i wouldnt compare USA to Romans, the only real empire that really in all terms comes closest to USA are Mongols. They had cheapest army, basically they were nomads and costs for army upkeep was quite...
very good points- thank you
  • #948,296
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:39am Jan 7, 2015 8:39am
Quoting Citiboy
Ive been trying to get long a few days now, got blasted a couple times. Still buying here, will give up below 1.1740 and if fundamental picture changes. I think a rebound to 1.23 is possible from here
You have a nice few sir..

My arguement for long. When we see in bigmap view you will see a good support in
there.
Try monthly. And in h4 you will see divergent.
This is just wait good isue for euro.

And from collaration from another curency you will find good support in AU and good resistance in UJ.

Just join in the game. Not offence.
AM Signal Provider
  • #948,297
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:42am Jan 7, 2015 8:42am
Hello everyone,
I simply would like to point something out very interesting on the lower tf for EUR/USD.

http://prntscr.com/5pl47o

You can clearly see we are on a downtrend, in which the highs are getting lower, as the lowers get lower. Before the impact news is released, please look for the same formation on the 5m, and simply look at how the REVERSAL starts off.

Being able to identify the formation, and it's tendency will give you chance to scalp the spike which is expected.
  • #948,298
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:43am Jan 7, 2015 8:43am
Stocks are obviously correlated to USDJPY, but I think that correlation could spread to EURUSD if QE turns out to be a dissapointment. Im bearish stocks anyway based on falling oil and less accommodation from central banks.


I think a lot more than people realize is currently riding on ECB QE, not just FX but global yields and stocks. If they don't deliver the implications are huge
Twitter: @TrendersGame
  • #948,299
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:44am Jan 7, 2015 8:44am
Quoting KiwiTrada
{quote} sorry bro, had to go out, aussie has a tendency to provide not many pullbacks, once she has a head of steam up, ideally buying only because of - swap, shorting her is doable, but requires constant micromanaging to offset swap/ risk etc looking at monthy chart zoomed out she is strong up tend, has been since early 2001 with only 2008 debacle as a decent pullback, the next pull back following 2008 was late 2009 early 2010 she went sideways for 7 months before taking a dive, this was from the 2008 highs levels (notice how these same levels...
Hello again. So you would recommend me looking at AUD/USD also ?
  • #948,300
  • Jan 7, 2015 8:48am Jan 7, 2015 8:48am
gator's 1805 was hit- I believe this usually opens the door for a retrace..
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